News DetailTornadic Supercell raging in NE!
Posted At: September 28, 2007 @ 6:18 PM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Related Categories: Tornadoes
A persistent tornadic supercell has developed in extreme southwest NE and has moved northward across I-80 this afternoon. So far, no confirmed reports have been received from this storm, but it has looked incredible on radar...absorbing every cell that develops immediately around it. A severe thunderstorm watch has been in effect this afternoon for northwest KS and western NE, as a jet streak is ejecting out ahead of a large trough over the Western U.S. RUC analyzed 0-1 km EHIs (below right), are in the 2-3 range ahead of this storm, which is barely sufficient for tornadoes. EHI is a composite index involving both CAPE and helicity, and is a good measure of the instability and shear in the low-levels of the atmosphere. Sorry for the late blog update! I've been away from the computer all day today and just now returned to this insanity!
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A new tornado warning has just been issued for NW Kansas as well!!
578
WFUS53 KGLD 282314
TORGLD
KSC063-109-282345-
/O.NEW.KGLD.TO.W.0085.070928T2314Z-070928T2345Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
614 PM CDT FRI SEP 28 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WEST CENTRAL GOVE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTHEASTERN LOGAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...
* UNTIL 645 PM CDT
* AT 611 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO OVER EAST
CENTRAL LOGAN COUNTY...OR ABOUT 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE MONUMENT
ROCKS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RURAL EASTERN LOGAN COUNTY AROUND 630 PM CDT
RURAL WESTERN GOVE COUNTY AROUND 630 PM CDT
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO HAS BEEN OBSERVED OR INDICATED
BY RADAR. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO...SEEK SHELTER IN A
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR AND COVER UP.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FRIDAY
EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA.
LAT...LON 3900 10089 3889 10068 3872 10082 3871 10090
3883 10108
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 220DEG 24KT 3884 10092
Are you chasing tomorrow?
Cool! seems as if tornadic activity wasnt a major concern of the day in the spc outlook...now it is. I'm still wondering about tomorrows potential...I say so far so good!
Reed I asked this question in the last blog not sure if u saw it or not. But i was wondering if i could make a best of tornadovideos.net video just for the heck of it and of course i have to ask u if i can use your footage. But if you cant im alright with that. Anyways im out for the night going to watch the leafs game.
Check out my new video also. Just some cloud pics and a couple of rain shafts nothing special.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4BLCAs9CwE
Nice pics Matt!! I really like the last pic over the houses! that looks scary!! I hope you do that Matt!! I can't ever get bored watching Reeds vids!! That's a nice musky!! I seen one that looked about like them once!! I was staying on my boat in the marina!! I got up with a big hangover and went to the cooler for a cold coke! It was just floatng there looking at me behind the boat!! I think it was stocking the lil duckys that were near by!!
Here's some St. Elmos fire
Aaww, I just posted the Gove Co. warning on the last blog!! You beat me Reed! Oh well...
I could make it there in time I think...:D
My name ^^^ has the GR3 velocity scan on that cell.
http://i20.tinypic.com/2psf2ah.png
I'm watching that storm in KS on GR3!! Man that thing looks dangerous!!
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA Finally!! Check out the latest scan on it now! I spy... a hook! argh!
Wow... it's^^^ visible as hell!! alsdfjhshf
Haul ass AJ!! Go get it!! If I had a tornado that closed to me I wouldn't be home!! hehe
lmao. My truck needs the exercise anyway... come on gents, let's go!!
I"ll be going in without meteo. instruments, so it'll be gadget-less. Only my camera with me, if I can find it... I became a trained spotter not too long ago, now I"m licensed. :D
Here is a rare video of the June 12 2003 F0 Tornado that hitted Pittsburgh
I also saw a Multiple Vortex Funnel Cloud that day.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kH4FW8DGlYU
Hi everyone! finally some action!
Ooohhh...^^^ there has GOT to be something on the ground!! Lookie!!
http://i24.tinypic.com/1175r83.png
I can't stand it, I"m outta here!! Wish me luck!!
Peace!!
Those are really high-based, according to the reading on the meso icon. Reed said something like that he guarantees a high-based hose this weekend, so ... does this count as the weekend?? ;D
AJ - click the smoothing box on the right-hand side of your radar. It's by where it says "range rings". (Unless you've already determined that your machine won't allow smoothing.) :P
Go AJ!
Tornado on the ground. Looks like Mike Umscheid is on it.
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT FOR GOVE
COUNTY...
AT 721 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED ABOUT 14 MILES SOUTH GRINNELL...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 25 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
GOVE AND GRINNELL AROUND 750 PM CDT...
