News DetailSevere weather outbreak likely in Alberta today
Posted At: July 19, 2007 @ 12:34 AM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Related Categories: Tornadoes
As a strong shortwave trough ejects northeastward across the Canadian Rockies today (Thursday), the ingredients are coming together for a significant severe weather outbreak across Alberta for the Foothills and the adjacent Plains in the region highlighted in red on the selected model plots below:
Shown above is the WRF forecast CAPE (instability) for 6:00 pm MT this evening. CAPE values of 3000+ J/kg are widespread across the entire Foothills and adjacent Plains of Alberta, given the very high moisture values and relatively cold air aloft. Southeast portions of the province have very high instability, but a strong capping inversion will be in place, which could suppress storm development for much of the day. However, if a storm initiates in southeast AB (outside of the red shaded area), it will still rapidly become severe and will pose a tornado threat. However, the best dynamics are located to the north of this region in the red shaded area. Shown below is the forecast 12-hr accumulated precipitation ending at 6:00 pm MT. This shows widespread thunderstorm development from north of Calgary through Edmonton, and northwest along the Foothills/high plains. These storms will likely be supercellular.
There is one negative on the tornado potential for tomorrow -- fairly unidirectional flow between 700 mb and 500-300 mb -- as seen below in the WRF forecast wind panels. For the tornado chances to be maximized, the wind should veer to a more westerly direction with height (which is not the case here), because this results in greater storm motion-relative wind shear. For tornadoes to occur tomorrow, right-turning supercells will be necessary. If there were more directional shear forecast between low-upper levels, then today would likely be a much more significant tornado outbreak. But...tornadoes are still very possible with any storms that deviate right of the upper-level flow. Stay tuned for updates...I plan on posting SEVERAL blog entries as this volatile severe weather situation unfolds!!
Shown above is the WRF forecast CAPE (instability) for 6:00 pm MT this evening. CAPE values of 3000+ J/kg are widespread across the entire Foothills and adjacent Plains of Alberta, given the very high moisture values and relatively cold air aloft. Southeast portions of the province have very high instability, but a strong capping inversion will be in place, which could suppress storm development for much of the day. However, if a storm initiates in southeast AB (outside of the red shaded area), it will still rapidly become severe and will pose a tornado threat. However, the best dynamics are located to the north of this region in the red shaded area. Shown below is the forecast 12-hr accumulated precipitation ending at 6:00 pm MT. This shows widespread thunderstorm development from north of Calgary through Edmonton, and northwest along the Foothills/high plains. These storms will likely be supercellular.
There is one negative on the tornado potential for tomorrow -- fairly unidirectional flow between 700 mb and 500-300 mb -- as seen below in the WRF forecast wind panels. For the tornado chances to be maximized, the wind should veer to a more westerly direction with height (which is not the case here), because this results in greater storm motion-relative wind shear. For tornadoes to occur tomorrow, right-turning supercells will be necessary. If there were more directional shear forecast between low-upper levels, then today would likely be a much more significant tornado outbreak. But...tornadoes are still very possible with any storms that deviate right of the upper-level flow. Stay tuned for updates...I plan on posting SEVERAL blog entries as this volatile severe weather situation unfolds!!
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Categories
Wicked!!!
Reed and all others possibly going for the chase, good luck and have fun!!!!!
Don't forget to post all your vids so i can see em all!!
Looks like your going to have some fun out there!!
Unfortunatly Reed will be like most of us, stuck to our computers watching this, as it unfolds.........! I hope if any tornado's happen someone handy with a camcorder can capture it for our veiwing pleasure! Those who are chasing STAY SAFE!
Yeah, tomorrow does show some real decent potential. I wish there was a way I could just transport myself over 1500 miles instantly. I'll probably be watching more insane supercells in canada once again from the comfort of my home. Reed needs to keep up the good job of getting pictures and footage from the nice caniadian residents for tomorrow!
NCAA 2008 dominating is well underway. The Texas Tech airl assult cannot be stopped!
gang...ill be out there for ya...i got 2 digitals and a cam corder. and hopfully it works out tomm without anyone passing . thats why we do this also...research and advanced warning.
reed: thx for the models and the work youve done my man...muchly appreciated up here.
