News DetailTornado Watch issued for central MN!
Posted At: September 20, 2007 @ 4:24 PM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Related Categories: Tornadoes
A tornado watch has been issued for parts of central MN mainly W to E along and immediately surrounding a retreating outflow boundary/warm front that has been solidified by elevated convection moving out of the area to the northeast. Surface-based convection has initiated along this boundary in central MN, and several tornado warnings have been issued based on doppler radar. Shown below is the watch graphic and MPX radar as of 4:30 pm CDT showing the high-precipitation (HP) supercell.
Shown below are the 2100 UTC RUC analysis maps for CAPE and 0-1 km helicity across the region of interest. The warm front shows up clearly on the CAPE analysis below, stretching NW to SE across central/southern MN. As can be seen from the surface wind field plotted on this analysis, winds are backed substantially along and to the north of the warm front, enhancing the low-level shear. However, surface-based instability drops of dramatically north of the boundary as well, so any surface-base storms that develop along the boundary and cross to the north of it will likely become elevated and lose their tornado potential. The enhanced low-level shear along and to the north of the warm front can be seen in the 0-1 SRH map below (values ~200 J/kg or greater are sufficient for significant tornadoes).
Shown below are the 2100 UTC RUC analysis maps for CAPE and 0-1 km helicity across the region of interest. The warm front shows up clearly on the CAPE analysis below, stretching NW to SE across central/southern MN. As can be seen from the surface wind field plotted on this analysis, winds are backed substantially along and to the north of the warm front, enhancing the low-level shear. However, surface-based instability drops of dramatically north of the boundary as well, so any surface-base storms that develop along the boundary and cross to the north of it will likely become elevated and lose their tornado potential. The enhanced low-level shear along and to the north of the warm front can be seen in the 0-1 SRH map below (values ~200 J/kg or greater are sufficient for significant tornadoes).
Convection is also trying to develop further southwest in SW MN and SE SD, but it is unclear whether these towers will break the capping inversion. Good luck to all the chasers in this area! Stay tuned for updates.
Thanx Reed for the update!
Does it seem like the thing is turning more east and trying to ride the boundary? Just something I thought I noticed on radar.
the cell to the west of the metro area is looking pretty juicy. if I stay at home, it might just come right to me. I'll try and get some pics and video for everyone.
I am in the midway area of st.paul, right in the middle of the metro... the cell looks to be heading more east like you are saying...riding the boundary. Earlier, it was doing more of a NE, but now it seems to be changing course. the sky seems to be getting into a slowly darker and darker shade of grey here.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH MN HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN PINE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
CENTRAL BURNETT COUNTY IN NORTHWEST WISCONSIN...
* UNTIL 515 PM CDT
* AT 441 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR
WALMART IN PINE CITY. THE STORM WAS MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
* THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
GRANTSBURG BY 450 PM...
ALPHA BY 455 PM...
FALUN BY 500 PM...
WEBSTER AND YELLOWLAKE BY 510 PM...
HERTEL AND DANBURY BY 515 PM...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE...OR A BASEMENT
STAIRCASE. IF NO BASEMENT IS AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM OR HALLWAY. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY.
I have GR3 in motion to look at what you're saying, Andrew, and it does seem to be riding generally to the east now. Also, a few minutes ago I was ready to say that that cell was beginning to look like it was becomming outflow-dominant, but when you set it in motion you can see that it's getting a lot of juice fed in from the south. Anyway, you're in for an interesting next few hours!
Everybody say OH NO not the wal mart lol
A little tower just popped by Lake Benton in extreme western MN. You can see it on the Sioux Falls radar better than the Minneapolis ... lets see if it explodes here in a half-hour or so.
Its funny that you say its getting fed from the south because my dorm room window looks north and all the clouds in the sky are moving a fast rate northwards towards the cell which i can just see in the distance, its really kind of interesting to watch..
See? there again?
* AT 441 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR
WALMART IN PINE CITY. THE STORM WAS MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
Tornafo? Walmart? Coincidince? I think not!
(To understand look back at a previous blog entry-i forget which one)
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
BURNETT AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN PINE COUNTIES...
AT 449 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THE
MOST DANGEROUS PORTION OF THE STORM WAS LOCATED JUST NORTH OF
GRANTSBURG...OR ABOUT 18 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HINCKLEY...MOVING EAST
AT 50 MPH.
THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
SIREN BY 500 PM...
WEBSTER AND YELLOWLAKE BY 505 PM...
HERTEL AND WEBB LAKE BY 510 PM...
DAMAGE WAS REPORTED WITH THIS STORM IN PINE CITY. SEEK SHELTER NOW!
NOT GOOD........
now thats not good at all!
