NewsMassive hail producers, non-zero tornado threat expected today
Posted At: May 13, 2008 @ 11:55 AM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Related Categories: Tornadoes
This morning's model forecasts do not look very favorable for tornadoes across the Southern Plains, and even further northeast into MO. An unfavorable orientation of the frontal boundary and weak low-level shear are the two main limiting factors for tornadoes today, but extreme CAPE values of 4000+ J/kg will be possible east of the cold front/dryline across OK/TX. Here is the 12-hr RUC forecast for this evening for CAPE and 850 mb wind:
There is still a possibility that the extreme CAPE values over central OK into Texas can over-compensate for weak low-level shear, so we will still likely be chasing this event. Even if tornadoes are not a possibility, we would enjoy a core-punch with softball size hail.. Our current target is Duncan to Wichita Falls, TX, but we are also considering a northeast OK target where low-level shear may be able to hang on into the evening. We'll be streaming this event live so be sure to check the tracker page.. Good luck to all who are chasing this event
There is still a possibility that the extreme CAPE values over central OK into Texas can over-compensate for weak low-level shear, so we will still likely be chasing this event. Even if tornadoes are not a possibility, we would enjoy a core-punch with softball size hail.. Our current target is Duncan to Wichita Falls, TX, but we are also considering a northeast OK target where low-level shear may be able to hang on into the evening. We'll be streaming this event live so be sure to check the tracker page.. Good luck to all who are chasing this event
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