News DetailStrong tornadoes possible today along the Central Gulf Coast!
Posted At: February 17, 2008 @ 8:09 AM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Related Categories: Tornadoes
As the system responsible for yesterday's embarrassing chase moves east across the Southern U.S. today, several bands of convection will move through the Central Gulf Coast along and ahead of the cold front. With a 40-50 knot LLJ ahead of the cold front, low-level shear will be favorable for tornadoes with any discrete supercells that forum. The LLJ may be a bit veered for strong tornadoes today, but a small change in surface wind and/or storm motion could easily change that. The RUC forecast CAPE and 850 mb pattern for 22z (4:00 pm CST) are displayed below:
While we may be in a bit of a lull in the convective activity across the Central Gulf Coast as of 8:00 am CST, a tornado watch is still in effect until 1:00 pm for much of southern AL and extreme southeastern MS. However, further convective development is anticipated by late morning/early afternoon across this region.
Given the relatively large uncapped and sufficiently unstable warm sector ahead of this cold front, as well as the immense low-level shear, the Storm Prediction Center has issued a 10% area for tornadoes, with a hatched area for possible strong tornadoes as well. Stay tuned for more updates as this severe weather event unfolds!
While we may be in a bit of a lull in the convective activity across the Central Gulf Coast as of 8:00 am CST, a tornado watch is still in effect until 1:00 pm for much of southern AL and extreme southeastern MS. However, further convective development is anticipated by late morning/early afternoon across this region.
Given the relatively large uncapped and sufficiently unstable warm sector ahead of this cold front, as well as the immense low-level shear, the Storm Prediction Center has issued a 10% area for tornadoes, with a hatched area for possible strong tornadoes as well. Stay tuned for more updates as this severe weather event unfolds!
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wow this a really active time, i can't wait to see what happens in the actual tornado season!
Yeah, I know Paul... if this is just February, just think what May will be like...
Scary...
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1058 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008
ALC003-171715-
/O.CON.KMOB.TO.W.0024.000000T0000Z-080217T1715Z/
BALDWIN AL-
1058 AM CST SUN FEB 17 2008
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1115 AM CST FOR
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL BALDWIN COUNTY...
AT 1054 AM CST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED A POSSIBLE TORNADO
ABOUT 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MOUTH OF WEEKS BAY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
15 TO 20 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
MOUTH OF WEEKS BAY...TURKEY BRANCH...6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MAGNOLIA
SPRINGS AND 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MARLOW BY 1115 AM CST...
WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS
THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY
ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU
ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE
LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO
NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS.
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CST SUNDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.
LAT...LON 3033 8782 3033 8784 3036 8785 3042 8795
3048 8796 3054 8793 3040 8765 3030 8776
3030 8780
TIME...MOT...LOC 1658Z 221DEG 13KT 3030 8791
$$
Base velocity shows a nice circulation area west of Pensacola, FL. In the last couple of minutes though it seems like the storm is taking a more linear structure.
Wow, not linear anymore. The storm now northwest of Pensacola, FL is showing a nice hook echo.
tornadoes spinning up in Alabama all over the place
Tornado on the ground live feed here
http://www.wsfa.com/
Confirmed tornado near Chumuckla!
http://kamala.cod.edu/al/latest.wfus54.KMOB.html
ABC3340 livestream: http://www.al.com/abc3340/video/index.ssf
Hey It could happen tomarrows on their talking about an EF-4 tornado hitting washington DC. did any one know a tornado hit washington DC during a war?
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAA reed's on full force nature it's the Elk city OK, tornado!
tornado on the ground http://www.al.com/abc3340/video/index.ssf
hey volker!
Hey Cors, how are you doing?
SPC upgraded the tornado risk to 10% (I expected that due to this development).
My bro has many trees down and some roofs torn off throughout the neighborhood. He is 15 sw of Calera Al. Thought it may have been a tornado.
Decent in Ohio about 60 after morning rain with some storms possible later.
182
WFUS54 KBMX 172042
TORBMX
ALC005-011-109-113-172145-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0049.080217T2041Z-080217T2145Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
241 PM CST SUN FEB 17 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
BARBOUR COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHEASTERN BULLOCK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
EAST CENTRAL PIKE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
SOUTHERN RUSSELL COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
* UNTIL 345 PM CST
* AT 237 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO NEAR BANKS...OR 8 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF TROY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
JOSIE AND TANYARD BY 250 PM CST...