Hey..severestudios is active in MN!!!!!they're heading eastward
HP BEAST about to hit me head-on!
yea jon theyre on that tiny cell that popped up in eastern SD moving into MN we shall see if it rolls
The bases on a few of those mesos are getting a lot lower too. Two of them on that big cell heading toward Minneapolis are under 2000 feet now.
Yeah Jonathan - Wal Mart AGAIN!
This is the first time I've really been able to see anything on the severestudios cam - I'm laughing to myself here because they just got behind one of those storm tour groups, with all the vans! :D :D
Hey guys hows things going today??
Andrew, make sure you get photos of any hail you get into!
That cell the chasers are after looks like it is dying. hmmm...
Hey! Nobody told me there was a new blog! I've been monitoring the last one for 20 minutes! I'm crying foul!
OH NO!!! Sorry Joe! I/we forgot to tell you to pick up your lawn chair. :D
Southwest MN is looking less likely I think...you can see the jet streak/short wave that fired the storm in central MN is moving east of the good instability. The subsidence behind this feature might kill the existing towers. We'll see though...if it gets going there is lots of instability and shear.
The storms west of MPX look like they're becoming more and more elevated
Heidi from what people are saying on stormtrack.org...sounds like kory from ss is in good position to get initiation down there sometime soon...but man is minne gonna get hammered looks like
Grumphh. Sure now all the good spots are already taken.
I wish that cell heading toward Anoka would pump out a tornado warning. Brady is barreling toward that one.
Reed, is this good or bad, for tornado development?
"The storms west of MPX look like they're becoming more and more elevated"
I dunno for sure...but looks like michael is heading home...heading SE now away from any initiation...he might be too far away
Hey Reed if u see this post we had a debate i think 2 days ago about a pic that i took i was wondering what it was click my name to see it if u can.
Thanks Matt.
Reed the surface wind temps out of the east/southeastt have probably dropped 10 degrees in the last hour. It was a warm juicy wind an hour ago and now I can't go out without a jacket. I think the warm front is retreating.
In my limited experience I have NEVER seen more backed winds. At one point today our wind gauge showed 20 mph out of the NORTHEAST!!!
I think "more elevated" means the cloud bases are high off the ground (right?), like when we end up getting those TVS with the hollow triangles ... However, one of the meso icons had the base at 700 feet, but I still don't know how much we should trust those numbers...
(If that's not what "more elevated" means, someone please correct me!!! :D)
Looks like scud over townhouses to me, Matt.
So "more elevated" means "less tornadoes," is that the picture?
Ya to bad the houses were there i would have got a better picture.
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1988
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0527 PM CDT THU SEP 20 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL NEB
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 202227Z - 210000Z
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS ACROSS CNTRL AND NE NEB. SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE. WW ISSUANCE REMAINS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
REGION ESPECIALLY IF CONVECTIVE COVERAGE INCREASES EARLY THIS
EVENING.
LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A SFC TROUGH EXTENDING SWD FROM SW SD
ACROSS WRN NEB. AHEAD OF THE SFC TROUGH...LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS
MAXIMIZED ALONG A NARROW AXIS FROM MCCOOK NEWD TO NEAR O'NEILL NEB.
AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS DEVELOPING ALONG THIS CORRIDOR ALONG THE
WRN EDGE OF BOTH STRONG INSTABILITY AND THE LOW-LEVEL JET.
LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE THAT
STRONG AND SHORT-TERM MODEL FORECASTS KEEP THE ACTIVITY RELATIVELY
ISOLATED EARLY THIS EVENING. THE MOST WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR ACROSS NE NEB WHERE MOISTURE...INSTABILITY AND
LOW-LEVEL FLOW IS SLIGHTLY GREATER THAN AREAS FURTHER SOUTHWEST.
THE LATEST PROFILER FROM MCCOOK SUGGESTS 30 TO 35 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR
EXISTS IN SCNTRL NEB. THIS APPEARS REPRESENTATIVE OF THE SHEAR
ACROSS MOST OF CNTRL AND NE NEB AS WELL WHICH SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT
FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. STEEP LOW-LEVEL
LAPSE RATES EVIDENT ON OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS ALSO SUGGESTS ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS WELL.
Joe, I think chasers generally do not get too excited about chasing high-based cells, so if "more elevated" does mean "high based,'" that would be my guess. But it doesn't mean necessarily that tornados are impossible. I think Reed & Joel got somke high-based tornados in South Dakota earlier this year, didn't they??
Reed good call on it getting elevated. May I add it is also weakening big time. That must be why they pay you the big bucks.
Yawn. I got nuthin here to even take a pic of.
In this year's blog somewhere, there is a post/photo of a nader in North Dakota coming from a really elevated storm, so it can happen, but I would guess that it's a lot harder to get a tube on the ground from several thousand feet up unless the meso is really intense.
tornado on the ground in minnetrista!!
