News DetailSevere Thunderstorm Watches issued: Central/Northern Plains and Manitoba!
Posted At: September 23, 2007 @ 4:48 PM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Related Categories: General
Severe thunderstorm watches have been issued by the Storm Prediction Center for central NE north to ND, and by Environment Canada for south-central Manitoba for this afternoon and evening, as a jet streak ejects northeastward through the eastern side of a massive trough. Straight-line winds and marginally severe hail will be the main threat, since instability and low-level shear will be lacking, esp. for the U.S. watch box. There will be a small chance for tornadoes further north over extreme southern MB later today, but it is doubtful. Good luck chasing!
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Yea!! I get first post!! Everybody must be out watching football!
Lol Thats what I was thinking!! hehe
Nah I just suffer from firstpostphobia. I'm scared to death I'll lead the entire conversation off the wrong way. Actually I was watching mythbusters and wasn't paying attention haha
is there gooing to be a tornado u think
Cells finally moving northeast into eastern MB.. hopefully something develops.. unfortunately the clouds moved further east and prevented some of the daytime heating as well I think.
Looks like there will be a small chance of something here tomorrow! hopefully I can get more vid's!!
Looks like some towers going up just Southwest of Portage La Prarie on the 2300Z shot from 2 mins ago
Awesome. Cross your fingers people. Hey everyone, hope you had a good weekend!
I got excited when I had ILC's building over my house, but then the stupid upper level wind came up and sheared them to nothing :(
hahaha yeah know that feeling.. it's like "GET UP THERE" and then it just blows away.
wow-is there ever a joke there. (must keep it PG-must keep it PG!!)
my apologies-I'm still quite surprised I got to post first. I've been watching this blog now for almost 2 months, hardly ever post-and wahlah!! I get to post first!!!
NEW WATCHES South of Winnipeg!
No worries Susan. Glad to have you here..despite your REALLY BAD JOKES.. ;)
Well it looks like I'm gonna get to chase tonight.. I gotta go prep my car with the power inverter and stuff.
Be back soon!
Tim, are you going out if anything pops?
Nevermind. You answered my question
Latest radar shows something popping west of Morden MB
Threw the echo top static shot I use in my tag link. It's off the NavCanada site and updates on the 2's every 10 minutes (6:32, 42, 52, 02). It's got a better shot of where everything's developing before it starts actually raining.
Good luck Tim!! Go get 'em. May I ask what type of car it is? Just curious.
Sorry Susan, only a mild chuckle here. ;)
Cool Tim. Didn't know that existed. Much more information than EC radar has.
*chirp-chirp
It sucks waiting for something to happen.
Looks like a cell is growing just south of Carman MB. Might be time to head down Highway 3?
Input from anyone would be cool.
Go for it Strike. Since I live in Kansas, methinks it'd be too far for me to travel. lol
Is there a radar pic or velocity scan available?
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2011
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0645 PM CDT SUN SEP 23 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN ND/FAR NORTHWEST MN
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 232345Z - 240145Z
SEVERE THREAT MAY INCREASE THROUGH EARLY EVENING ACROSS EASTERN ND
INTO FAR NORTHWEST MN...WITH A RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WITH
THE STRONGEST STORMS. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR DEVELOPMENTAL
TRENDS...CURRENT THINKING IS THAT A WATCH COULD BE NEEDED BY AROUND
01Z.
LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS FEATURES 999 MB SURFACE LOW ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL ND...WITH ATTENDANT COLD FRONT ANGLING NNE-SSW ACROSS
CENTRAL ND/WEST CENTRAL SD. WHILE SUFFICIENT INHIBITION/LACK OF
FORCING ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR HAS LIMITED DEEP CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT THUS FAR...FRONTAL FORCING/HEIGHT FALLS AHEAD OF WESTERN
STATES UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH EARLY/MID EVENING...PERHAPS LIKELY BY AROUND
01Z-02Z ALONG A JAMESTOWN-DEVILS LAKE CORRIDOR. ALTHOUGH MAXIMIZED
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...MODERATELY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR EXISTS
ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR...WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 40-45 KT
ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN ND INTO NORTHWEST MN. IN SPITE OF MODEST
INSTABILITY...AMPLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR/LONG HODOGRAPHS WITH SOME LOW
LEVEL VEERING WILL FAVOR THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME BRIEF SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES/POSSIBLE LEWP EVOLUTION...WITH SMALL BOWING SEGMENTS
POTENTIALLY POSING AN ENHANCED RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS. SOME LARGE
HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL.
Click my name for EC's radar site. If you look at the loop there is a cell popping between Morden and Winnipeg.
I see it, barely. lol I bet it's more impressive in person than on radar. I'd give it a couple more minutes, and then get ready to get on the highway ;)
It actually looks way bigger on GR3 from the Grand Forks radar site.
Either way, I'm not going anywhere until I see prettier colors on radar.
*Pulls up GR3...
Yeah, it looks better there. haha And yes, pretty colors help in making the decision ;)
Its almost dark here now, so I'm probably going to give up pretty soon if nothing really nasty happens. Looks like its coming my way anyway.
Well that was a waste of time. Wasn't going to Steinbach, got out to the perimeter, took a look around, decided to head back, started turning around and the watches ended west of here haha.