GRAINFIELD AROUND 805 PM CDT...
PARK AROUND 815 PM CDT...
QUINTER AROUND 825 PM CDT...
Tomarrow is looking good to
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
GOVE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...
* UNTIL 830 PM CDT
* AT 721 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES
NORTHEAST OF THE MONUMENT ROCKS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
GOVE AROUND 750 PM CDT...
8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GRAINFIELD AROUND 805 PM CDT...
PARK AROUND 815 PM CDT...
QUINTER AROUND 820 PM CDT...
THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 79 AND 112.
A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO HAS BEEN OBSERVED OR INDICATED
BY RADAR. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO...SEEK SHELTER IN A
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR AND COVER UP.
PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
GOODLAND.
Go AJ, and be safe! This storm looks insane-72DBZ......NWS says it produced Walnut sized hail and has a history of producing tornadoes. Very dangerous storm.
I hope he stays smart and doesn't get blind sided from something that hasn't shown up yet!! It's dark now!! Good Luck Dude!!
watch this.... a tornado creats a rainbow it is a tornadic waterspout. it is o cool
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=whAsjVbZFt4&mode=related&search=
sorry lol
That storm is insane! 3-4" hail on GR 3!!!! You're right Brady..its dark now...making it twice as dangerous. He needs to watch his back so he doesnt get hit unexpectedly.
Night time twister are a bread of there own . But fun, lol. Reed , I am going north in morning , I will keep an eye out for ya.
Jason Young
Oklahoma
That tube seems to be moving to the ESE. Umscheid seems to be getting into good position.
...unless he's running away from it, that is.
If AJ is going commando (no radar), he may have a hard time discerning what's going on, trying to get through all that storm to the south of the tornadic cell
That's exactly what I was thinking, Joe. Hopefully he's just pulled over somewhere being awed by the lightning & structure. The cell near Scott City could cause a lot of problems for anyone coming north from Garden City.
I shoulda seen if he had a cell# I'd hate to see something drop on him in the dark!! It is kinda comforting knowing someone will call if things go hay wire!! That's a real big help on the road Joe!! especially around here where ya can't see very far day or night!!
Hey all, I see there is some action finally.
Or did I miss the best stuff already?
Yeah, that Scott City cell could be putting down some hefty hail, too. That original cell that Mike U. was on seems to be falling apart.
I wish my town was named Garden City!! that sounds better than Duh looth!!
I don't think ya missed much if ya stick around another day or two!! hehe
Good Luck, Stay Safe, and Have Fun Jason!! Bring us back some goodies!! hehe I'm gonna try to cover Minny tomorrow so hats off fellow chaser!!!
That's gonna fire!! watch it !! AJ be carefull!!
Be safe AJ...
Is that Scott City cell is about to do something..
WOO HOO!
Just heard some thunder!
What am I doing watching weather 1000 miles away!
I think so Joe!! Probably a lil funnel pokin out soon!!
Never mind, just some puny little things around here. Back to KS, ahem.
Sorry to here that Joe!! hehe Maybe one of these days!!
Accuweather forecast for Winnipeg Saturday Night.. I love how non-chalant they are about this: A few damaging thunderstorms; mainly cloudy and windy
Oh it's just some thunderstorms that will cause damage.. don't worry about it. *watches his neighbour's house blow away*
Thar she blows, just like we predicted.
We called that one like Babe Ruth!! hehe Good job!!
Look how expertly Umscheid maneuvered himself into position for this new one. He's good!
where do i look lol
* actually I guess he's kinda far away (over 15 mi) and heading south now, so maybe he's not going for it
I'm watching Goodland KS radar!!
joe where are you watching this??
It looks like he's trying to get to the right flank of the thing.. probably sees a hail band coming towards him and doesn't have a baseball bat as standard equipment in his chase vehicle.
http://www.underthemeso.com
It me or does that cell look ready to split?
Mike most of us are watching this on a program called GRlevel3, which is a radar program that displays current weather conditions... and also shows the position of some storm spotters that are on the network. The program costs $80 but there is a free trial for a few weeks
http://www.grlevelx.com
Nice call Tim, that south part is moving right all right
Green tvs on gr2 now...looks like its hooking
I highly recommend you try it Mike!! It's very easy to use and is quite accurate!!