OK I might be the only one, but does anyone else think gravity waves are really cool?
The ones on satellite right now look like spokes on a wheel coming off the system in MN. Click on my name for the pic. And now I'll shut up about them. Sorry.
**Brady Update
For immediate distribution.
The Brady-Mobile has just passed North Branch and is heading south trying to intercept this cell should it put out a tornado, high elevated or not. No speeding tickets have been issued at this time. There appears to be enough fuel to get back home although that situation could change on a minute by minute basis. Stay tuned for further information.
TORNADO WARNING SOUTH TWIN CITIES - INCLUDING THE RADAR SITE
Is this the warning Bo was talking about?:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
547 PM CDT THU SEP 20 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN HENNEPIN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
NORTHERN SCOTT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
* UNTIL 630 PM CDT
* AT 543 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED A STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO. THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THE STORM WAS JUST NORTHEAST
OF CHANHASSEN...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EDEN PRAIRIE...
SHAKOPEE...
HOPKINS...
EDINA...
BLOOMINGTON...
RICHFIELD..
Nice Brady update. I am happy I am not riding in the vehicle with him, as much as I would like to see these storms! :D
I live gravity waves! :D
I wonder where AJ is? And what about Zack? We haven't seen him in a long time...
Heidi, I have notified Brady that you are wanting to ride along with him on his next chase. Be aware there is a waiting list but you may move up based on your good blog entries.
Hey guys just came home from a PTC. I did good any tornado reports?
A couple a warnings but i dont think any reports yet i could be wrong.
Nothing like a good parent-teacher conference, eh, Caleb? (yuck)
There were a few tornado warnings/reports in central Minnesota but nothing amazing yet. It *sounds* like the stuff down in the SW corner may have crapped out.
Joe do u know where Brady is right now???
Hopefully Brady won't need to siphon gas to get home!
Keep us updated Joe
I'll call him right now. On the Brady-Phone.
TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN HENNEPIN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
NORTHERN SCOTT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
* UNTIL 630 PM CDT
* AT 543 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED A STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO. THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF THE STORM WAS JUST NORTHEAST
OF CHANHASSEN...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
Thanks Joe. I really appreciate you passing that info along. Play the video ^^ for at least 25 seconds and you'll know what it will be like for Brady to have me along.
Anyways im out people the Leafs are playing gotta watch it its like a religious thing.
LOL Heidi since you posted a vid of Led zeplen now it's my turn click my name
Nice Caleb. :D ... (not that this one is, but:) How did you get interested in doo wop? I've been meaning to ask about that?
A little bit ago the models were still showing things happening over the next couple of hours, but I don't see how that's gonna fly...
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
622 PM CDT THU SEP 20 2007
MNC037-163-202345-
/O.CON.KMPX.TO.W.0039.000000T0000Z-070920T2345Z/
WASHINGTON MN-DAKOTA MN-
622 PM CDT THU SEP 20 2007
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT FOR DAKOTA
AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES...
AT 620 PM CDT...A FUNNEL CLOUD...VERY CLOSE TO THE GROUND...WAS
REPORTED IN NEWPORT.
AT 620 PM CDT... THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ST PAUL
PARK...OR ABOUT OVER COTTAGE GROVE...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE SUNFISH...MENDOTA...WEST ST
PAUL...ST PAUL PARK...SOUTH ST PAUL...ROSEMOUNT...NEWPORT...MENDOTA
HEIGHTS...INVER GROVE HEIGHTS AND HASTINGS.
Holy Mesa Meso! Brady's in Wyoming!!
Wyoming, MN that is. He's just going to cool his heels and see if anything forms up in the next hour or two. Not willing to punch through the metro area to get to that stuff south of the Twin Cities. If anyone sees anything likely happening in those small cells to the west, please pipe up.
Yeah I like Doo wop and rap Here are my 3 fav songs.
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-7985840564778651076&q=Fame+and+forchin&total=769&start=0&num=10&so=0&type=search&plindex=0
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EMzoBkaFxh4
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aVB5ViG_0yE
Andrew, are you still with us? Do you have anything going over you right now? There appears to be a semi-hookish-stormish thing going over you right now, if you don't mind my official jargon.
Hey, here is the Minneapolis TV website. Why didn't we think of this when the tornado warnings were up?!?! dsf;sadffv
http://wcco.com/
they have photos up
Hey, here is the Minneapolis TV website. Why didn't we think of this when the tornado warnings were up?!?! dsf;sadffv
http://wcco.com/
they have photos up
That should not have posted twice. :/
One for Minneapolis and one for St. Paul?