Ok i have a question for you guy's.In the very top graph image labeled SBCAPE,is the region that is highlighted in red a present image or is this where this will be later in the day.I mean it is early morning hour's still but i really would love to know as the weather network isnt giving us any solid info on this severe weather that this graph is showing.All it say's on the screen is that in the afternoon time we can expect some thundershower's and that is all.Really no in depth coverage.
This weather network is really slow with update's and after the past few severe thunderstorm's that rolled on by they had not really mentioned it for the area.
reed who owns this sight did this model...i believe it is for 6 pm mst
thursday afternoon that is
Ok they came on live and said there are tornado warning's right now for Calgary.Severe weather rolling across the region sound's like mainly between edmonton and calgary.
Thank's reed for the very valuable info.
Dale if i had a ride ide be right there with ya buddy......have fun dude and be safe.
I live 25 kms north of Edmonton, I'll let you guys know if something happens.
Some cool photos...
http://joe-ks.com/archives_jul2005/TornadOh.htm
Not sure if anyone is on here...
Me again in Okotoks. It appears to be calm here in the town itself but there is a amazing light show hapening to the s s/w of Okotoks. I have never seen such rapid lightning. Which way is that tracking, anyone know. It seems Enviroment canada has nothing on it??
Awesome pics Joe!
anyone noticed:
highest amout of lightning ever recorded China
severe weather Sao Paulo
severe weather Pakistan
severe weather NYC
sever weather Netherlands
hmmm..... global warming?????! climate shift happening? right now?!?
Yah Cors, i think that global warming has to do with all these storms, all around the world, like in china they got like a 13 hour storm and around a foot of rain, thats crazy
Uh, there's no tornado warning over Calgary. I was just woken up by some thunder, but it's just beginnng to pass over the city and so far doesn't look too severe.
EC has not so much as a severe thunderstorm watch out for us right now. I know they're a bit slow, but there's definitely no tornado warning just yet. Most of the action looks to happen just to the north of Calgary for the greatest threat.
But i still think global warming could just be a cycle and that we will cool down eventually
Great shots Joe
Wicked pics...
Good morning everyone.
I like right in the middle of the tornado area(Wetaskiwin).
I think the situation in alberta is so volitile no one can figure out what to do. Setups like this are a rare event in canada so EC has little experience with it.
There are two things that i think this will do
1. The setup sets in for tornadoes and skies go nuts.
2. the system goes monsoonal and torrential rains hit with two feet(600mm) of rain possible
Opps, I am weak without a spell checker.
I live in the middle of the tornado area
Acording to Environment Canada, issued a severe t-stom for both Red Deer county near Spruce View and Red Lodge Prov Park and Red Deer county near Penhold, Innisfail and Bowden..
and for Clearwater county near caroline and James River bridge
and for Rocky Mountain House - Caroline
weather is totally unpredictable. today can definetly turn into a bust...but the WRF models for today, like the ones reed posted above, is a damn good indication that we are in for some severe weather.
Very valuable info. Reed!!! Looks like you folks in Alberta are instore for some pretty nasty storms...
Keep me posted on this one!
hey guys look what I saw just outside!
http://insaneweather.com/pictures/funnel.JPG
Cool pic Cors!! Yup definently a funnel
Even if your could come to Alberta yo'd be runing for you life at the sight of gas prices @ $1.17/litre, thats $4.47 a gallon
Wow Mike thats some expensive gas!! I would be running for my life!!
The gas prices around my area are near or above $3.00.
Thanks for the info, Reed! I live in Didsbury, about 45 Km north of Calgary and I've been an avid weather watcher since the Edmonton tornado years ago (I was 12 at the time). I appreciate your forcasts and what I have learned on the site.
Hopefully we miss the big storms today as the hay doesn't need to get any wetter and the grain doesn't need any more hail! My Dad and brother were caught in baseball sized hail while working in the field near Cremona on Sunday. We've never had hail that big in these parts, at least not in the last 50 or so years. The weather has been very interesting up here in the past few weeks. Reminds me of when I lived in Ohio!
sy coundt resist here is the new picture of the funnel..at least I think its one.
Cors - way to go! that must have been pretty exciting for ya! :-D
I have a question
When severe weather is a foot. How does Barometric? pressure comes into play ? When the value goes up or down? How does that affect the Storm ?
