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Severe Outbreaks Possible
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Written by Reed Timmer   
Friday, 10 March 2006 14:02
Major severe weather outbreaks are possible over the mid- to lower-Mississippi Valley on Saturday, March 11 and especially on Sunday, March 12. TV.net stormchasers Reed Timmer and Joel Taylor will of course be on-location during both of these potentially life-threatening events, attempting to capture extreme, close-up tornado footage. In response to a massive trough covering the entire western U.S., a strong low level jet developed on Friday afternoon and will continue throughout the weekend. As of 0600 UTC on 11 Mar 2006, low to mid 60oF have been transported as far north as southeast OK by the LLJ. By Saturday afternoon, at mid 60oF+ dewpoints will prevail as far north as central IL. Strong deep-layer shear, minimal linear forcing, and a deep-layer shear vector perpendicular to the boundary will likely yield discrete supercells throughout AR, MO, and IL on Saturday and Sunday. Low-level shear will be more than adequate for tornadoes on both Saturday and Sunday afternnoon/night over AR, MO, and IL, with at least 150 m2/s2 0-1 km SR helicities throughout the warm sector. Individual discussions for Saturday and Sunday follow below.

Stay tuned for updates!
 
Hurricane Florence to slam Bermuda
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Written by Reed Timmer   
Monday, 29 November 1999 18:00

Florence was upgraded to a hurricane by the 11 am EDT NHC update, with sustained winds of 80 mph and an estimated central pressure of 976 mb. A hurricane hunter aircraft was set to investigate the system at 1800 UTC, so we will soon see how accurate these estimations are. Despite having an impressive satellite presentation for the last few days, Florence intensified VERY slowly and remained a tropical storm with an elongated center of circulation. Even though the cloud tops have warmed slightly overnight, the center of Florence became better defined with a large eye appearing on satellite, hence the NHC upgraded the cyclone to hurricane strength.

Hurricane Florence is expected to strengthen to a strong category 2 hurricane before passing just to the west of Bermuda, with forecast sustained winds of 95 knots! Also, Bermuda will likely be in the right eyewall of the hurricane, which is where the strongest winds and storm surge will be located. Florence is a very large tropical cyclone, with tropical storm force winds already impacting Bermuda as of Sunday morning! A 46 mph wind gust was reported at the south tip of the island this morning. Shown below are satellite images of Florence, along with the 11 am forecast track of the NHC.




 
HUGE Winter Storm North - Tornadoes South!
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Written by Reed Timmer   
Monday, 29 November 1999 18:00

A powerful storm system will sweep across the central U.S. early this week beginning Monday, Feb. 12, bringing up to two feet of snow from IN to ME, and possible tornadoes along the Gulf Coast. We'll keep you updated on any breaking news from this incredible storm! TV.net storm chasers are waiting for the heavy snow in central IN!


 
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