There is some potential for severe weather and even isolated tornadoes tomorrow evening and overnight across Missouri, extreme eastern Oklahoma, and Arkansas as the massive trough responsible for the recent California blizzard advances slowly eastward across the western U.S.. An interesting cold front currently stretches from northern Illinois southwestward to central Kansas (front can be seen in 24-hr WRF forecast below), which also marks the southeastern boundary of the snow-pack. This cold front was initiated entirely by a strong mesoscale anticyclone prevailing over the large snowpack of the Central and Northern Plains. Meanwhile, unseasonably high dewpoints have been advecting northward with the low-level jet into the Southern Plains and Ozark Mountains, with near 60 dewpoints expected by tomorrow evening as far north as Illinois! Check out the selected WRF forecast panels below for 00z tomorrow:
v v
The cold front mentioned above will intersect with a dryline in northeastern OK, which will advance eastward to the Arkansas Border after 00z. CAPEs of 1000-1500 will exist across eastern OK by 00z tomorrow, with 750-1000 J/kg further north across Southeast KS and MO, with zero CIN across all of these areas. The WRF and GFS models are forecasting convective initiation across Illinois and Missouri tomorrow afternoon (with much of this convection being elevated above a shallow stable layer from a stratus deck), and along the dryline in extreme Eastern Oklahoma after 00z. Given 0-1 km helicity values of 150-200+ in the entire warm sector, any surface-based, discrete storms will have the potential to produce tornadoes.
An interesting heavy rain and snow event was also unfolding across Southern California Sunday, with snowfall rates of 2+ inches per hour reported at elevations greater than 5000 feet in the Coastal Range. Moderate snow was reported at two locations in Southern California shortly after 05z with temperature in the upper 20s to around 30. The SPC issued a mesoscale discussion for this localized heavy snow event (see below).
News Detail
Calendar
Categories
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html
YAY! I'm finally in the middle of a slght risk area, best chance I've had for storms in a LONG time.
(off topic, first post ;p)
Dude, stay out of Southern California as well. You suck at Mountains. Go back to "TORNADO" stuff.
WTF, Get the F out of here. Man you emerge like Michagain fans or USC fans after a win. Go back to 70 and 50 10 months a year and don't miss that forecast.
Anyway looks like Ohio could get a few storms as well heck it is 59 at 115.
GO BUCKS
Reed, are you back "home" and are you gonna be out?
Lanny
So Reed...i was going to sit this out from Norman but I think the new outlook and models might have put a ? in my mind. Do you think this is worth driving a couple hours for? I know any storms are worth it but I am low on money and unfamiliar with the terrain. On the other hand I havent been out in the field for nearly 3 months and this is a rare opportunity in which i have no school or work on mon/tues.If these are fast movers that will worry me especially if i get into a hilly area also. So if you were to go where do you think would be best to post up? Northeastern OK my AR/MO border?
38 degrees today in ND, a heat wave for January.
Crazy!! Speaking of storms though, according to the 2008 Farmers Almanac, I read the weather section of course, and they say for the prairies (alberta, saskatchewan, manitoba) we'll be getting thunderstorms as early as march!!
Hey Reed, do ya think this will hold up Tuesday so maybe I can do a little chasin in East Tennessee
WOW!!!, severe storms erupting and lifting NE between 50-60 mph right now (6:47AM) in SW. Wisconsin, large hail the main threat.. very cool to see that in January!
Okay. If anyone wants to know what SUCKS this morning, it would be this:
"THIS FORECAST HOUR NOT YET AVAILABLE"
AAAAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Anyway ... I don't know about this ... suddenly the GFS is treating the precip end of things a little goofily (that's right, I said GOOFILY!) for our (Ozark) end of the system, shifting most of it off to the north and east of here. Heck, I was actually kind of looking forward to a massive squall line late tonight! Maybe that change will turn out to be a good thing, since, in comparing previous model runs, it would appear that NOW the Ozark region is shaping up the way I had anticipated things working out for the Arklatex ... which would put us in a better position for supercells ...
