News DetailMassive MCS raging in northeast KS/southeast NE!
Posted At: September 6, 2007 @ 11:00 PM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Related Categories: General
The severe storms that developed earlier today over the central Plains have congealed into a massive mesoscale convective system (MCS) which has strengthened rapidly over the last few hours at the nose of a 40-50 knot low-level jet. Several severe thunderstorm and tornado warnings are in effect for this mass of convection in northeast KS, but strong winds and heavy rainfall should be the main threat. A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect for the area:
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haahHA first post. Man that was pointless anyways im off to bed.
What's this?? ^^
From the pic Brady just uploaded in the last blog entry.
I'm back and the action is finished...
Did you win your soccer game?
A funel Joe?
...4-0 for the others...but it was a good game
Looks like it might be a funnel to me. I'd like to hear Brady's view of the matter.
maybe...Did I miss something?
This is the reports for today
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html
You didn't miss a thing, that's my guess! I just got back from watching the football game.
ok, thanks! When I quit, things were looking good!
I have all day free tomorrow! I hope there will be action!
Where's Brady? We need his explanation about this!
it must be very calm here by winter... I'll miss the big season!
You have all day free tomorrow... to create a nice piece of tornado artwork!
Is Brady back yet?
Could be a funnel! The base above it definitely looks turbulent and outflow-ish though.
Which storms was he on Joe?
Yeah Joe! I'll be painting tomorrow!
I'll be damned!! I didn't notice anything tornadic when I took the pick!!
lol Where did you take it?
What is " outflow-ish " ?
Dude, I totally think I saved a screen shot of the radar from when you took that pic! Let me search my laptop for a few minutes and get back to you.
Reed, what do you think? Is that a funnel? This is a screenshot from a few minutes before he took the pic ^
I was just north of Ogilvie! Right when Joe told me to go north on 47!! I pulled off of 47 left on some road and stopped to take that pic! Heres a vid my brother took when we stopped! he is about a steady as a monkey!! hehe
That is exactly where I was Joe!!
I just can't come up with any other explanation for what that skinny little rope could be, except for some kind of funnel. Especially since the skies were turbulent to begin with. What else could it be.
Have you just lost your tornado virginity, man??
Congratulations Brady if it's really what we think it is! Lucky guy!
The color of the sky in the video is nice!
Well... I really don't think it was a bug streak!!
We'll just call it " The Funnel in Question"!!
Nice video Brady! Looks like a nice updraft base when you panned to the left.
It could have been a brief funnel, even if it was associated with a shelf cloud...the turbulent, outflow-ish base looks like some kind of gust front blasted through... and given the turbulence it is possible a small funnel could form...but Id have to see video of it to make sure. Was that potential rope rotating Brady? Or is it an artifact of the picture compression. Congrats on a great chase regardless!!
DICK! Did you see anything interesting out there? I heard you were on the tornado warned mass in NE KS.
Do someone have ever seen a tornado in a fall landscape with red/yellow/orange trees?
Here is an article describing the horrible aftermath of Felix:
http://news.aol.com/story/ar/_a/bodies-floating-in-the-sea-after-felix/20070901152509990001?ncid=NWS00010000000001
Also why no storm chaser should attempt to chase a hurricane in Nicaragua or Honduras.
It will happen this spring Caro!
Picture compression couldn't create such a small and randomly focused narrow pattern within the parameters of that cloud base - but what do I know - in fact I just made that up!
My guess is that's a needle little funnel caught on camera.
In spring??? maybe it's because it's late, but I don't understand...trees are colorful by fall, no?
I'm agree with Joe... It will be a real badluck if compression could create this...
I shoulda got a better quality photo than that!! =(
I need a new cam!!
A cam and a tripod! It could be very practical because under a "tornado" sky, light is low. The tripode will allow you to change your "exposure" and the picture will be better. Also, it won't move... ;-)
I have a tripod! and I brought it with! I just didn't use it!
The road I pulled off of was a lil busy!!
oups...sorry...I didn't know...
I'm out for bed guys... Good work again, Brady! Thanks a lot everyone!
Sleep tight Caro!! Thanx for the complements!!
well i think that this is a weird tornado season but they can happen anywhere under the right conditions....its not uncommon that they are this late is it?
by the way yall guys stay up real late!!
Yeah, see what happens when I went to bed early last night! Guys, the first thing I thought when I saw Brady's picture was, "Hey, what's that skinny tube in the center!?!?" and then Joe was like, "Is that a funnel in the center???" AAAAAAAAAA!!! I have to go see the video now, but anyway, NICE Brady! :-D
That article about the aftermath of Felix reminds me of the tsunami in Indonesia ... only that was about a million times worst I guess.
hey ya'll, wassup?
Hey, hows it going today??
I can't believe I wrote "a million times worst." Aggg... Worse. With an E on the end. 8-/
... ... ...
YEAH, I'm in the SLIGHT RISK for today!
