News DetailMassive hail producers, non-zero tornado threat expected today
Posted At: May 13, 2008 @ 11:55 AM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Related Categories: Tornadoes
This morning's model forecasts do not look very favorable for tornadoes across the Southern Plains, and even further northeast into MO. An unfavorable orientation of the frontal boundary and weak low-level shear are the two main limiting factors for tornadoes today, but extreme CAPE values of 4000+ J/kg will be possible east of the cold front/dryline across OK/TX. Here is the 12-hr RUC forecast for this evening for CAPE and 850 mb wind:
There is still a possibility that the extreme CAPE values over central OK into Texas can over-compensate for weak low-level shear, so we will still likely be chasing this event. Even if tornadoes are not a possibility, we would enjoy a core-punch with softball size hail.. Our current target is Duncan to Wichita Falls, TX, but we are also considering a northeast OK target where low-level shear may be able to hang on into the evening. We'll be streaming this event live so be sure to check the tracker page.. Good luck to all who are chasing this event
There is still a possibility that the extreme CAPE values over central OK into Texas can over-compensate for weak low-level shear, so we will still likely be chasing this event. Even if tornadoes are not a possibility, we would enjoy a core-punch with softball size hail.. Our current target is Duncan to Wichita Falls, TX, but we are also considering a northeast OK target where low-level shear may be able to hang on into the evening. We'll be streaming this event live so be sure to check the tracker page.. Good luck to all who are chasing this event
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Have fun and be safe if you decide to core punch :D
Maybe you could post some pics of your windshield when it get obliterated.
Good Luck Reed. We'll are about to be leaving here soon towards Wichita Falls. Everybody be safe and put your cars in your garage.. LOL
Sitting in Pauls Valley right now. Might move a little closer to the red river area. I will find the needle in the haystack today. Haha
Good luck!
Storm season is here!!!
Getting a bunch of mini thunderheads going over..since 11:30 it has already hailed 6 times (5xpea sized, once a bit bigger). And not long ago I heard one thunder =)
Other HUGE bonus with that is rain!
*is taking pics and video clips to remember this awesome event*
Reed, we are banking on the northern end. In Tulsa now...if you decide to play north call me.
Lanny
Svr Tstorm Warning - Ellis / Johnson County...
Hello
When are you guys going to start streaming? Watching from Korea.... Thx
Tornado Watch issued for North Central TX and Eastern half of OK. Of course, you probably already know that.
WE GOTTA TOUCHDOWN TOUCHDOWN BY HEATH, NORTH OF FORNEY EAST OF MESQUITE
Tornado by Heath? My boss lives in Rowlett. Just waiting for NWS to issue warning before I go let him know.
Good luck to everyone chasing today. Hopefully you get some action. They're still forcasting some strong storms for Northern Arkansas again, but we'll see if it makes it here or not.
While the 850 mb flow is forecast to be weak, the RUC is predicting 20-30 knot 925 mb flow over most of OK and southeast KS into MO. We're really liking the backed winds over south-central OK, and are soon going to head south on I-35..
We'll start streaming as soon as we leave.
Glad I didn't mention tornado in Heath to my boss. Obviously a false alarm.
Thx for the update...good luck!! Don't know if I miss being in the states right now or not lol
Reed, what's your location? It looks like you're headed right down 69 and into my area of KS. It just starting sprinkling outside here and I can tell a definite change in the atmosphere between lunch time and now. I can hardly wait until I get off work at 5:00!! It's killing me!
BETTER CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL EXIST ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA WHERE RICHER LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL RESIDE. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN
THREAT WITH ANY ACTIVITY MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF AN OLATHE KANSAS
TO CARROLLTON MISSOURI LINE...INCLUDING THE KANSAS CITY METROPOLITAN
AREA. IN ADDITION...SUFFICIENT SHEAR WILL BE IN PLACE FOR AN
ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT ACROSS THIS AREA AS WELL...BUT HAIL AND
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.
:) Stream 2 is about 30 minutes away from me. I want to be driving too! I just got out of a 45 minute long meeting, so I haven't checked the radar lately...
Severe Thunderstorm Warning NE OK.....1724
TV.net needs pikepass! The thrill of the chase momentarily halted by the Oklahoma Turnpike Authority, who damn well better get their four quarters. That was hilarious. Good luck!
That storm to the east of San Angelo TX near Menard looks like a beauty.
wonder why the guy in the white Dodge got out of the passenger door to fill up the gas....hmmm
Looks like TVN 1 is sitting right in the middle of a big cell. Hope it does something for them
Does anyoe else see TVN 1-3? Just checking... Ya, toll boots suck lol
that storm that TVN1 is sitting right in the middle of just got a thunderstorm warning put on it.
Jaspn, I'm only seeing TVN net sitting at the gas pumps. I'm not seeing 1-3 either. I would really like to be seeing 1 right now because they look like there sitting in a really good place.
Doug, thanks. I'm in Korea and did'nt know if my connection ws acting up. This is the first time I've watched. Where are you at?
The radar is starting to look more tornadic as shear intenses and there is slight rotation starting . They might get another twister!
There goes your cash for your windshield...
Tornado warnings now issued for Jasper, Barton and Crawford counties in Southwestern Missouri.