I wish I could answer that question for you Rene..
I have an answer but I don't know if its correct. I do know one thing about barometric pressure though, usually when its falling it means that there is low pressure in the atmosphere if it is rising there is high pressure. Hope it helps.
Looks like a dry line may form along the QE2. Cooler to the west(15-20C) and warmer to the east(20-25C) as of 8:00AM MDT
Looks bad for the rivers. possibe flooding of the rivers if severe storms continue all day.
a storm can put down several inches of rain rain in a very shot time
Envrionment Canada has dowgraded Alberta from Warning to Watch
damn!!
Rene: I'm not a professional, but I think I can give you a sort of simple, non-technical answer to your question, if that's what you want.
When severe weather is approaching, generally you should expect to see the pressure dropping, as a trend; when the weather "system" that causes the severe weather has passed, the pressure should rise again.
Mike, I thought the dryline separates the moist air from the dry air....
To me it sounds like your describing a cold front.
Darn!! Your right Heidi I was thinking that but couldn't put it into words.
Im not sure if this is the canadian post but here are some more pictures of the funnel in amsterdam today:
http://tip.at5.nl/2007/07/19/windhoos/
IT seems to be a boundery of some sort or it may be that east has sun heating and west does not.
We will just have to see if the foothills get sunshine like farther east. as sunshine will add a good 5C to the temp
and thus more instability
The sky here is hazy with currosratus and cumulus
22C 78% humidity
no wind
+3C from morning low
Thanks Heidi and Zack
Is there a website I could study from on How Storms are created, what makes them tick, grow, weaken. what ingredience are needed for Severe t-storm and Tornados? Beside School lol
This is my video of a flash flood in Wetaskiwin around 2AM Wednsday
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OuP37Wo-8pg
Spruce Grove, Alberta right now is dark sky, downpours, lots of thunder and lightening.
Has anyone here heard of an almost certain tornado threat for Red Deer-Ponoka-Innisfail-Stettler. Reed made a good point about how the wind blowing in a westerly direction for the storms to get rotation is the key to getting a tornado.. well at least a moderately strong tornado.. does anyone know if a tornado does for of how strong it will be?
Hey Rene, I have a website that you could check out if you want. Im pretty sure you know most of the stuff on it, but it gives you a pretty detailed look on how they form.
http://www.uwsp.edu/geo/faculty/ritter/geog101/textbook/weather_systems/severe_weather_thunderstorms.html
rene...heres a nice little oplace called jetstream school for beginners.
http://www.srh.weather.gov/srh/jetstream/matrix.htm
no body knows untill its happening or its gone and usually its by sight brb... the f-scale was not a wind speed indicator so much as a damage indicator. theres still a large amount we dont know yet.
ok...ill admit it... i still use jet stream school... its kool man!!! lol
here is the vid of the funnel of today in amsterdam! green sky again...wohooo! but brr this aint normal for us over here!! (click name)
hey cors..kool pic...i have a pic just like that...a cold air funnel...kinda like running your hand through water real quick to make a votices..they are there then they go fast . at least thats what it looks like without the wall cloud. so tell me cors what did you guys do over there to get such severe weather this year ? lol
BRB: I will actually soon be talking to some folks at the University of Alberta who have been investigating that very thing; If you can, try to remember to ask about forecasting tornado intensity in Alberta in about three weeks, I should have some more details for you...
The work looks really rough right now, and it doesn't take into account a number of other factors that could affect tornado intensity, but it's definitely a start!
Simon E.
Wow..there are some early risers on here!!
The more intense storms won't develop until late this afternoon and evening. The storms out there now are elevated, which means that they are based above the surface, and will only pose a marginally severe hail/wind threat as they lift north and dissipate.
We need the heat of the day for the significant instability to develop. I'll be posting continuous updates as the situation unfolds. As Brandon, said...this situation could easily not produce any tornadoes...the flow is very unidirectional with height, which is not ideal...but if storms turn to the right then they will have a better chance to produce.
Radar show a strom south of spruce grove moving
northward lightning activity with this one is high.