Lanny & Randy (or anyone else): If you're planning on coming to the north AR jungle, be forewarned - the potholes on the unpaved roads are OUT OF CONTROL since we've had snow already this year. Nothing like losing a wheel chasing a supercell in the middle of the night in Boone Co.! :-/
Oh, and Reed - I missed the part in the blog entry where you say "Joel and I will be chasing this event, targeting _____ ..." Come on ... It's JANUARY!!!!!! =-D
Hey guys I don't have a lot of time cause i'me a school this looks really good!
CALEB! Here comes the teacher!
You're in the SLIGHT RISK tomorrow, too! :D
Woke up to dewpoints in the upper 50's here in Norman. Feels incredible and leaves me longing for March!!!
Will be watching to see how the day unfolds. Don't really care for chasing 50+ mph movers through the Ozarks. You have to be able to keep up with the storms. If it looks like things are gonna be farther west, will probably head out. Setup could definately produce today. Good luck to those who decide to go out!
Heidi, please ban yourself from using words like 'goofily'
It hurts my eyes looking at it.
In Green Bay I'm starting to hear thunder from the south, but that particular group of storms will go northeast into Lake Michigan. I am holding out hope that the batch in central WI will hold together as it slides this way.
There is snow and mixed precip on the northern part of that cluster, but currently in Green Bay the temp is 37. Most of the snow here is gone, and the ice on the bay and some lakes, which had been thick enough to support the ice-fishers's shanties and even vehicles, is thinning. Also, for the last two days we've had really dense fog, which is leading to canceled flights from the main airports in the state.
lol heidi "goofily" wow now i have heard it all- i need to suck down a little coffee so i can get excited lol
Oh yeah, I forgot the part about how the WRF AND GFS are now pushing back the timing on this (for us) to between 6Z-18Z TUES! Sounds like we should be in the slight risk for tomorrow, too ...
Something is just not seeming right about this set-up. I am just really not likng what I'm seeing, especially now that I've looked at the water vapor in motion. ... I just wrote a bunch of stuff about the WV and the IR image, but I decided to just say that I'm seeing things lifting off to the nne more rapidly than expected, which I feel is going to give us a pretty high probability for a major bust here. I am very interested to see what the water vapor looks like this afternoon ...
This coffee is kicking in at a bad time!
Wow, the Ozarks look like the area I live (and chase) in ;-) ... but to chase speeding-50 mph-storms isn't really funny, indeed.
now that i have some coffee in my system ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh gjfalfs dlfsjdaklfjasld;f lol ohh and looking outside- i already see a little twisting and turnin of the clouds, clouds are moving fast- i would say 55-60 mph- and theres some very very small breaks
The RUC looks VERY interesting for this afternoon. It fires storms near the I-35 corridor by 21z! If the RUC verifies this setup will definitely be worth chasing. Ez: I'd wait in Norman and see how everything unfolds, and if it looks like storms will develop close fly east on 40 and make sure you stay east of them!
I'm still in Michigan but after seeing the RUC, definitely wish I was in Norman. Unbelievably, we have a 54 dewpoint here in Grand Rapids, MI!
There's a cell just east of GR with 1" hail indicated! AAAAA!!!!!! It's out of control!
your dramatic ya know lol and so the outbreak begins
Hey guys, whats going on??
ow is everything looking for this afternnon, is it still looking good? f so cant wait to see what happens
New day-one outlook up!
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
wow im surprised no moderate risk is out yet- especially considering the EHI values possible
Methinks Heidi needs some less potent coffee... haha. I found out that Arkansas has some bad potholes also, because we hit several of them on our way home. It wasn't fun.
On another note, I love outbreaks, especially in the middle of winter. lol
You guys think this is bad?!?! Put a TALL (that's right, I said a TALL, not Grande or higher) Starbucks Mocha Frappuccino in front of me, wait 15 minutes, and then be prepared for ANYTHING!!!!