It's a Buick Century FYI.. (Old people's car.. but it's got power everything and leather interior ;D)
Strike.. don't go chasing blues and purples on the Nav echo haha. Until it gets to orange I -generally- don't chase it... cept logic left me this evening.. I'm gonna blame severe weather withdrawl.
I feel your pain.
Looks like that cell coming north on highway 3 is sticking together. Might hit the southwest perimeter.
Still only a couple of lightning strikes, so its not intense at all.
Nahh it's all just wimpy stuff under 30,000 feet.
Found an old radar echo top of a tornado warning we had in Steinbach back in July haha. Link's in my tag.
Correction.. June 26... I can read the date off a radar pic.. Yay me!
Looks like eastern MB got napalmed. Cool.
Hey. Hate to tell you this, but we got orange on the latest scan.
I'm done. TV is calling my name. Catch ya'll later.
Haha Cya!
I'm just stiitin here watching The Longest Day!! I love old war movies!! Looks like ND's firing up!! hehe!! I hope I can get another chase in!!
Good luck! I'm gonna go lie down and do something relaxing which I've yet to determine.
haha. Hey, if it's comfy Tim, no problem there ;)
Later Strike and Tim! Have a good one! I'm pretty close to settling in for the nite also, maybe watch some old movie on TV...
I love that movie Brady! Nice choice.
G'nite all!!
Looks like we've got some severe storm headed toward us in Grand Forks. I hope they don't keep me awake.
Brady, speaking of old movies, I'm wathcing War of the Worlds.
hey guys was just driving back from winnipeg a spotted a funnel which jumped back in the cloud about 30 minutes ago
Where did you spot this funnel?
just north of brunkild
How far down was it? and ec till has no warnings...
quarter down
Cool. Looks like EC doesnt wanna issue warnings on any of these cells when they should.
Grand Forks, ND, set a new record high today of 92. The previous record was 88 set back in 1958. I can't believe that it's still 86 here.
I just watched the war of the worlds the other day!! hehe
I'm watching Grand forks on the GR3! looks interesting!
yeah Heidi!! That's the only thing my vid lacks! Like Joe says. " Practice is over"!! Time to step up and get me a hose!!
can u send a link to gr3 i cant find it on google i need to download it
Sure!! http://www.grlevelx.com/
thanks
No prob Gus! Sure is quiet tonight!!
ya
Brady, you should have had PBS on tonight, The WAR a new Ken Burns Documentary is on. Fantastic 7 part series profiling the WW2 from the average mans point of view who were there to fight it.
Thanx Jim!! I'll check it out! It'll be back on!!
I've had family in just about every war since WW1 and probably before! I'm always up for a good war movie or documentary!! Especially on the war that everyone agreed needed to be fought!!
How did things look down your way the other day(s) Jim??
It was pretty intense up here!! hehe
Hey Brady,
I just spent the whole weekend down on Canal Park, and completely fogot to tell you we were coming.
Sorry, I suck. Anyway, what a great day to be up there for the fall color and the weather. Dang that lake is LOW.
Could tomorrow night be our last hurrah for this year's severe weather?????
I hope you had a good time!! The weather couldn't be any better! Yeah I've never seen the lake this low!! It's got me worried!!=(
It's been like a lil vacation for me!! To go chasing around that crazy stuff like that and then to come back and relax in this late summer!!
Hopefully something can happen tomorrow!! It would be great to make another trip!! I'm ready 2 roll just in case!!
Oh man!! It must be John Wayne night on AMC!! Now The Green Berets is on!! hehe Another great one!!
chirp chirp!!
Heres a pic I took with my cell phone in Pine City! This was the most damage I seen!!
Been pretty quiet down here Brady, storms have gone around us here. Getting dry again. Then again, that could all change today though.
Tomorrow looks good for me. hahhahah.
Hey Brady MN what software do you use to put your video's together? I need to put some together but I need some software to transition the small DVD from my camcorder similar to what you did with yours. Any help is greatly appreciated. Monty
hey guys im at school at the moment......
the storm from this morning caused a load of damage here trees felll on roads twigs flying evrywhere...... we must of had winds in excess of 50 mph.....
thankfully the science department at my school let me borrow a camera and get some pics of the damage will upload the pics when i get home......
Hey all!! I just got up!! Man I love my sleep!! hehe
Monty: The only software I have is Kodak easyshare! and it's like v 1.0!! My cam makes MOV file vid's. ( not too impressed) I just upload it to my computer with that. Then I uploaded my pic's and vid to photobucket.com( not too impressed either), but it works!! It's pretty simple to figure out! I didn't do anything to special at all! The hardest part was getting the slideshow to end perfect with the music!! I am kinda amazed How good it came out for my first!! I'm glad you liked it!!
Hey Tim!! That's great about the weather over there!!=) I can't wait to see what you captured!! I hope everyone's ok!! Did you see the pic I took of the busted tree in Pine City?? My first Tornado Aftermath pic! That tree was quite messed up!!
I see why you like the classical Reed! I don't see Mozart sewing ya for copyright violations anytime soon!! hehe Also think of it this way!! You could brake out one of your vid's 50yrs from know, and the music will still be appropriate!! Also even the people who don't like classical shouldn't be offended by the soundtrack!!
Anybody have any thoughts on here today?? Tornado threat doesn't look very good, but if we can get some more lightning I'll make a little drive!! 555
Hey Brady, SPC shows just a slight risk but it's pretty far south of you. New blog entry by the way (just happened)
New Day 1 outlook comes out in an hour by the way.