News DetailSevere weather possible across Northern Plains today!
Posted At: September 23, 2007 @ 12:02 PM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Related Categories: General
A large trough will move slowly eastward across the Western U.S. today, with a nice southwesterly upper jet stream prevailing aloft across the Northern Plains. In response to this trough, a 40+ knot low-level jet will also develop across the Plains, but the best flow will remain just east of the instability axis, except maybe in northeast ND and southeast Manitoba. Another limited factor today will be the lack of moisture, resulting in limited instability as seen in the RUC forecast CAPE for 00z this evening (below left). Storms will likely develop between 3 and 5 pm today, and could be supercellular, especially in central and northeast ND and southeast Manitoba.
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Oh boy a new blog!!! I hope you MB'ians have fun. I know I wont :(.
Awesome! One last shot!
Batteries are charging right now.
We had a small cell with lots of lightning go over Winnipeg around 7 am. Looked to me like it was a rotating cell with the sun just coming up it was lit from underneath. Would have been a great shot if the batteries weren't dead on my cam.
If anyone else has plans of chasing MB, keep me posted. I need all the help I can get.
Yeah but only 2% chance of a tornado.
AMAZING COINCIDENCE. I'm contouring 500 mb troughs for homework right now.
Any one wanna chat with me on OWS?
Caleb, I'll say the same thing I said last time you brought up the percentage being too low.
I'd rather see it live in person than on youtube!
There's a large trough coming through?? That'll be great for the pigs. Oink!
I sure wished I had a videocam last night. You guys haven't lived until you've gone out to a rundown tavern in a logging town on a Saturday night and listened to dudes with no teeth singing country tunes on a Karoake machine!
By the way I got third place! (In the Texas Hold'em game, not the Karoake!) I'm heading back out there right now as a matter of fact. Last week I won the football pool and I'm looking to two-peat!
Good luck to all you Manitobans today, I hope you score something.
I had 666 on this post until I refreshed to get a less Satanic number. 5908 sounds good to me.
Joe, I think I've been to that bar before. In a different town... But the same bar. That's what you call grassroots entertainment.
I'll more then likely chase anything that develops around here Strike. From the pics I saw on TWN it definitely looked to be rotating. Hopefully that means we've got some good less-visible variables in the mix here.
Cool, at least some one else saw it.
I guess we need to play the waiting game for a bit.
Hey strike you wanna chat on OWS? if so here is a link
http://www.ontarioweatherservice.com/owschatroom.html
Sorry Caleb, I'm working on a car right now. A customer of mine wants it back tomorrow and I've gotta get it done in time for chasing. If its worth chasing that is.
Thanks for the invite though.
Ok I'll try next time
hey guys....
cool joe sounds like fun :D and well don on coming 3rd lol
nothing is happening from what i can see ogr3 anyone got anything going on where they are?
Tim watch this
There was a storm here in Winnipeg this morning? Now i really regret not sleeping until 4AM cause i missed it :( Oh well...at this rate, stroms seem to mpoissibly fire soon-yet no watch from EC...
hahaha!!! caleb thats hillarious lol cheers for that lol :D
Haha Jon.. yeah I woke up to the thunder cause my window was open, rain came in heavy and hard and I was about to go back to sleep and flash of lightning lit up my room.. Got up looked out the window, didn't see any cows or other ominous flying debris so went back to sleep haha.
Hey all!! I just woke up!! lol It's like July outside!! 78F and humid!! The grass is the greenest It's been all year!!
Thanx for the compliments!! Yeah I know photobucket kinda stinks!! I'll see if I can do better in a bit!
Yes Heidi!! It's a Lake Trout!! They are usually a little prettier than that, but sitting on Ice for a few hours faded it out!!
hey brady..... hows your day going??
lol uve just got up blimey must of been up late lol
Severe Thunderstorm Watch just issued in Southern Manitoba!!!!!!