Oh, and AJ, Reed will ban you for suggesting that caffiene is in any way bad. Just so you know.
lol, now I'm really looking forward to tomorrow, I just wish my camera wasn't broken.
on another note, how good is Tuesday looking? I'm still trying to get a meteorology course, so I can't figure out how to predict this stuff yet ;)
(Just hope no one thinks of giving Heidi a Monster Energy drink. lol jk)
Am I wrong in thinking that there should be a moderate risk issued right about now?
its easy to learn don't need weather class if just watch over times like i have on here i can understand some what of it but how good is the meterogy class at OU
If you guys ever chase anywhere near Waverly TN, look for a place called Our Daily Bread/The Coffe Cabinet. You'll never go back to Starbucks again.
omg i love jumbo monster and i also love this coffe from my local coffe shop i get vanninla carmel chiller it is so good
It is now pouring where I am at in Green Bay, with occasional lightning. I must say the storms look cool on radar, but I know they are below severe limits. Still, it is nice to get a thunderstorm, even when it's supposed to be cold and snow all over. ^_^
A severe thunderstorm warning was just posted for Dodge County in southern Wis, which includes the city of Beaver Dam. So far it's for the penny- and nickel-size hail being reported there.
wow, we've already got weak rain bands moving through, and outside the air hs a peculiar feel too it... Interesting, very interesting.
WOW, look at the change in the day-2 outlook!
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html
I just noticed that.
Jake, tomorrow is looking like a major squall-lin event, with straight-line winds as opposed to tornados being the main threat. Take a look at the link I posted & see if you're in the area outlined!
We had a little break in the clouds revealing the dry air I saw & was concerned about on the WV, but behind it things are looking a lot better. The sun is warming things up pretty nicely (68 degrees) and the clouds to the west are of the cumulus variety, not the stratus we were dealing with before. I think if I were chasing this, I'd be generally targeting SW MO. I think the best storms will be to the east and slightly north of Springfield.
Yeah, I was thinking the same thing Heidi.
And yes, I'm in the middle of the southern portion of it, I've been watching it since I got up lol. can't wait for tomorrow :D
I just looked at the 21Z RUC. - DRYLINE!!!!
The GFS is showing that same feature, still, around the Arklatex at 18Z though, and developes two waves of storms. ... Don't get me started on the WRF. GEEZ what happened to the (relative) consistency these models had been showing?!?!?!
Southeast of OKC looks very interesting this afternoon!
So much for relative consistency... haha. If there's gonna be a dryline, then I'm gonna be watching the pretty colors of radar, instead of doing homework. lol.
And a dryline means...?
sorry for asking so many questions, I have a problem with doing that sometimes ;P
jake- its ok- were happy to answer your question- a dry-line seperates cooler drier air to the west from warm, humid air to the east
got storms firing up now southwest of coffeeville kansas now ahhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
I know you guys don't mind, it just makes me feel Noobish sometimes lol
Kansas? ahh there it is, tiny little thing isn't it lol
Hey Jake, ALWAYS ask questions! :D Check this out:
Dry Line - A boundary separating moist and dry air masses, and an important factor in severe weather frequency in the Great Plains. It typically lies north-south across the central and southern high Plains states during the spring and early summer, where it separates moist air from the Gulf of Mexico (to the east) and dry desert air from the southwestern states (to the west). The dry line typically advances eastward during the afternoon and retreats westward at night. However, a strong storm system can sweep the dry line eastward into the Mississippi Valley, or even further east, regardless of the time of day. A typical dry line passage results in a sharp drop in humidity (hence the name), clearing skies, and a wind shift from south or southeasterly to west or southwesterly. (Blowing dust and rising temperatures also may follow, especially if the dry line passes during the daytime; see dry punch). These changes occur in reverse order when the dry line retreats westward. Severe and sometimes tornadic thunderstorms often develop along a dry line or in the moist air just to the east of it, especially when it begins moving eastward. See LP storm.
Here's a good resource: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary2.php#d
Well we broke a 100 yr old record in Columbus Ohio the old record was 64 and it is 70 now with bright sun may hit 73 or so.
OHIO GO BUCKS
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8eW2ZBU9UHI
OH YES
lol jake coffeeville kansas maybe a small town but it also has the worlds record for heaviest hailstone
lol, really? wow, I'm learning lots of new things today :)
ahh ok, so that's the significance of a Dryline, Thanks Heidi. I am definatly saving that website too, that is a useful one.