BOOT HILL BY 255 PM CST...
6 MILES NORTHWEST OF CLAYTON BY 305 PM CST...
COMER BY 315 PM CST...
SPRING HILL BY 320 PM CST...
HAWKINSVILLE BY 325 PM CST...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST SUNDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...
CALL 1-800-856-0758.
LAT...LON 3184 8588 3192 8584 3237 8514 3217 8501
3214 8504 3210 8503 3207 8505 3199 8505
3171 8542 3167 8571
TIME...MOT...LOC 2041Z 234DEG 46KT 3178 8580
Source: National Weather Service
Yeah Gerb it may have been if the whole neighborhood has damage the downdrafs may have landed there or a tornado happend. I would have said a tornado. or it could have been a quick tornado that touched down on his neighborhood and ended there and didn't do any damage any wear elce. it could have even been a strong gustnado.
Nothing on the SPC for his immediate area yet but he is close to Selma etc...
SELMA? they got hit pretty bad! is he ok? is there anyone injerd in his neighborhood?
That same cell just sparked a tornado emergancy
my fiacee is in snellville just ne of atlanta. its getting nasty.
just watching http://www.wsfa.com/ seems like there's a few tornadoes going... hope all is well and no one seriously hurt.... these things fasinate me, and I find I'm constantly watching here for more vids
Jason was in Troy and the tornado missed him by about 5 miles!
JY reports air conditioning units thrown through homes somewhere in the FL Panhandle along the damage path. The couplet on that monster was incredible! Hopefully people were underground and knew this was coming
I've been on the road and haven't been able to follow too closely...has anyone seen pictures?
Reed ha ha ha maby he didn't know that there was a tornado on the ground. man I'm watching 2 live feeds one from alanta and one from montgomery. geez that "S" shaped segment looks VERY tornadic. this is capeable of doing hoible damage.
man this makes me mad i look at the reports at 3 and there are already 13 tornadoes with like 15 active warnings...everytime i go out and chase theres not a warning til 5 and then it gets dark and hour later. boo
CNN HQ is now under a tornado warning
That also includes TWC, so I have to say it must be unnerving to report on national weather when you're in the tornado warning itself. Just so many tornado reports from AL earlier, and now the line is starting to move into Georgia and FL. Hope they are monitoring the weather alerts and all.
Gotta go guys see ya'll tomarrow!
Uh-oh... thats a name I didn't want to see in a warning again.
AT 401 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS
IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 36 MILES WEST OF ABBEVILLE TO 34 MILES WEST OF
ABBEVILLE TO 40 MILES WEST OF ABBEVILLE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TROY TO 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF OZARK TO 7
MILES NORTHWEST OF ENTERPRISE...AND MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.
Enterprise, AL doesn't need any more severe weather for a long time... Thank god its not tornado warned
A tornado did touchdown in the Pratville, Millbrook area (which is located just outside of Montgomery). There were report of some injuries at the Walmart in Pratville and overturned cars but thank god no reports of any fatalities...
Wow, there's a tornado warning for Clark and Champaign counties in Ohio, very far away from the main action in the Gulf States.
http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=OHZ052&warncounty=OHC021&firewxzone=OHZ052&local_place1=3+Miles+SW+Mutual+OH&product1=Tornado+Warning
that supercell that is now north of macon, Ga. has been going on for 5 to 6 hours now. i started watching it when it was just sw of troy!
Matt, that is the same cell that was in the FL panhandle at one time! =-O
hmmm... I have relatives that are on vacation in Gulf Shores right now, I hope they're ok...
Matt Chat, you are a slacker! That storm as Heidi mentioned was in the Florida Panhandle... and came out of the Gulf into SW Alabama.
Active weather here today along the Gulf Coast! I have been covering it since 5 AM this morning. We have damage in my area, but fortunately no one was injured.
Sound like you were on a roll JY, seems like we need to move tornado alley east!
Reed tell Jason I tryed to warn him.
The Montgomery Advertiser has several storm damage photo galleries on their website:
http://www.montgomeryadvertiser.com/apps/pbcs.dll/frontpage
Just scroll down a little bit and you'll see them on the left.
What the hell was up with that supercell? I just got in from leave and noticed that big line went through and now here in maryland its friggin 64 degrees.
Anywho this cell formed just off the coast then moved inland to the east of pennsacola then went northeast into alabama causing tornado after tornado.
Just how long did that supercell go on for?