Yes Joe, exactly. I'm glad you understand these things. :P
I'm here Heidi, I didn't get run over. lol Looks like a busy day in Minny, too bad I was gone and missed it. Oh well.
Let's see: I'll be on the road Monday and Tuesday, I wonder if there's any weather expected on the trip...
Haha, I was born in Minneapolis, because that's where my parents lived at the time. But the hospital where I was delivered was actually in St. Paul. Does that mean I was born in Minneapolis or in St. Paul?? I'm so confused.
I wonder if that small cell by Buffalo MN is going to do anything.
New Meso Discussion!
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1990
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0648 PM CDT THU SEP 20 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...SCNTRL MN
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 673...
VALID 202348Z - 210115Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 673 CONTINUES.
THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR LIKELY TO REDEVELOP IN THE WRN PART OF TORNADO
WATCH 673 WITHIN THE NEXT 2 TO 4 HOURS. TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND
ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE MAY OCCUR AS STORMS INITIATE AND MOVE EWD
ACROSS SCNTRL MN THIS EVENING. AREAS ACROSS CNTRL MN MAY REQUIRE A
REPLACEMENT WW THIS EVENING AS STORMS INITIATE AND INCREASE IN
COVERAGE.
THE LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A WARM FRONT LOCATED FROM FAR NE SD
EXTENDING SEWD ACROSS SRN MN. LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS MAXIMIZED
ALONG THIS CORRIDOR AND MODERATE INSTABILITY EXISTS ALONG AND SOUTH
OF THE BOUNDARY. ALTHOUGH A CAPPING INVERSION IS PRESENT ACROSS SE
ND EXTENDING SEWD IN WCNTRL MN...THE RUC MODEL SUGGESTS THE
INVERSION WILL WEAKEN GRADUALLY EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS ALONG WITH
ISENTROPIC ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH STRENGTHENING OF THE LOW-LEVEL JET
AND CONVERGENCE ALONG THE BOUNDARY SHOULD RESULT IN THUNDERSTORM
INITIATION. THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR STORM INITIATION WOULD BE IN
THE FARGO ND AREA EXTENDING ESEWD TO AREAS NORTH OF ALEXANDRIA MN.
IF THUNDERSTORMS INITIATE IN WCNTRL OR CNTRL MN...DIAGNOSTIC DATA
SUGGESTS RAPID SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR DUE TO THE STRONG
VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES IN PLACE. IN ADDITION...FORECAST SOUNDINGS
ACROSS WCNTRL MN THIS EVENING SHOW LARGE LOOPED HODOGRAPHS WITH 0-1
KM SHEAR VALUES EXCEEDING 30 KT. THIS SUGGESTS TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH ANY SUPERCELLS THAT INITIATE. MUCAPE VALUES EXCEEDING
2000 J/KG K AND RELATIVELY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT FOR LARGE HAIL. STRONG LOW-LEVEL FLOW WITH DIRECTIONAL
SHEAR IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER SUGGESTS WIND DAMAGE WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH SUPERCELLS. IF MCS DEVELOPMENT OCCURS...BOWING LINE
SEGMENTS WITH AN ENHANCED WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL MAY ALSO ORGANIZE
ACROSS THE REGION.
THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR LIKELY TO REDEVELOP IN THE WRN PART OF TORNADO
WATCH 673 WITHIN THE NEXT 2 TO 4 HOURS. TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND
ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE MAY OCCUR AS STORMS INITIATE AND MOVE EWD
ACROSS SCNTRL MN THIS EVENING. AREAS ACROSS CNTRL MN MAY REQUIRE A
REPLACEMENT WW THIS EVENING AS STORMS INITIATE AND INCREASE IN
COVERAGE.
THE LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A WARM FRONT LOCATED FROM FAR NE SD
EXTENDING SEWD ACROSS SRN MN. LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS MAXIMIZED
ALONG THIS CORRIDOR AND MODERATE INSTABILITY EXISTS ALONG AND SOUTH
OF THE BOUNDARY. ALTHOUGH A CAPPING INVERSION IS PRESENT ACROSS SE
ND EXTENDING SEWD IN WCNTRL MN...THE RUC MODEL SUGGESTS THE
INVERSION WILL WEAKEN GRADUALLY EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS ALONG WITH
ISENTROPIC ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH STRENGTHENING OF THE LOW-LEVEL JET
AND CONVERGENCE ALONG THE BOUNDARY SHOULD RESULT IN THUNDERSTORM
INITIATION. THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR STORM INITIATION WOULD BE IN
THE FARGO ND AREA EXTENDING ESEWD TO AREAS NORTH OF ALEXANDRIA MN.
