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Sligh chance for tornadoes today in the Southeast U.S.

Posted At: May 15, 2008 @ 11:01 AM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Related Categories: Tornadoes
As a decaying mesoscale convective system (MCS) moves across the Gulf Coast Region today, there will be a slight chance for severe convection in the untainted environment to the east.  Limiting factors for tornadoes today will be marginal instability and low-level wind shear - but crazy things can happen east of the Great Plains as we all know.  The Storm Prediction Center has issued a slight risk for this area, with a non-zero chance for tornadoes with any isolated storms that can form ahead of the MCS.   It looks like we may have some time off for the next week or so, with the long-range models indicating a classic Western U.S. trough by late next week into the weekend!

Entry Comments

Sligh chance for tornadoes today in the Southeast U.S. Comment Posted By Anthony | May 15, 2008 @ 5:17 PM #

Lol, you spelled slight wrong :P

Sligh chance for tornadoes today in the Southeast U.S. Comment Posted By You don't need to know | May 15, 2008 @ 6:38 PM #

I don't have the capability of doing this myself, so I'll throw the idea out there in case someone else wants to test the theory...

The thought I've been toying with for the past year, is using something like a marine radar set in the area where a tornado is sighted. While normally a marine radar shouldn't pick up storm systems, there IS the possibility of it getting some sort of return from a tornado on the ground, depending on debris and so forth....

Anyone else have any thoughts on this???

Sligh chance for tornadoes today in the Southeast U.S. Comment Posted By Cors | May 15, 2008 @ 8:06 PM #

angry supercell SE of eagle pass. its a monster!

Sligh chance for tornadoes today in the Southeast U.S. Comment Posted By Connor | May 15, 2008 @ 8:19 PM #

Wow Cors, you're right!

Eagle Pass doesn't need another tornado two years in a row. Luckily it appears the town wasn't hit by anything except for maybe some monster hail!

Sligh chance for tornadoes today in the Southeast U.S. Comment Posted By Smudge | May 15, 2008 @ 8:22 PM #

Interesting idea YDNTK.

What is the objective? To track the tornado as opposed to the supercell?

Given the amount of water vapour inside the funnel I'm sure you could image it - but not sure how it would be superior to just visual imaging.

Your radar unit would need to be ground based like you said - so probably wouldn't see over the horizon unlike radio which has a longer wavelength. I guess unlike visual tracking it may be able to see through ground level cloud.

Sligh chance for tornadoes today in the Southeast U.S. Comment Posted By Cors | May 15, 2008 @ 8:30 PM #

here is a radar image of it:

http://img162.imageshack.us/img162/538/sctexasmay15zq0.jpg

Sligh chance for tornadoes today in the Southeast U.S. Comment Posted By Chris | May 15, 2008 @ 8:31 PM #

The hail wasn't too bad here in Eagle Pass, it was about dime or nickel size. It was a pretty decent storm and I could definitely see some rotation. Here's some photos of the storm in case anyone wants to check them out. They aren't too great. I saw some fast rotation a while ago, but didn't have my camera at the time, so this is all that I captured when I got home.

http://i58.photobucket.com/albums/g255/justblaize/IMG_1180.jpg
http://i58.photobucket.com/albums/g255/justblaize/IMG_1181.jpg
http://i58.photobucket.com/albums/g255/justblaize/IMG_1182.jpg

Sligh chance for tornadoes today in the Southeast U.S. Comment Posted By dodge | May 16, 2008 @ 9:45 AM #

Hey chris...you from eagle pass? I am from Brackettville, we didnt get much except some bad lighting,,, i was looking at a radar last night, and yall had a tornado vortex showing...glad it wasnt bad!!!

Sligh chance for tornadoes today in the Southeast U.S. Comment Posted By dodge | May 16, 2008 @ 9:46 AM #

Hey chris...you from eagle pass? I am from Brackettville, we didnt get much except some bad lighting,,, i was looking at a radar last night, and yall had a tornado vortex showing...glad it wasnt bad!!!

Sligh chance for tornadoes today in the Southeast U.S. Comment Posted By You don't need to know | May 16, 2008 @ 11:45 AM #

What I meant by it was as an additional means for a city (or even outlying area) to locate a tornado that's approaching.... or one that might not normally be seen until it's right on top of them.

You get where I'm going with this???

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