Wow, what crazy weather this is! I'm sitting here in Morton IL, with EXTREME SHEAR VALUES, showing on the mesoanalysis, just 40 miles to my west 300-400! Also supercell composites, and the cap are erroding slowly
I was wondering what donny/reed/timMN/heidi, think about the central IL area for severe weather/tornados...
I'll be making my move as the first cells go up.
Don't worry Jake, seasoned pros still learn new things from time to time. haha. And Donny's right, Coffeyville is pretty famous for having the world's heaviest hailstone. It's not the largest, but it's pretty darn close. Here's a link...
http://www.coffeyville.com/Students.htm
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/
New MD out!
Dang, that's on flipping big hailstone.
Ben- if there would be a tornado today in illonois- i would have to say in central/ southern illonois would be your best best bet- like what you had said become thats where the higher helcity values would be in illonois
Cool! I wonder how long it will take before a watch is posted... later this afternoon sometime??
Ok, time to watch some storms explode in SE Kansas...
Well it looks like there is a new MS dicussion on SE Kansas,NE Oklahoma, and SW Mosourri. I will be working and unable to chase today but will be watching the radar later for sure....Hope we see some storms anyway :)
I have BEEN to the museum in Coffeyville and have seen the plaster-cast of the hailstone! It's pretty, um, gnarly, so to speak. (HEY - a PUN!!!!)
Ben, I think your chances of seeing some tornadic action in your area might not be that bad. Central IL-south is showing pretty high helicity values, and all the models seem to be pointing toward you getting the heaviest squall-line action late tonight/early tomorrow. You already know about the shear - you guys are in the projected 40+ knots on the 925 mb! Could be pretty rough. You'll be getting what I was expecting us to get until this morning! ... IF THE MODELS VERIFY!!!! AAAAA!!!!
CONSENSUS!!! I did NOT see what Donny had written before I posted that, just so you know! :P
lol no worries heidi grat minds thank alike
Don't want to be a wisenhimer ;-) but be careful with the shear. Too much of it is not that good (result: short lived cells / the updraft dies).
haha. I like how you misspelled the word "great" Donny ;) lol jk. Is anyone looking at the storms in SE Kansas? They're starting to rotate and become supercellular. Woohoo! Here we go...
yeah i jsut realized that aj and told you they were becomming supercellular you goofball- and we got storms firing near malvern arkansas- starting to rotate to ahhhhhhhh sound off the alarms *makes a tornado sireen noise*
lol, I told my mom that within an hour that first one would be at least Severe T-Storm warned. Looks like I may be right!
Doah! Thanks Donny, you caught me there. Oh well... I wonder if Dick McGowan will be chasing this today. I think he said he would if things worked out. I'm sure he's scrambling to get his vehicle ready. haha
I was just wondering the same thing...(Who is all chasing today)
I'm sure Lanny and Randy are chasing..although you never know. Other than that i dunno if Dick, Darin, Michael, or any of the more known/frequent posters are chasing.
I will be when all hell breaks loose. Then Depending on the storm motion and velocity i may chase tonight, if storm speed and Motion is going to be to quick, i'll spot for the county, mainly from 1 or 2 high elevation/clear locations in my county
If the storms are moving quick after dark(which will most likely occur) I wont take chances trying to reposition, whithout being able to see whats happening.
New MD out for Northern Illinois including Chicago, Tornado Watch soon.
GO BUCKS
Mesoscale Discussion #0015
Issued: 07/1947 UTC
Until: 07/2045 UTC
Concerning: SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN IA..NERN MO..NRN/CENTRAL IL..SRN WI..FAR NWRN IN
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/
wonder what's taking so long to update this new outlook on spc
@Ez: Some minutes left till 20z, I'm sure the update will be out in a few minutes.
Usually when they have eastern OK as a part of a probable target area all the good stuff happens in MO or IL!!! And now they're about to do a TW there this sucks
Hmm.... I'm pretty sure they'll issue a watch box later in the afternoon. If not, then they must be blind or something, cause these storms will need one sooner or later.
Tornado Watch out now, woo!
it does look like everything is forming a more linear structure though.
First Tornado Watch out for this year!