Carvel Radar is now offline
Now temps are soaring
we have gone up 4C in the last hour
Now 25C 76%humidity
Thanks Zack & Dale for the links
I have lots of reading and learning to do tonight..
anyone have anymore sites ?
hey reed... ya its like that in alberta..its very hit and miss...we should get by rights about 50 or so tornadoes a year yet sometimes we get 15..go figuire. so this means we have time before we chase...so i can go see transformers movie again? lmao
Dale, I took a look at the site you posted for Rene and your right it is kool lol!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
ya the glossary index is good for the wild weather acronyms. glad you like it zack.
Wow! Wish Reed and I had gone up to Alberta. Morning models continue to show a potentially volatile situation this afternoon for areas north and east of Calgary. Wind speeds at all level should be very high. The only negative I can see is there may be a lack of turning with height, limiting shear a little bit. CAPE will be high and convective inhibition should be gone by mid afternoon. Look for several fast moving supercells to develop and rapidly fly north to north northeast.
Alberta has less tornadoes due to the fact that dewpoints nomaly don't exeed 15C. This year a hot humid airmass is in place and will not die out(just like 1987).
Muggy weather will retern to alberta in the next week, so take advatage of the more bearable conditions
Another thing is that alberta is big so the chance of a tornado in a city or town is low(even if there are many tornadoes)
well i know this mike...doesnt mean i gotta like it lmao.
dont worry joel...theres a bunch of us here today within earshot of the whole mess with cameras gallore ready at whim.
when the big one 20 years ago hit i was walking down by the river directly in front of it . all the time saying to myself..wtf is with this green stuff...and the swirling...i ran like a bugger home...just got in the door when i hear boom! looked to see the softball size hailstone just miss me. the glass shops were happy after that day i tell ya. its what got me interested in weather...no one ever really new we even had them here before that.
Nice video Mike R, and Dale...you liked tranformers to eh? i friggin loved that movie, ive seen it twice in theaters :P
Even I have cameras
I will film anything that hits Wetaskiwin or Millet
I got 6 hours of battery and 7 hours of tape
I have all that for long trips in the bush but it comes in handy for storms
in additon I use a weather proof digi stll cam
Yah well i got a digital camera that takes 30 second videos at a time!!! take that
Do you think there will be any activity around the St.Paul area of Alberta??
what way will they move
rhonda: st paul and cold lake are on the boundry but still in the area you never know... we could actually get skunked today and it could all fall apart...you never know. nadoes...they will move n/ne.
mike: i have a weather radio...ner ner !! lmao
Can anyone tell me where I can get Alberta's radar
heres the ec sight for you zack.
http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/canada_e.html
btw zack, one of these days im gonna scrape money together and go down to the okie.. do some bigass storm chasing.
Yeah, Well we get som bigass storms too...
The new RUC (Rapid update cycle)model is showing supercells from near Calgary up through Edmonton at around 6-7 pm, with very good wind shear. This is a model though, and I've seen it blow many a forecast!
This model has even better shear than the WRF shown here...it updates every hour.
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/model/ruc09hr_sfc_prcp.gif
sounds good reed ty
Jason said he's going to try and have the chat up and running tomorrow on the live tracker page.
Reed, do you think oklahoma is up for any storms tomorrow?? I know they probaly wont be severe, but anything? The weather has been so damn hot and boring down here!!!!
chat? good idea.
Hey guys,
Y'all should speak with your webmaster and see how hard it would be to integrate a Java chat applet for your site. Weather conditions on the fly ;)
Thanks for the links Zack and Dale got lots of good info I like the glossary! Was gettin to know most of the terms but that filled the gaps great! Well wife quashed my Ab. trip so I am here watchin on the comp to :( To those that are gonna chase be safe and good luck ! I wish I was there !
Panasonic pv gs-85
Olympus stylus 7.1mp camera
Please don't brag about your gear
I am not a perfectionist
as long as I can record video with sound I'm happy
Hey case...that's the plan!
Mike are you chasing in AB today?
We feel your pain Rob...watching it on radar is the distant second best thing.
Can someone look at the Kind City Radar and provide your input on why the storm line breaks up at Barrie
http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/radar/index_e.html?id=WKR
Does anyone else in nothern Alberta feel that the heat and humidity mix feels more "tropical" than it should?
No, Gas is way too expensive(I drive a ford F150 gas guzzler triton V8).