IF THUNDERSTORMS INITIATE IN WCNTRL OR CNTRL MN...DIAGNOSTIC DATA
SUGGESTS RAPID SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR DUE TO THE STRONG
VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES IN PLACE. IN ADDITION...FORECAST SOUNDINGS
ACROSS WCNTRL MN THIS EVENING SHOW LARGE LOOPED HODOGRAPHS WITH 0-1
KM SHEAR VALUES EXCEEDING 30 KT. THIS SUGGESTS TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH ANY SUPERCELLS THAT INITIATE. MUCAPE VALUES EXCEEDING
2000 J/KG K AND RELATIVELY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT FOR LARGE HAIL. STRONG LOW-LEVEL FLOW WITH DIRECTIONAL
SHEAR IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER SUGGESTS WIND DAMAGE WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH SUPERCELLS. IF MCS DEVELOPMENT OCCURS...BOWING LINE
SEGMENTS WITH AN ENHANCED WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL MAY ALSO ORGANIZE
ACROSS THE REGION.
AJ,make sure you read back through the alst thread where Travis's mom had a TORNADO ON THE GROUND while he was on the phone with her!!!! AAAAAAAAA!!!!
Heidi u copied off of me ;) the tornado is likely to increse.
I shot some kinda shaky video outside of my loft building in St.Paul---from my waterproof Olympus point and shoot camera... it isn't much but it shows some good hard rain, some strange looking clouds while the tornado sirens were going off, and some winds blowing through at probably 45 to 50 mph... at one point the sound goes muffled a bit because water is probably covering the mic...still kind of cool though...If anyone cares to see it, I can try and upload it to youtube or something... I have never done that before, but can if anyone wants to see... let me know!
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
ST. CROIX COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...
PIERCE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...
* UNTIL 730 PM CDT
* AT 652 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD
NEAR RIVER FALLS...OR ABOUT 11 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HUDSON. RADAR
SHOWED THE SEVERE STORM ..AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
Looks like you guys are having your fun. I went on a little bike chase today for fun. Nothing special no storms just some clouds that completely missed me.
Well lets see how my day went, i went on the bike chase, my derailer came off, headed home, my wheel fell off, hmm my chain broke.. Well i guess thats it.
Also my forecast was right!, storms heading towards me! i put on a 30% chance of storms and i was right!
Kenny you were having some mechanical problems - not good! :D
Caleb, yes- I am ALWAYS copying you! :-D :-D
Bo, we always like to see that kind of stuff so it would be cool if you uploaded it to YouTube.
Heidi: "Hang on mom, I gotta go chase this tornado..." "Yes, I'll be home by dinner time..." lol
My mom would freak out!!
Why don't moms let their boys go chase violent tornadoes more often? Some things I'll never understand!
My mom and dad and sister and I were at KFC and I sad what if a mile wide wedge tornado was comeing?my dad said if there was i'de grab u and go to the bathroom and i said no u arnt i'me goin out there and celerbrait LOL i'me going to go watch TWC cya la8ter
My mom's a pro at worrying about me. lol As far as watching a wedge come at me from KFC, that would be impossible, cause I'd be outta the restauraunt and in my car. lol
Be back later all, gotta go eat!!
Dangit I live in woodbury I missed the freaking storm lol I was in lifetime fitness haha. Hope there's another some say
I don't know what would be more dangerous... the food from KFC or the wedge.
I wonder if anything will fire up in Minny still. That last meso discussion made it sound like we could have a coupla hours of action yet.
Wooooooooohoooooooo unexpected funnel just came down and back up, I got it on film to!!!!1 along with a nice shelf cloud.
when is it finally gonna rain in chicago
someone please leave a comment giving me an answer
if its gonna rain on monday i will be very happy because the teacher said we are going on the field trip rain or shime so i hope its gonna rain cause our field trip is outside
so please someone leave a comment giving me an answer when it will finally rain in CHICAGO
Kenny are You going to upload Your vid?
wcco.com
They are starting to put up some cool pics.
I can't find the picture section on wcco! I only see 1 picture and 1 video is there suppose to be more?
Alex click on my name.
Just talked to Brady on the Brady-Phone. It's getting dark so he's taking the Brady-Mobile back to the Brady-Cave at this time.
Other than that cell hanging out west of Yankton it looks like things are turning out kinda bustlike tonight!
how long does it take youtube to "process" a video... this seems to be taking forever...
Hey Reed, when you get your doctorate will you be given the codes to the RUC? Will you be able to hack in and change the numbers in order to make tornadoes appear? That would be cool.
Alright...I got my video uploaded...
As mentioned before... I shot it on my water proof point and shoot, but not with much of a steady hand...sorry about the footage. Also, I was either covering the mic or the camera was covered in so many water drops that it muffled a lot of the sound. You can still hear the tornado sirens in the background. Some decent wind and rain, and funky looking clouds...probably a scud, maybe a funnel.
