News DetailTornadoes likely south, winter storm to the north!
Posted At: February 12, 2008 @ 2:39 PM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Related Categories: Tornadoes
A potent shortwave trough is currently moving through the Great Lakes Region, with a strong trailing cold front extending southwestward toward the Central Gulf Coast. Deep tropical moisture has been advected as far north as central AL, with dewpoints in the low 60s along the Gulf Coast. While storms have been exhibiting mainly linear structure so far, there have been areas of rotation indicated within embedded supercells in the line, and also with storms out ahead of the front. Three tornado watches are in effect for Southern Louisiana and Alabama, and also the Florida Peninsula. Winter storm warnings are also in effect for much of New England, where over a foot of snow could fall especially over the higher elevations.
A strong low-level jet has developed to the east of the low-level cyclone, with the strongest 850 mb winds north of the deep moisture across Tennessee and Kentucky. Further south, where the deeper moisture resides, the low-level jet is generally below 40 knots, but still sufficient for brief tornadoes. The 18z RUC Analyses for mslp and 850 mb are shown below.
Please check out the forum (linked above) for further discussion of this event.
A strong low-level jet has developed to the east of the low-level cyclone, with the strongest 850 mb winds north of the deep moisture across Tennessee and Kentucky. Further south, where the deeper moisture resides, the low-level jet is generally below 40 knots, but still sufficient for brief tornadoes. The 18z RUC Analyses for mslp and 850 mb are shown below.
Please check out the forum (linked above) for further discussion of this event.
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It has become a busy day down south and an even busier day in the North trying to dig out from the snow.
Well...Speaking of snow..I'm under a snowfall warning! :) 8-12 cm expected!(5 inches at most) and winds will be gusting up to 40 km/h with blowing snow..and Heavy snow, will most likely create blizzard conditions this evening. I'll be filming whatever happens! So stay tuned!!!
Hey, how about that! My sister, who lives on the coast of South Carolina, could see some pop-up storms. I'll have to ask her about it later ;)
I registered on the new forum, now I'm waiting for a reply email...
Kenny..Skgirl keep me posted on that storm up in ur area.. It looks to be coming into Minnesota later Wednesday/Thursday. Although the brunt of the snow looks to fall west/south of my location in Duluth, MN...ARGHHHHHHH! it's warmed up Today..were at a balmy 12 F at 5 PM..ha!
I am under the same snowfall warning. 10-15cm locally for my area southeast of Edmonton.
If it comes before dark then i will film it.
I live on a dark street and my camcorder HATES the dark.
It is a reliable camera but i have used cheap $300 walmart brand camcorders that has better night vision
does not look like it will snow before dark if it snows at all.
They may drop the warning for
Drayton Valley - Devon - Rimbey - Pigeon Lake
There is not a single radar echo over that area.
The snow is staying east of the QE2
Where is everyone!!!!!!!!!
I can't go on the forums as i STILL have not had activation for 2 day now
anyone see the rotation in the storm over the gulf of mexico west of everglades city?
Hey Mike...we just implemented the new forums last night, so you may need to re-register. Just click the forum link above, re-register, and I'll activate your account right away.
Just a curious question Reed: How do we know which forum to post on, since some posts/topic on one arent on the other???
How do I even know if it has been activated.
I registered last night first
Then i re registered using my other email about an hour ago
Ok i'm in
A confirmation email would be nice.
I found out the old fasioned way of tring to login
tons of snow falling in edmonton and region. so whats new lol. 4-5 inches expected. nasty down south again. my gf in atlanta said its looking nasty there and to florida, its scary.
Dale:
Go south of Millet Temp shoots up to -5C no snow and very little up wind on the radar. It looks like the snow is way way farther north than predicted.
That now puts my area in a dry spot with a thiner snow pack.
Hey Dale!! Long time no speak!! Can't wait for summer eh? Watcha been up to?
My snowfall predictions based on Radar and past knowledge.
North of Edmonton: snow all night 15-25cm
Edmonton: Snow all night 10-15cm
Leduc: Snow all night 5-10cm
Wetaskiwin: Snow all night 5cm
Camrose: snow all night 5-10 Cm
Red Deer: 40% chance of snow 1-3cm
Based on the radar maps
http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/radar/index_e.html?id=WHK
As of 7:00pm There is no real snow near red deer
There is some snow building SW ans S of Edmonton
Drayton Valley - Devon - Rimbey - Pigeon Lake
Leduc - Camrose - Wetaskiwin - Tofield
Will get loads of snow but nowhere near the amount in Edmonton and north
Unless the snow explodes into development southwest of Edmonton the snowfall in these area will be much lower than Edmonton
Thus the warnings for
Drayton Valley - Devon - Rimbey - Pigeon Lake
and
Red Deer - Ponoka - Innisfail - Stettler
May be dropped form the warnings
Where have you been Dale??
Glad to have you back..
South Florida looking very nasty. Cells brewing just north of Key West headed for land. Miami radar has the best view so far.
Does anyone know if you have re-sign up for the forum?
For some reason, i cant log in.
Yes Ben, you have to re-register.
Hey Dale! How's it going? Glad to see you're back. So, I'm patiently waiting on my confirmation email... I got the first one, but now I'll wait for the site to catch up.
A heavy snow band just came into my town
Popcorn size flakes.
It seems to by moving very slow.
Looks like we are in for quite the contrast of snowfall from town to town.
I'm glad you guys are getting the snow, and not I. I'd be screaming right now if I was ;)
I'm out for the evening, I've posted my share of stuff on the new forum. It's awesome. See you guys later!
Hey guys sorry our proxy is blocking acces during the working day.. Hope all of you is doing well
take care
wow!...thx for the caring gang. missed being here lol. had a few probs but im good now thx. hey reed....you a doc yet? thx mike im in fort sask. ne of edmonton. its coming down tons. but its only -7 c here so its all good. roads gonna be killer tomm. hey kenny and aj... thx for that ..hows you too ? and yes....cant wait for this summer!!!
It was a busy afternoon along the Central Gulf Coast. We had wind gust over 70 mph along Dauphin Island with widespread power outages. Here is a look at some wind damage: http://www.wkrg.com/news/article/strong_storms_left_damage_behind/10247/
Obviously it's minor compared to the Super Tuesday outbreak.
Looks like the heaviest snow yet west of Edmonton heading ESE
EF1 confermed in pearl Mississippi! also I talked to a friend that lives in the next county west of me and she says that she saw a tornado. but my news highlighted all the countys that were hit by tornadoes and it dos'nt include it.