Tornado Watch #1
Issued/Updated: Jan 07, 2008 at 1948 UTC
Expires: Jan 08, 2008 at 0300 UTC
Tornado Watch 1 Status Message has not been issued
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 1
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
155 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS
PARTS OF MISSOURI
AAAAAAAAAAAA and now it's RAINING here!
AAAAAAAAAAAA!
It's about time! The storms in SE Kansas are moving slower than I thought, so there might be some extremely localized flooding in that area. Further east into Missouri is looking a whole lot better for a tornadic potential.
Well I guess i'm goin to maybe head neast a little maybe ill get lucky see ya
so heidi who won our bet that we placed about the watchs/where they will fire up- or is a tie
WOOOOOT Tornado watch #1, and i am in it! although i am a border county.
That Supercell in NE MO, will track almost straight to me if the storm track doesnt change much
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
220 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
ST. CLAIR COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
* UNTIL 300 PM CST.
* AT 214 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS VERY
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES WEST OF OSCEOLA...OR 15 MILES
NORTHEAST OF EL DORADO SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.
* THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL BE NEAR...
LOWRY CITY BY 225 PM CST.
ANYONE IN OR NEAR OSCEOLA SHOULD TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY.
IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
LAT...LON 3821 9352 3819 9352 3818 9351 3815 9351
3804 9351 3803 9352 3797 9386 3808 9392
And here we go...
WFUS53 KSGF 072020
TORSGF
MOC185-072100-
/O.NEW.KSGF.TO.W.0001.080107T2020Z-080107T2100Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
220 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
ST. CLAIR COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
* UNTIL 300 PM CST.
* AT 214 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS VERY
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES WEST OF OSCEOLA...OR 15 MILES
NORTHEAST OF EL DORADO SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.
* THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL BE NEAR...
LOWRY CITY BY 225 PM CST.
ANYONE IN OR NEAR OSCEOLA SHOULD TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY.
IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
LAT...LON 3821 9352 3819 9352 3818 9351 3815 9351
3804 9351 3803 9352 3797 9386 3808 9392
3821 9376 3821 9358 3822 9357
TIME...MOT...LOC 2020Z 225DEG 44KT 3808 9375
excelent, looks like the ride has started.
What a way to open the new year lol.
Is it just me, or does it look like it's trying to build up into a Squall like in central MO?
WOOHOO!! I agree Jake, 2008 looks to be pretty darn good... haha. Time to get to work...
Hey Jake, this is going to go linear, with embedded supercells, like we are seeing right now...Further south and west toward the dryline, we'll see supercell being the dominant mode maybe.
And wow, look at that, Out of no where Darin(Maybe Dick is with him) Has come active on Spotter Network, and quickly making his way toward the 3 tw's in MO.
Guys, NO KIDDING - I took out 20 minutes to write a couple emails, and I come back to 80 DBZ by Clinton, MO!!!!
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA!!!!!!!!! I have to catch up!
If Dick/Darin/Outlaws aren't chasing these, there is a lot of cussing going on right now!
Thanks for pointing that out, Ben. I didn;t see that before I posted my last thing...
lol. I think Heidi's a little slow on the typing today... ;P Go get 'em TornadoLive! I wonder where the outlaws are though...
Wow...New Watch, Nrn IL, I am no longer a border county watch wise, and wow. Yea that Copulet is amazing.
And the watches out are both listed as Mod Risk for 2+ tornados, under the probability table.
Time to sit back, and watch the fireworks lol, looks like 3 torn warns, and 8 svr T-storm lol
Oh yeah, Donny, I think everyone busted on our predicted watch boxes from yesterday. :-/
Now isn't this the best example of a couplet you've seen this year?
http://i17.tinypic.com/72ic0w0.png
Another one!!
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
MORGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
* UNTIL 400 PM CST.
* AT 254 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS VERY
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LINCOLN...OR 9
MILES NORTHEAST OF WARSAW...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
* THIS TORNADIC STORM WILL BE NEAR...
STOVER BY 310 PM CST.
7 MILES NORTHWEST OF VERSAILLES BY 315 PM CST.
THE TOWNS OF FLORENCE AND SYRACUSE ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS
TORNADIC STORM.
IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE.
correct me if i am wrong-(still kinda tired) but it seems to me that the heaviest of precip on storm cell a-o out of springfield is starting to get intangled into where the tornado would be-therefore making it rain-wrapped- and as long as it remains isolated like it is-its going to be a long-tracked one- if it is in fact on the ground
Cell D-1 has 3+" hail!
HA-HA AJ! Nice couplet. DEFINITELY the best this year!
3.25 inch hail to the west of Versailles.
I wanna be there instead of here.
YES CHICAGO IS IN THE TORNADO WATCH #1
SO AM I
AWESOME
Hmm.... Donny, your making me study it more closely... if there was infact a rope on the ground, it could be pretty well hidden by all the precip rotating around it.
Oh man was I wrong last night!! Well it's the models fault! They keep changing ideas with the storms. When I looked at thiem this morning, I almost fell out of my chair...lol;)
Anyway, I think the slight risk are should areas near and East of I-35 in Oklahoma now. looking at the latest statement. right now, Eastern oklahoma has the greatest potential for severe storms in Oklahoma. But looking at this latest statement......
"A surface low over northeastern New Mexico will deepen in response to the approaching upper system. This will bring low level winds back from the south which will pull unstable air back into central oklahoma. Large scale lift ahead of the upper system is likely to result in more widespread thunderstorms in this evening...Most likely in central and south central Oklahoma. Wind profiles will be supportive for severe thunderstorms...Some in which may produce tornadoes. Persons in this are need to monitor the situation closely, and be prepared to take action if a tornado is spotted."
All that was from this statement I read from the NWS!!! AAAA!!!
asljhlksaf... I guess there wouldn't be any corepunching for me then... the 3-inch marker is right where I usually draw the line, since I had my hand almost broken by a baseball-sized chunk. It made me rethink my position a bit... ;)
Gosh, there's got to be something at least dropping from the sky...
Zack, make that "the entire state of Oklahoma." lol!
I wonder if Reed took off to chase IL, since he's still up there?!
probably heidi tornado warnings are now as far north as southeastern wisconsin
This is ridiculous. I'm mad. This should NOT be happening for IL and WI!!!!!!!!!!!!!
:D
This is insane lol, I haven't seen storms that show up this strong in forever!
haha. Crap, there's 6 tornado warnings out now... and a TVS in nothern IL.... AAAAAAAAH!
oy vey- thats all i can say i wasn't expecting tornado warnigns as far north as wisconsin today
This is wishful thinking on my part, but 2008's storm seems to have already started... :-O
T-Warning 1 county west of me, but it will move NW of me. Haven't checked the site lately - did today - what a surprise!
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
335 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008
ILC007-111-072200-
/O.CON.KLOT.TO.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080107T2200Z/
MCHENRY IL-BOONE IL-
335 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM CST FOR NORTHERN
BOONE AND NORTHWESTERN MCHENRY COUNTIES...
AT 331 PM CST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED JUST NORTH OF POPLAR GROVE...OR ABOUT 9 MILES
NORTH OF BELVIDERE...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH
Yess! Thank you spotters! lol. Now just hope it doesn't hit any populated areas...
Crap.... reports of "considerable damage" along with that tornado in Boone Co. This isn't looking good...
Confirmed damage in North Popular Grove area
LOOK OUT
Sirens must be going off in Capron and Lawrence right now...
A second TVS appeared off of the original rotation. Is it me, or is this a satellite rotation possibly???
any live feeds for anything?
Justin, try www.tornadolive.com/stream.html for a live feed in MO. Dick M. might have it running, I don't know...
Phew! The warning for Boone Co. has been cancelled. It's moved out of the area. I still think there might have been a brief satellite rotation branching off of the original one.
thx sounds like one active storm as of now hope damage isn't to bad
looks like the storm goin just south of ashland
Uh oh.... look at the long-track for that storm in WI. If it stays like it is, it threatens the town of Racine. If I'm correct, Racine is a fairly large town...:(
AJ, if you look at the very long track, it's headed for Grand Rapids. :)
TORNADO WATCH JUST NOW ISSUED FOR OKLAHOMA!!!