I'll upload when my friend sends me the clean version. The regular has way to much swears in it lol. But I asume you all are over 15 atleast, but whatever.
any of you minnesota boys chase and get pictures of these storms?
Brandon, I tried, when we finally had a decent one come through here, but they turned out crap. I suck. Sorry.
Really wasn't much to look at anyway.
The fun is not over yet!
Check your radars, Willmar, MN.
haha right on andrew...we had a pretty intense looking shelf come through red deer today followed by some really puffy mammatus. kinda surprising for a chilly fall day in september here in alberta...thanks for the link to the wcco page by the way...ill paste a link for the shelf shortly...
I do believe we can stick a fork in the severe stuff for tonight. Looks like it's done.
It was a nice little episode- for September.
Getting tubes out of Minnesota has been like getting blood out of a turnip. G'nite everyone.
the 10pm forecast just showed another pulse moving through Iowa to the northeast, that might get going more once it gets near the warm front in southern mn... chance for more severe overnight they said...most of us will be sleeping though.
Well I had a fun day seeing a nice funnel. Brandon that shelf that came through brought a nice little funnel here in edmonton!
Right on Joe,
The cap pretty much has ruled all this summer. Every time we have a setup it is strong and blows it all to heck. I will admit it, the parameters actually freaked me out tonight, I am somewhat relieved it was as tame as it turned out to be.
Have good sleepies, and we should have another fine virtual chase tomorrow, in western Wisconsin.
Bo, I am watching your video (it took so long to load because it's 10+ minutes! :) and I agree that there is something very interesting at about the 3:00 mark. It looked like it could have at least been a wall cloud. But as you said, it's a little hard to tell because of all you were up against with the filming.
Tornadoes confirmed all over North Central Florida.
Hey Heidi,
Yeah I didn't realize that youtube has a limit on size...I actually had to shorten the video. I suppose I could have clipped more, but I got tired of messing with it. They say 10 minute limit, but they probably add a buffer on there so it doesn't cut off at that exact 10 min mark...
The more I look at it, I wouldn't doubt it if it was something. Although nothing has been officially confirmed yet on the news, there have been many clips people have sent in of funnels, many funnel reports all night, and even some cell phone footage of what looks like a tornado touchdown in Minnetrista. Minnetrista, Woodbury and an area near I 494 & Penn Avenue have all been some of the key spots with numerous reports. The sirens were going off near me and there was a lot of rotation and energy in that storm...plus my county was warned at the time... Maybe it was a little something trying to develop... hard to say with the conditions and all of the water spraying on me... probably not the best angle to film from either, and not really meant to be a camera for recording... oh well, still cool.
Anyways, thanks for taking the time to let it load and watch it--as well as give your thoughts...
Bo, we certainly cant have swearing here at TV.net.
This storm was disappointing. I was in Minneapolis when it came through and we got some SERIOUS rain, and some golf ball hail, and then squaduche. Bupkis.
There was a great rotating swirl above my friends house for a few minutes, but I think all the action passed south or developed further east.
Oh well, heres to the next time Minneapolis gets tornadic, in 2027.
Thanks for sharing the video Bo.
Definitely looked like some kind of lowering there as Heidi mentioned.
I definitely miss the tornado sirens.
It looks like all hell has broken loose tonight in FL!
BigT
I didn't even think that the few slurs in the blurred video were an issue, but I guess it was an oversight. I remember watching Brady's? Video where he is talking about drinking and driving while chasing or something...which I thought was funny...but at the same time, more swearing in that by far, from him and someone else... not to knock him...i'm just saying... ya know?
it's public on youtube with no issue... anyways...
Reed, I'm glad to hear the true pro has watched my video... thanks for viewing it, and for the feedback.
Something seemed as if it was trying to get going, but it started and left before my lack of experience could even distinguish what it was trying to do...
Yeah, I definately haven't heard enough of the sirens this year... kinda a dry spell on severe weather for MN this year. Everything seems to have formed just east in Wisconsin for our severe weather season...at least until now.
I haven't even paid any attention to florida due to all of the action here...i'll have to check it out. Hopefully everyone is ok down there.
Another tornado watch just issued west and north west of the metro... the action isn't over afterall...
Just saw that should be an active night in Minnesota. Night is always so much more dangerous.
Wow, I was about to go to bed, but not after seeing the watch probabilities for the tornado watch.
Hey folks!! I've been back for an hor or so!! I don't think I'm done tonight!! I tried posting a lil bit ago!! but my desktops being a POS!! I didn't see the BIG wedge that wasn't to be! Hopefully the vids turn out!!
Thanx again Mr. Surfer for keeping me and the fine people here updated!! I thinks chit's gonna hit the fan here!!