Severe T-storm watch is up for Southern Manitoba:
Portage and south/west
Curse you and your quicker typing Jon! XD
lol look at this statement:
"...though the tornado potential is very low....except for areas very near local Walmarts...where the tornado threat jumps to 15%."
JK
:-P
So that would make it 415% for Walmarts adjacent to trailer parks?
lol totally......and 500% if its for Walmarts adjacent to trailer parks in Oklahoma on Texas!
Hehe! Yeah Tim I was up kinda late making that vid!!
I'm a big noob to that stuff!! I've got a lotta learning to do in that department, but if I need any help I know where to ask!! hehe I seen earlier in the blog there was some advice on converting MOV files (easyshare)! I'll look back later!!
The AC's on the roof and the warm air rising from the parking lots of Walmarts must have some sorta Cap Breaking Effect!!
haha brady....nah i think is good cause means got summin to look at when i get up in the morning lol
yeh it must of taken you ages.... was really good cant wait to see next years lol
Yeah Tornado thret low.... LANDSPOUT OUT MY WINDOW
I'll take some vid
JK
nice! I'd say SE MB looks the best in north America today. Have faith in the nose of the LLJ! Joe: we always try and stop at those types of places when we storm chase. If you're ever near grafton, ND there is an incredible bar with blackjack and poker tables. I'm going to retire there
Hehe ! Like I said a few days ago The weather we're famous for hasn't even began to show it's coming! Personally I love this warm moist stuff that we've been getting like today! But when It leaves, It leaves in a big way!! I'll leave that vid just the way it is!!
i would brady its fine as it is if you dont mind me saying so.....
would someone be able to tell me what tame is for this type of cell if it has one just i saw it on gr3 and it looked amazing have never seen anything like it before.... the link is below...
http://s214.photobucket.com/albums/cc264/timmyrfc/?action=view¤t=gr3images-1.png
That's that squall line formed The pic's and vid I took was the North tip of it quite some time earlier! It came over Duluth at about 3:10pm cdt!
ah cool....it looked really good on radar something like 8 svr thunderstorm wanings from just that one squall line cell.....
was it good from where you saw it then??
Here's when it came over!! ( my mic on my cam is super sensitive! so don't think the wind was as bad as it sound!
cool lol....seemed to be moving at some speed there :P
I hate you all, all you manitobans and everyone else who got severe weather!!! :( I hate living here it's so boring.. It's cloudy and misserable here.
Solution for Kenny: Move.
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
402 PM CDT SUN SEP 23 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN PECOS COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST TEXAS...
* UNTIL 500 PM CDT
* AT 359 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
MONITORING A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM COYANOSA
TO 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT STOCKTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
FORT STOCKTON...
COYANOSA...
US HIGHWAY 285...
STATE HIGHWAY 67...
INTERSTATE 10...
FARM TO MARKET ROAD 18...
IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER... YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK
SAFE SHELTER NOW.
sorry kenny lol
Tim. I wish I could but I can't. Just not legal enough for me to move lol. Well I'm sure I'll get something.....
Eventually...
I think we're the only ones not watching football right now!!
lol i thought some football was on today.....
thought was gunna be here alone lol
rit guys im out .... got school tomorrow so got to get some sllep, have a good one, see ya!!
Have a good one Tim!!
hey guys ive just been woken up by a stgusts well in excess of 50mph.....
i dont know where that came from but i got up grabbed my camera an got a few videos lol
will be bacl later got schoool :( see ya!
Whoa! Was that Seahawks game great or what!
Got my butt kicked in Texas Hold'em tonight. We must have had five fights break out around the table tonight! I'm a peacemaker, not a fighter. This one dude, when you went to shake his hand, would squeeze real hard and try to start something... well you know the story. The karoake was awesome as well.
I hope somebody got some good storms tonight, but judging by the blog entries it doesn't sound like it.
Reed we're counting on you to forecast some great Oct/Nov action for us!