FARTHER SW...FROM MO SW INTO PARTS OF KS/OK AND NW TX...SFC HEATING
OF VERY MOIST AIR SHOULD BE THE MAIN MECHANISM FOSTERING POTENTIALLY
STRONG AFTERNOON/EVENING STORMS. SETUP LIKELY WILL SUPPORT
DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERAL MULTICELL CLUSTERS. INDIVIDUAL CELLS EARLY
IN THE LIFE CYCLES OF THESE SYSTEMS COULD YIELD LOCALLY DAMAGING
WIND/MARGINALLY SVR HAIL AND POSSIBLY A BRIEF BOUNDARY-INDUCED
TORNADO BEFORE EVOLVING INTO HEAVY RAIN PRODUCERS THIS EVENING.
Ya im supposed to get something today also. Nothing Severe i dont think.
000
WONT41 KNHC 071242
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
845 AM EDT FRI SEP 07 2007
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED
BETWEEN BERMUDA AND THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST HAS BECOME BETTER
ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE
FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM
LATER TODAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW IS
FORECAST TO MOVE GENERALLY WESTWARD OR NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND INTERESTS ALONG THE EAST COAST OF THE
UNITED STATES SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
Here is a pic of the storm
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/#
As a matter of fact, I think I can also see the Virgin Mary, Elvis, and Bigfoot in that photo.
Thanx Heidi!! Joe Surfer led me right to it!! he deserves half the credit!! I didn't see any ropes or rotations when I took the pic! The sky was very turbulant and it was moving pretty fast! Thanx again Joe for taking your time to help a guy out! Funnel or not, it was a good trip!! A Pheasant ran across a dirt road when I stopped to " drain the bilge" that was pretty cool! Pheasants don't often come as far north as Duluth!!
Karen, I don't know what the pro's here say about Sept weather, but it doesn't blow my mind at all up in this region! It seem to me the summer storms don't really fire up here until July! It's like our seasons have been a month or two late for the last few years!!
Brady, Joe, guys, the line that moved through last night had some really looking slc's, it was an awesome gust front, but I'm pretty sure it was all pretty tame. I was out snapping pics of it. I swear gust fronts/shelfs always look more scary than wall clouds/funnels, they have some of the coolest features like shark's teeth that can look exactly like funnels. But it all did look very outflow dominant to me. Just my opinion.
It was a nice kiss goodbye to summer weather for the year, looks like it's adios until next spring, with the temps that are coming next week and beyond.
Here's a pic I took earlier this year!! The scuds in this pic started spinning around each other really hard for a minute or two but as it continued towards the lake it just kinda spread out all over!! One of the cars nearly rear ended another right when I snapped the shot! hehe My cam died right after I took the pic so I couldn't get any more!! =(
Hehe! What ever it was Andrew, it didn't last very long thats for sure! I know what you mean about shark teeth! I see them all the time! They always get my attention when I'm driving then I become a rolling road hazard trying to see what the hell it is !!
And yeah!! good bye to the mid 80's =(
Hmmm ... I just went to the SPC fully expecting the slight risk to be dropped for my area and yes, in fact it has been. All this rain must be stabilizing the atmosphere ... or something ... but they still have us in the 2% tornado risk. Oh well, the rain could be a huge event for us anyway. 4+ inches of rain possible over the next couple of days! http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/
When we get rain like that, we're trapped. Allow me to explain. Ahem:
In these here parts there ain't no such thang as a BRIDGE unless it's slung over a real, authentic & permanent river. Like the mighty Mississip. That one's got a few of them bridge thangs, lemme tell ya. With these dry-wash thangs I'm talkin bout, other show-offy states would have a very flashy raised span, over which one can drive their wagon without the team of horses becomming nearly drowned. But Arkansas ain't no show-offy state. Our back roads are almost all dirt to begin with, and we ain't got no need fer bridges on our dirt roads. Instead, our road department folks just slop down a good mess of concrete & smooth it out reeeeal nice-like, makin whachecall a "wet-weather" bridge. They only slop the concrete down because if they did not, there would be canyons and gorges left going 'cross the dirt road after every time we got us a flash flood. And the woman folk don't like the youngins playin in the canyons and gorges, so these "wet weather" bridges are designed in part to ease the woman folk minds.
We are faced with these wet-weather bridge situations on either side of us, both about 1/2 mile away, and with no other outlet. Flash floods become class-4 whitewater, and only the neighbors with 1-ton pickups try to cross.
Here I brightened it up a lil!!^^^
Hi everyone!
hey guys anything decent going on?
wow its like the begining of the day for you all lol:D
Brady: That sure looks ropey to me!
Heidi: Here in Manitoba its so flat, we get 4 days warning for a flash flood.
ZZZZZZZ
a storm is expected to hit Canada and the altanic coast of the US manliy the southeast US with max wind speeds up to 45 mph and gusts even higher.