I'll upload whatever I might have been able to get later!!I'm keeping my eye on this stuff comin!!! Sorry again to everyone about the vid!! We were having fun!!
My internets beeing crappy, I'll check back here in a bit and read up!!hehe
Yup I agree with ya Robbie, look at the watch probabilities:
TORNADO WATCH 0677 0500-1200 UTC
Probabilities:
2 or more tornadoes: 60%
1 or more F2-F5 tornadoes: 50%-still F in watches?
10 or more severe wind reports: above 95%
1 or more wind events above or= 65 kts: 30%
10 or more severe hail reports: above 95%
1 or more hail events: above or= 2 inches: 30%
6 or more combined severe reports: above 95%
WOW-dangerous
lol security code 711
where did you find those probabilities...or were you making them up...? that's crazy. is this new line forming associated with the cold front you guys think? or just random... the warm front is still running NW to SE just south of the metro area last I checked...
the video didn't bother me at all brady...I was just using it as a reference to mine. keep getting the footage!
if only I could rewind my life a little bit...
I took time off from school to work, didn't go to pursue my meteorology degree like I wanted...now it's becomming very hard to make it work to go back. one day hopefully...one day. I love this stuff too much to let it go.
Bo,
They are issued by the SPC along with any watches they issue. Click on my name to see them.
ahh, thanks Robbie... I never even noticed that before... I guess SPC's website kinda has the old style look to it. Funny how it still says F2 to F5... rather than the EF... which I thought they switched to.
I think the cell in west central MN just split!! And a TVS over Lake Superior!! I need my WIV !!!!
hey guys ive just woken up :D
brady did you get anything last night?? if i dont reply it is beacuase ive gone to school so sorry
Last night??? It's still happening!! Didn't see any tornados, but I was really close!! I'm might have seen a lil funnel or 2, hard to tell driving 75 in traffic!! This stuff is about to come over my house right now!!
I left in plenty of time!! I dinked around in Mahtowa watching some really dark stuff for about 20 minutes!!=( had I not done that I probably woulda been in Pine city in time!! A well!!
ah kwl sounds as if its goo then lol did you get anything at all then??
and also you had plenty of gas then lol
sorry when i say get anything i mean pics or lightning lol....im off now but will check in my ICT lesson around 6 - 7 o'clock see ya!!!
Have a good one Tim!! I gots a couple vids that I'll share WHen the storms pass!! I need to upload still and I'm a lil busy with whats over my head!!
I don't know if I can sleep!! Anybody else awake watching GR3??
Fargo is about to take a direct one from a supercell 2:45am. lightning just hit real close, wild night indeed.
I wonder if Brainard is gonna get some stones!! 1.50"!!
I just watched that in Fargo cell blow up outta nowhere!!
I almost hate to say I hope it doesn't Tornado!! At least not on anybody!!
I need to work at 8 and I can't sleep at all!! On my way down to Pine City, lightning struck a tree about 100yds or so from me!! I couldn't believe the rain!! I seen a car with smoke pouring outta the hood too!!hehe Hope he wasn't a chaser!!
Wow!! What a wild night!! Still storm warnings here!!!! I'm at work and I'm tired as heck!!
hey guys im back from school....
my science teacher is going to help me get with some photographers she knows storm photographers lol so that should be cool cant wait :D
brady did you get any sleep last night lol??
exciting humidity was like 100% or something.
last nights shelf in red deer...
http://blog.boomerphoto.com/
Yeah Tim!! I gots in an hour or two of sleep!!
I'll go through what I got and upload anything worth seeing when I get home from work!!
ah so you got plenty of sllep then brady lol :P
im bhopefully going to be going around with some chaser in the area not that we ever get much but this is our tornado season now and they work for our local paper so they are always there when any severe wether comes up so if im lucky may be goiround with them :P:D
Here's a recap of the storms yesterday in the Star Tribune ^^
One death, flash flooding, large hail, houses hit by lightning, trees down, power outages, funnel clouds, possible tornadoes... quite a year weather-wise for Minnesota.
And... more on the way today
I hope that works out for ya Tim!! Don't forget to brag to them about this site!! Man another svr warning here!! and cars are pulling in one after another!! dumb arses!!
Good catch Bo & Jonathan - on the old F-scale still being in the Watch Hazard Probabilities. They must not have changed their boilerplate. I told 'em about it on their feedback form. Hey, why not?
Don't forget cars burning!! hehe My chases keep getting better and better!! Thanx again and again for all your help Joe!! It's so fun to take advantage of modern technology like that!! hehe
thanks brady dont worry i will :P
joe are you on about why they haven't changed to the new EF scale or is it something else??
Yeah Brady, it was a blast! Sharpens up my nowcasting skeelz too.