How in the hell can a storm spotter have action that close to him/her and be inactive!! cmon get on the ball here buddy!! hehe
Yah i used up my free teial of GR3 :(
I was just thinking the same thing Brady! Ten miles away. Maybe if there's a tube you can still see it in the lightning
I suppose it's a lil flatter around there Than I'm used to!! hehe
Looking at Mike's photography, it looks like he may be more into skyscapes and lightning stuff instead of crawling right up the elephant's trunk like Reed does, so maybe that's what he's up to
If I was nowcasting AJ I'd tell him to head home!! unless he was getting some good destruction!! I'm always affraid of it storming at home when I'm gone!!
That would be great date for a high schooler on a Friday night in the Plains... stick your girl in the car and take off for supercells!
If you ask some of the rural guys out here the girl would probably find it more interesting then most dates haha
Well, if he's a storm spotter, the parents can track them on GR3! heheheh
I find supercells to be more interesting than my dates!! lol
Does the "live tracker" tab on the website work for anyone? It just gives me an error that "Variable APIKEY is undefined."
It's broker than a stepped on cookie. I think Reed has it on his to do list.
So it's not just me. Thanks, Joe!
How come Reed hasn't fixed it? I mean, what else does he have to do? Other than chase storms. And take classes. And work on his thesis. And do interviews. And... :-)
Hey everybody!! Thanks for wishing me luck, I realized I needed a heavy dose of it after going "commando" (thanks Joe ;)
I pulled up about halfway between Scott City and Garden City, parked in the ditch and watched the storm roll off to the NE, and oohed and awed over all the lightning. There was some intense lightning in that thing! I managed to get a few photos while driving (tricky, I know), and a short film, when I edit it, it should be about a minute long. Hopefully, my equipment is up and I can get it online soon!!
I got home about an hour ago... I actually stopped spotting before that. I went to go check on a friend out in the country, that had hail an inch thick in his driveway!
The last successful chase of the year methinks...
I don't know, knowing my dates, they'd want to drive into the tornado!! lol Most of them like it when a storm pops up... if you live in Kansas, and hate severe weather, there is something wrong with you! lol
Tom,
The Live Tracker doesn't work while Reed isn't chasing. I'm not sure if he is chasing tomorrow. I would say no, but it could look amazing tomorrow morning.
Congrats AJ! Just so you know, right after you left, the cell over Scott City put out a tornado warning, so you were watching the right thing!
Ooohh yeah! I saw some rotation, possibly a rain-wrapped tube. It was so thick I had to pull over and get my bearings, and make a few calls to local farming buddies ;)
AJ!!! I'm so jealous of you!!. Grats on the chase, I think bike chasing that would be a LITTLE*ahem* to much for a kid on a bike to handle...
I was sitting in the Dodge (yes, I have a red Dodge pickup now :D), in a ditch near this dairy outside of Scott City, wondering what was hidden inside of all that rain and hail. Apparently, there was a tornado! I saw it once, when I took a dirt (now thick mud) road, parked again a few miles in, sat and waited.
Unfortunately, now that I look over the video and pics, most all of them I took after it started to hail on me aren't worth a crap :( There might be some salvagable ones... hopefully.
lol. Thanks Kenny. You could have come with me, if you pedaled down here fast enough. ;) lol
Oh trust me, I'll get some nos on this thing!
lmao. I can just picture that Kenny... ;)
I'm glad to see your back AJ!! I was a lil affraid something might side swipe ya up the road a lil!! Maybe next time one of us can update ya via cell phone!! I have free LD so it aint no prob!!
hahaha. Thanks Brady!! I have... not so free LD on my phone. lol Maybe you could help pay my expenses. ;) jk
I was scared the whole time I was in Scott Co. that I would be blown into a ditch!! lol I couldn't see!!
Brady you were more worried about the red Dodge! Admit it! :-)~
Ahhh so boring around here. Suppose to snow tonight. ;(
Betchya that dodge holds the road good!! hehe
It was cool on GR3!! I can only imagine how it looked from the ground!!
Yeah!! I was a lil there Joe!! hehe
:D:D:D You woulda loved it Brady! And yes, the Ram holds the road well, since I balanced the tires ;)
AJ. Are you gonig to upload any of the film you got?
Well, I would if I could find the old-tech cables to hook up to the camera, and my computer. Also, I have to edit it, I might have cussed. ;) No cussing on camera. Bad habit. *cough cough Reed cough. lol jk
That's kool Dude!! Hopefully this spring I can get down that way!! I've been through Nebraska once, Wyoming twice, and South Dakota 3x!! but never Kansas!!
Hey Joe!! have you noticed that every time we chased when it looked better near SD!! I ended up with the best to offer!! for the most part!! Maybe that'll happen again!!