But I can go to a more suitabe area in wetaskiwin(no trees/buildings in the way)
Current:
27C 70% humidity
Feels like the carribean in alberta
I may not live in Alberta Kelly, but I feel the exact type of weather you do. I live in Oklahoma and the weather this time of year is usually hot and dry(boring too). But this year the dewpoints have been in the upper 60's to low 70's making it feel more like Florida or Hawaii!! We have also been experiencing a wetter than avg. spring and summer as well.
It sure does feel like the caribbean, erie isn't it?
I wish i had a car i would be out chasing, but if something comes to south edmonton there is a hill i can see everywhere but the north so i guess that will have to do
I work in Spruce Grove but live in Onoway so I will keep posts on here throughout the day and night. Exciting isn't it?
Yeah these dewpoint values are extreme for Alberta...especially northern AB. It looks like there could be another trough building in the extended range (a week+) after this one.
It looks like the skies are very clear over most of the foothills and adjacent plains. We should see some towers developing in a few hours.
Guys take a look at this video from Blackhawk Co. Iowa last night!! The two storms were hours within each other with the first one producing baseball to softball size hail!!! Take a look!
http://www.weather.com/multimedia/videoplayer.html?clip=7182&nav=84&collection=topstory&from=wxcenter_video
Hey Rene its pretty bad up where i am in Tottenham(if u know where that is) were under a severe thunderstorm warning right now and its pretty damn dark were i am at.
It sure does feel tropical here in St.Paul!!
laptops charged. cameras charged. full tank of gas. living exactly between edmonton and calgary. this is shaping up to be a good day. but ill believe it when i see the first batch of cells fire up! and these cloudy/partly cloudy skies have to go...need that sun out!!!
Wow intense storm, i love how americans say roof...so silly :P.
also some SMOG in alberta around Edmonton.
Sky clear and hazy around Wetaskiwin the odd cloud but the haze is thick and it smells a bit
Clouds in Spruce Grove are burning off, skies are clearing. Although reports of a large storm near Evansburg was called in to our office.
Matt, ya I know where you are, it would take me 1/2 hr to get there.
I remember driving on the 400 hwy, coming back from the cottage, the clouds were so black, it was 1pm and I had to turn on the driving lights to drive. it was almost night time. never seen that before..
it was north of the Ski Hill off of the 400 hwy. when it ahppened. Then when we reach the skii kill, the black cloud covered half of the ski resort. it was awesome
Dewpoints in Wetaskiwin,Camrose,Edmonton and Lacombe now in th 20s
dewpoint 21C in Wetaskiwin
Hey Guys,
There's a nice Tstorm moving through Oshawa right now. Can we expect storms all night?
thx
Dave
OMFG this video is off the hook!! Check it out!!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q3u0VuROLHM&mode=related&search=
most of it is fake
the begining is real, afterwards it was made up
I know most of it was fake Rene! Hey you thought that I thought it was real?? Anyway that was a dramatic video
If it was real man that would be a mess i wouldnt want to clean up!!!!!!!!
Alberta's watch was just extended to the southern areas.
From Environment Canada.
A developing north south frontal zone from just west of Edmonton south to west of Red Deer has begun to pool moist unstable air. It is expected that thunderstorms could begin to trigger near this boundary after 3 PM and well into the evening hours. Storms which develop are expected to move northeastwards. It is possible this watch may be extended southeastwards towards Medicine Hat as the day progresses.
Zack...I'm not going there.. LOL.. Ok I will give it a try
No, I did not think, that you thought that I thought... my brain hurts...
To answer your question, the answer is no..
it's an awesome video .. :)
Hot spot over Camrose,Wetaskiwin and Lacombe.
it is 5C warmer than Edmonton or red deer
Dewpoints around 23C
If it behaves like 1987 Edmonton is in for an F5!
Station records(1987) show the same hot spot south of Edmonton.
A more powerfun version of the dynamics on july 31 1987 is developing
All that is needed for a super twister in edmonton is the wind shear and upper support
Currently:
30C
60% humidity
Flash covection is happening just like 1987.
I will watch this very closely and so should everyone else
Clouding over very quickly
ha ha ha ha ha!!! Your funny Rene! ha ha!
Mike R...i feel your pain...i drive a 1500 dodge 4x4...sucks the gas like you wouldnt believe...sucks when you wanna go to where the storms are. Good luck to anyone chasing in Alberta today..wish i was there....anyone see anything for manitoba this weekend?