Tim, who knows, it's probably just a matter of not updating the boilerplate in one of their computer files.
joe i didn't think that came into effect untill either october or november....i could be wrong but i remeber reading somewhere something like that i aint 100% sure lol
They switched over in February, Tim, so it's probably just a matter of updating one of the forms in the computer. The thing you remember about starting in October may be the "storm-based warnings" instead of the county-based warnings, where they just warn the area in front of the storm instead of the entire county. Although I can tell they've already implemented it in a lot of areas already. I remember a couple months ago when Anoka County got a warning, and the whole county was lit up, but last warning I saw for that area was just a targeted box for only where the storm would actually impact
Yesterdays supercell that came through the twin cities was by far the best ive seen this year and one of the coolest Ive seen. Trees are down and power is out at my house. The clouds at the tail end of the storm were incredable, I thought for sure a funnel was going to form right over my house... The sirens were blastin, and I have almost never seen clouds move in so many different directions at such high rates of speed, pretty incredable.... although Im still way jealous of my mom.
yeh joe thats what i remember yeh...... cheers lol
brady dont worry i will be bragging about this site as if it wasn't for this site none of this would of happened for me lol so shourld be saying thanks to all :D
Florida got nailed yesterday too. We need a couple tv.net members down in Florida.
Brady I'm sure you've seen it already but you're in the 5% area in the Day 1 Torn. Let's see what happens in an hour when the new one comes out
Honestly Joe... I haven't had much of a chance to!! Thanx for that info!!! Hopefully things can happen quite a bit later. There is no way I can miss anymore work this week!! I gotta good credit card payment I need to make so I can keep the TIV fueled up!!
I wish I was home, I could upload these vid's!! I have one that some of you might get a lil kick out of!! hehe
Brady when do you get off work? It looks like Wisconsin is going to get a really strong squall line this afternoon. Could be some really awesome shelf clouds and really high winds. The SPC is going to upgrade the risk to moderate.
guys im out weve just had a huge storm role in will go get some pics will be back later see ya!!!!
I see that MN has a shot on the day 3 now.
I'm right next door storms! Its alright... You can come up here too!
We're getting all of the leftovers and not the main course.
This is what it looks like right now Brady ^
But there's supposed to be a new one at 11:30
Dang I wish I could chase this. I'll bet someone gets awesome shelf pictures.
I'm stuck here til 6!! =( I don't think I'll be able to chase this!! If somehow I can I will!! I'm really glad I went yesterday!!=) this one was for the log books for sure!! I'm glad I coulda been a part of it, even though I didn't score!!
Boy Travis you weren't kidding about the crazy sky!! It had the " shark teeth" everywhere!! low level crap blowing everywhere!! heavy gust blowing leaves and branches all over the place!! and ooohhh the lightning!!
I think there was little funnels poking out everywhere!!
Everywhere!! lol
lol hey guys im back lol..... got soaked lol but was really cool lol :D
They updated the Day 1 Convective Outlook a few minutes early ^^^
Just like Andrew said there's a moderate risk in there now. Check out the wind tab
Hey Brady did u get any good video of the storm???
Last night that is....
I only looked at one or two when I got home!! Hopefully I got some turbulent sky and lightning!! my cam was crapping out on me again!!I thought I gotta good lightning vid, but I don't know if it even worked!! I grabbed a quick vid in Pine City on my way back home I'll post when I get home!! The language is a little better!! hehe Everything was moving so fast I didn't have much chance to set up and try for good pics!! I gotta pic of a busted tree and a city worker cleaning it up on my cell phone!!hehe
Ya know Joe!! with all the crap that you've guided me into. I'm suprised I haven't seen a single hail stone yet!!
I do need to get the GR3 mobile!
Ya I'm currently working on a video of the pics that i took on July 19th. kinda late but oh well.
Not nearly as interesting as Humberto... but if you go to the Eglin AFB radar out of Florida (KEVX) and play the 20-volume loop for CR248 you can see Subtropical Depression 10 whirling around
Brady I tried to drag-n-drop some hail icons over your rig, but the program doesn't allow it!
001... best secret code for me yet!
Don't think there's going to be many "chasing" in Wisconsin this afternoon. It looks like the storms are going to be moving at something crazy like 50 knots. I would get out in front somewhere and hold on for dear life, lol.
I really wish I could go see this. I love shelfs and wind, makes for great pics.
looks as if im having a research night lol.....just been reading up on depoint and what that and that's interesting an i have learnt how to read a borromiter
Hehe!! I hope the fix that bug!! hehe
I was thinking...(scary) That we should write to walmart and get them to put tornado cams on all there stores!! They would probably do better than all of us put together!!
New Blog Entry!
Joe u beat me to it New blog entry
im out guys my interent connection messes up my sisters wirless for the tv will be on later have a good one see ya!!