Unless there's some cool clouds building, my part of Kansas looks just like Wyoming... only no mountains. Not even a hill really. lol Just piles of dirt. ;)
My name doesn't have a storm pic from tonite, but an older view of just south of Garden City.
Well I'm out for tonight. Tired and bored. Cya guys tomorrow! Severe weather possible south of manitoba and southern manitoba tomorrow!
It looks peaceful and Quiet AJ!! I like that!! It getting too busy around here!!=( people everywhere!! Even in the thick of the woods!!
Peaceful and quiet is half right. Not too far from that I think now there's going to be another dairy or something... I don't know, we're growing ag-related leaps and bounds out here. What needs to grow is our high school: 1900 kids and the halls are THICK!
yeah Brady, one thing's for sure, you haven't missed out on anything.
Like the old saying goes,
Film what you can, with what you see, where you are!
Or something like that. When do we find out if Reed is chasing tomorrow or not?
lol. Something close to that Joe. I"m gonna bug Reed on myspace to get an answer.
I bet!! When I went to DCHS (Duluth Central High School)
we had like 1700! It was nuts!! and there is 3 public High schools in Duluth alone not to mention all of the high schools within a 20 mi radius and the private schools!!
And when I went to Central it was for the most part half blacks and half hicks!!=( So you can imagine how a day at school was for me!!
Yeah I see he's online!! Hey Joe!! You gots a myspace???
Heres a map I just made for tomorrows outlook so far, I will be making another when the latest models out tomorrow morning.
Alright I'm out for good now. Peace everyone, especially AJ.
Joe, I just discovered this! Did you mention the tornado in the Northwest today? I know it is nothing like what other areas of the U.S. get … at least the NW got something.
I just read a local TV blog, and the TV station’s chief meteorologist mentioned it. If you would like to see two pictures of the tornado –
http://stormteam12.typepad.com/stormteam12/
There are two reports (for 9/28/07) for the Lebanon, Oregon area according to the NWS.
ROOFS DAMAGED ON SEVERAL FARM BUILDINGS OFF TENNESSEE SCHOOL DRIVE DAMAGED BY TORNADO. SEVERAL TREES UPROOTED AND 1 TREE SNAPPED OFF. (PQR)
TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN BRIEFLY. NO REPORT OF DAMAGE. (PQR)
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/today.html
Nope, I don't have a myspace or a facebook or anything like that. I barely have an email address.
Whoa, Jason in Vancouver WA!! Nice!
A tornado in the Pac NW! Thanks for the news. I had no idea! Nice to see you again too.
Man, you and me are going to have to chase the NW for tubes one of these days! Ha ha ha (sob)
I don't play with myspace too much!! outside of a few from here, the only people in myfriends are woplw I've actually met!! I spend most of my internet time here (duh), ebay, and shopping for houses!! Oh ya and of course GR3!!
WoW!!... woplw?? Thats a new word!! hehe People is what that was supposed to say!!
Brady I saw this place for sale, just a little bit north of you ^
LOL!!! I'll Take It!! HEHE
hahaha. Niiice. I am a teenager, so a myspace comes in handy. lol
Whoa!! Some stuff firing up West of me!! Where did this come from??
haha. It seems to have appeared there suddenly Brady... ;)
Welp, that concludes an exciting nite for me! Thanks for caring, I'll see ya'll later!
Peace, gnite!!
Gnite AJ!! I'm gonaa get a quick nap before these storms come!! if anything at all!! I'll be back in a couple hours!!
Ha ha ha, I just logged on to the Seattle radar, and lo and behold, there is actually a storm spotter there!
Somebody named "truckerweatherwatch." I had heard of them before but had to look them up. They are truckers who are also stormspotters. How cool is that? I'll have to meet the guy, it looks like he lives around here.
http://tech.groups.yahoo.com/group/truckerweatherwatch/
Ha ha ha x 2! This is a pic of the guy's truck ^^ (found it on the internet)
He actually installed a Vortex anemometer on his big rig!
Hey guys...we decided not to head out because of the low moisture. We'll be coming out of retirement for sure next week.
The shear looks amazing tomorrow..if it were closer to home we'd be all over it
hey guys just got up....
well done on the chase AJ!
cool reed i hope ya get something next week
Reed guys watch this video it is so cool at one point it creats a rainbow and then it is on the news.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=whAsjVbZFt4
There's a few boomers rolling over now!! Not too impressive, but BOOM!!
Tornado Warning!! Brevard Co. FL!!
Wasn't it that earlier this summer, you guys weren't impressed with the shear, but moisture was good?? I thought that was the case a few times!! Now the shear is incredible, but lack of moisture!!! hmm... Sooner or later it's bound to come together!!!
hey guys....
you expcted anything today then brady?