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT FOR NORTHERN CHEROKEE...NORTHWESTERN JASPER... SOUTHERN CRAWFORD AND WESTERN BARTON COUNTIES...
AT 747 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A TORNADO NEAR WEST MINERAL... OR 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF CARONA... MOVING EAST AT 39 MPH.
THIS TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... CHEROKEE BY 755 PM CDT. WEIR BY 800 PM CDT. PITTSBURG BY 805 PM CDT. FRONTENAC BY 810 PM CDT. MINDENMINES BY 815 PM CDT. 9 MILES SOUTH OF LIBERAL BY 825 PM CDT.
THE TOWNS OF BEULAH...CHICOPEE...LONE OAK...OPOLIS...YALE... NASHVILLE... OAKTON AND IANTHA ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO.
AT 745 PM CDT...SPOTTERS REPORTED A ROTATING WALL CLOUD WITH THIS STORM. A TORNADO COULD DEVELOP WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.
Just meet the TIV and DOW team in Davis Oklahoma!!! very cool
Tornado reported by spotter around 8pm just south of Graham, TX (Young County)...about 90 mi northwest of Fort Worth. Minor damage reported.
Now a tornado warning for Dade county in Missouri. Same storm that spawned the other warnings.
Spotters reported a brief touchdown near Mindenmines.
Anyone else having major lag with the site right now?
I,ve been having major lag for days now.
I've been getting bad lag too. I noticed i don't get lag though when TVN is not using the GPS Tracker - like when there not showing up on the tracker map.
Jason - or who ever is in charge of the web design, can you perhaps change the way we conecct to the stream. I like they way Severe studios does it - They have many options to open the stream.
Kind regards - Joey Sipos
****ALERT****ALERT****ALERT****ALERT****
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL BELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
* UNTIL 630 AM CDT
* AT 549 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
DEVELOPING TORNADO 17 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KILLEEN..MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 25 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
KILLEEN BY 620 AM CDT...
HARKER HEIGHTS BY 625 AM CDT...
NOLANVILLE...SALADO AND BELTON BY 630 AM CDT...
It finally happened! It came right over the top of me (in Pittsburg) and I couldn't even get out to look at it! Ah, the joys of motherhood...I was three blocks away with my son, on foot, walking home a neighborhood girl who showed up on her bicycle, scared at my house. She was riding her bike when it started getting windy and didn't want to go home alone. She saw my son outside and stopped to ask if we'd walk her home. (Mind you, I had never met her before and couldn't fathom how any parent would let their 7 year old be three blocks away from home alone, let alone at the cusp of a tornadic storm...anyone could've easily kidnapped the girl & her parents wouldn't have had a clue...I was mad) I didn't think it would get as bad as it did, so we took off on foot and just reached her yard when the sirens started going off. :( We caught a ride back to the house with her mom & stepdad (who I wanted to lecture) and as bad as I wanted to get in the car and go check it out (or at least get a clear view) I opted to stay home and reassure my son that things would be fine.
The sirens went off for about 45 minutes nonstop and my aunt, who lives about 2 miles north of Cherokee said the wall/funnel cloud came through the field behind her house and she got some good pictures. She also said some storm spotters in a little, red car momentarily stopped in her driveway to take pictures and film. Sound familiar to anyone?I haven't seen the pictures yet, but I will share if they are put in my possession. In the meantime, here is link from the front page of the local newspaper. The hospital in the picture is directly across the street from the company I work for (and am writing from right now:))
http://www.morningsun.net/news/x934422705/Storm-cells-move-through-county-but-damage-minimal
Im near Lawton. Any threats for there?
This was the show for Oklahoma ( I was in the little white car... Daewoo =D ) Im getting fed up with Season this year...
Pictures here for now.... http://www.flickr.com/photos/blindsey
Where are you from, Brendon? I just took a look at your portfolio and your work is absolutely amazing...I know that ultimately you want to see action, but how can you be disappointed? Your pictures from yesterday are beautiful!
Oh wow...Brendon those pictures are AMAZING!
Hey Joey..
We're working on a new system and the lag will not be a problem. Hopefully we'll have it running in time for the next storm chase, which may be a while after today. Major upgrades
Sweet news Reed! Thanks for the answer!
let hope we don't have to wait to long untill the next storm system.
-Joey Sipos
For anyone interested, David Drummond just had a nice wall cloud on his live stream from SevereStudios!
Tornado Warning for Mason County in Texas. Storm spotters have reported a funnel cloud. This storm is moving east torwards Llano.
Looks like a tornado in Comanche County in Texas southwest of Fort Worth... looks like some nice rotation on radar!
Look at this beautiful & VIOLENT wedge! Outstanding footage!
http://cfc.ktul.com/videoondemand.cfm?id=14650&category=wx
Nice video find JM.....That would have been awesome to stand there for those 2 minutes just watching like they did....Hopefully I'll get that lucky some day! Rain, Rain Go Away....Come Back Some Other Day and bring a wedge!!!
Thanks for that link JM. Tornado's are awesome to see, but I WOULD be out of my mind if it was right in my backyard! I do not live in an area with the tornado sirens anymore I forgot how eerie sounding they are.