Hey Guys,
Seems crazy stuff is happing every were. NZ is set to get more severe rain and lightning. Weather warning put out this morning for severe weather over the top of the north island. I'll keep you posted.
Stay safe everyone!!
Didn't mean to offend you
Rene :)
sunny to dark clouds in Millet and Wetaskiwin in 5 minutes.
I don't want to scare the crap of of you but some of the dynamics are setting up for an F4 or F5 tornado. This is bad very very bad!
Hey Jackie...my advisor at Oklahoma U is from New Zealand. I believe from Auckland.
Alberta is really destabilizing now.
lol Yeah everywhere but here....gonna start doing that storm dance Tim was talking about a while ago...lol
about to go out here and start my pursuit...wouldnt ya know it... my cam corder crapped out on me**&%$#*@!!! carose sounds like the start to me too mike.
Hi guys...Dale in Edmonton in particular...you called me today, please call me again if you can and leave your number. 780-991-2621 or 780-989-4660
Hi Reed...scratch my last voice mail..posting here to contact Edmonton gang if possible.
You didn't offend me Rene..lol..
This has nothing to do with Alberta but i thought id post it anyway
TORNADO WARNING
MIC161-192015-
/O.NEW.KDTX.TO.W.0007.070719T1939Z-070719T2015Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
339 PM EDT THU JUL 19 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DETROIT/PONTIAC HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WASHTENAW COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
* UNTIL 415 PM EDT
* AT 335 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR WHITMORE
LAKE...OR ABOUT 12 MILES NORTH OF ANN ARBOR...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
50 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
SALEM AND DIXBORO BY 345 PM EDT...
IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF A TORNADO...THE SAFEST PLACE IN A HOME OR
BUSINESS IS AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR POSSIBLE. AVOID
WINDOWS.
THIS STORM IS ALSO CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS OVER 65 MPH AND
HAIL GREATER THAN ONE INCH IN DIAMETER.
LAT...LON 4244 8356 4243 8385 4221 8354
$$
MANN /
Looks like some serious stuff is about to happen in Alberta, serious stuff!
How serious around Spruce Grove? Should I start heading home yet?
Zack ...would u mind posting the link to the radar ur watching if ur watching one? Please and thanks!
Millet Camrose Wetaskiwin Pigeon lake all having flash convetion and updrafts up to 100mph based on how fast the towers grow.
A massive supercell may pop up righ over Wetaskiwin and Camrose. If so Edmonmton may be in for THE BIG ONE!!!
The entire sky now has towers in every direction
Yah Mike R i was look around to, somthing feels erie about it. gut feeling?
one last thought then im gone... GIGGIDY GIGGIDY GIGGIDY GIGGIDY GOO!!
Sure Amanda here it is....
http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/radar/index_e.html?id=WHK
Good luck Dale ....Becareful!!!
I went out on the deck and there seems to be a cap on things but when it breaks EC may not have enough time to issue warnings.
I can;t tell exactly what is going on but I know enough to be very concered.
Conditions:
30C
63% humidity
dewpoint 22C
Mike R thanks for all these updates i live on the very southern part of edmonton so its good to know if i should be concerned
Mike R you should chill a little...
What if NOTHING happens?!?!?
Category:tornado
State:Texas
City:San Antonio, Home of spurs (NBA)
Rating: F-1 (San Antonio is not really in tonado alley)
Side of city: Northeast side
Time of day: About 3 a.m. Tuesday Night
Man, you should have been here, the rating was a strong F-1 and had winds of 100 mph
We've also been having flooding too, but it's clearing up though. Peace
yes it is possible for a flop. and many would rather it be
But it is always good to eye the sky in weather like this.
I'm saying an F5 is the worst case, but it is possibe.
The size of the hail is more of a concern as all it needs is a powerful updraft. While a tornado needs and a very complex set of conditions. Tornadoes are certain today but big ones are way less likely
Well I got to get away from the puter for awhile...
Good luck to all of you chasing in Alberta today and BE SAFE!! I'll be watching the situation closely..
See Yall!!
I know I said I was getting away from the puter for awhile but couldn't... Anyways I'm back.
Just checked radar in Alberta earlier and why is nothing happening???? Cape too strong???