We'll just have to wait and see!! There is some small storms coming through now!! Nothing good yet!! Maybe later in the day!! I'll be ready to chase if something can happen fairly closed to here!! I've got my eye on Tuesday!!
ah cool well lets hope as the day goes on storms begin to grow for ya....
Brady, are you actually up this early or still up? haha
Looking like battery charging time for me. Think I will cross the border if things look good to the south later. I know you are going out!
Its kinda hard to believe that I can talk about chasing anything but snow squalls at the end of september.
I got some more rare videos now
Grand Rapids Tornado 1956
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xj5VU3-0mTU
Spencer SD Tornado
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7pHiUJNoThQ
Hehe!! I was woke by thunder!! There's a little storm action around here, but nothing worth chasing yet!! Hopefully later!! It's only 56f here!! Kinda cool!!
lol brady.....
great videos cyclonejp......
Yeah, I saw on the radar some leftovers headed your way.
Forecast for us is 30% chance of showers from EC. I'm hoping for more than that. Obviously!
Guess I'll do the usual... Work all day until I see something happening then drive like a madman.
I was just checking the models and the ETA is showing a pretty generous area of 60s dewpoints (ON THE 6-HR), basically in the same place where the SPC has the slight risk. The cape is not *that* bad in those areas, especially through the central Dakotas. It looks like mid-to-low level shear will be pretty huge, but upper-level shear is a bit more to the east. Don't ask me what that means in terms of storms though! ... The models for late Tuesday-Wednesday are causing me to feel some anticipation for severe action, but it's still pretty far out and a little too far north yet. Something has to happen here sometime, but I hope I don't have to wait until November - cruelty! :D
Here's the site with the models, if anyone is intersted and/or doesn't have it.
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/model/index.php?model=eta
We're off to go pick up our truck from the Dodge garage. There was a recall with the ball joints on the front end & they were worn out pretty badly, so HOPEFULLY that solves the mystery. That was some scary stuff last weekend! 8-O
Heidi, recall on ball joints? Thats a first. Usually they chalk it up to wear and tear. Good for you.
I didn't have that link. Thanks.
I werk on cars all day and let me tell ya!!! They don't make ball joints like they used to!! I'm seeing more and more plastic every year!! =( I lost my love for Chevys 5 years ago!! Never loved Fords!! Dodge is heading in the same direction!!
Too bad it wasn't night here!! I'd probably have a good lightning chase over the lake!!
Brady, I own a little customizing shop here in Winnipeg so I totally know what you mean. I also do normal repair work to pay the bills and I can safely say the big 3 have nothing but big problems nowadays. Big horsepower is my passion. Better for chasing too! haha
Hehe!! Nice to see someone agrees!! It's just sad!!
At least there is less rusty crap on the streets!!
It looks like another lil storm has takin aim on me!! I might have to go for a lil Saturday drive!! hehe
Still looks pretty active for this time of day. Might be worth a spin round the block.
I know what ya mean by Horsepower!!^^
And That is exactly what I'm gonna do!! BRB!!!
Nice! I'll check back later too.
Nothing but rain!! =( and a few thunder claps!! Booo!!!
It's just crappy here!!
Hey Brady i pretty sure i know what your doing today. If anything comes your way.
Don't worry Brady. All of the good stuff will happen later in the day and moisture should come in later in the day too. I'm sure you'll get to chase something today/tonight! I'm just sitting here in the cold weather bored.
It seems like this year for the Southern Plains all the severe weather happened early in the spring season, and will be late for the fall season as well. GLOBAL WARMING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Reed I know it's WAAAAY to early to be talking about this, but what do you think of Tuesday?
For that matter, every couple of days for the next 10 look interesting, lol.
Only thing I see on Tuesday's model is the high dews might stay south of us up here.
Here is the latest tornado outlook.....
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1probotlk_1630_torn.gif
it seems the cap is strong untill about 4pm here what could higher surface temps change that.
Hey guys... It is once again Saturday, and you all know what that means.... COLLEGE FOOTBALL!!! OU is playing Colorado today, should be a breeze. Anyway my stubborn pool wont drain all the waterout so I have spent most of the morning w/ a bucket filling it with water and emptying it.. And let me tell ya it wasn't fun!!
Despite the pool problems, the weather is very nice this morning! It may be 82 degrees but there is no humidity and add a breezy wind and it feels wonderfull!! It looks like we COULD see some roudy weather on Sunday when a cold front comes through. I'll definently be watching the situation!
So is anything happing where you guys are at??