News DetailMay 22 looking VERY interesting!
Posted At: May 18, 2007 @ 2:59 PM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Related Categories: Tornadoes
While it's likely not yet worth discussing, I can't handle posting about the potential for Tuesday, May 22, especially given the boring weather pattern we are currently experiencing. Here are the 500 mb and 850 mb GFS forecasts for 7 pm on Tuesday, with the region of severe weather risk highlighted in blue.
As seen above, a 40+ kt diurnal low-level jet (bottom panel) is forecast to be in place from Oklahoma north to southwest Ontario, with more than sufficient upper-level flow for supercells. The models have been consistent in forecasting a more amplified trough, extending much further south with each consecutive run. If the above model run verifies, the region from northeast KS to southwest Ontario could be in for a major tornado outbreak. Stay tuned for more updates!
As seen above, a 40+ kt diurnal low-level jet (bottom panel) is forecast to be in place from Oklahoma north to southwest Ontario, with more than sufficient upper-level flow for supercells. The models have been consistent in forecasting a more amplified trough, extending much further south with each consecutive run. If the above model run verifies, the region from northeast KS to southwest Ontario could be in for a major tornado outbreak. Stay tuned for more updates!
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Looks like for us here in Minneapolis... we may finally get some action... Saddle Up!!
It is going to be interesting to see how this all plays out.
Yesssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssssss
Awesome I may be able to make this chase after all!!!
Are there any chance of tornadoes in Western Pa next week
We'll be out in full force with the Yahoo Task force. We'll be eyeing you guys, making sure you follow our ethics. Only WE are allowed to contradict ourselves by stopping in the middle of the highway to film a storm. We invented the atmosphere, we invented storm chasing, you get the drill.
CAPE looks good so let's rock!!!!!!!!
TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTH CENTRAL BARNES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA...
* UNTIL 745 PM CDT
* AT 638 PM CDT...WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD 5 MILES
EAST OF HANNAFORD...OR 26 MILES NORTH OF VALLEY CITY...MOVING TO
THE SOUTH AT 10 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
SIBLEY AT 715 PM CDT...
6 MILES NORTH OF BALD HILL DAM AT 745 PM CDT...
IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO ABANDON CARS AND MOBILE HOMES
FOR A STURDY BUILDING.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
FRIDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.
Hey, does anybody know a good site to find CAPE forcast models?
You can thank the Arctic cold front for in Manitoba for the North Dakota severe weather right now! :)
ummmm let's see no Jonathan but you could ask Reed.
Jonathan, check out the College of Dupage weather analysis website.
all the w's weather_dot_cod_dot_edu_slash_analysis
Reed on TWC thay said there Is a house that won't
get tore up by AN EF5 TORNADO!!!!
Caleb
They have a certian type of dome construction made out of sand bags. These dome houses are hurricane and tornado proof. Of course there is stucco and building materials on the outside of the sand bags, but they are pretty cool! They have an incrediable dome in Flordia, I think! There is a video about them on you tube, But I cant remember what they are called! Check it out!
They are called monolithic domes! Sorry it just came to me!
Wow...this is going to be pretty interesting...
Can they deflect debris from other non weatherproof homes?
Apparently they are pretty solid structures from what I just read. on the Wikipedia website they say a mosque was hit with a 5000lb bomb and was still structurally intact.
SWEET!!!!!! Looks like a huge part of Iowa is in the "zone".....About time! Let's hope!
I WAS gonna add something else, but the comment box won't seem to let me do much more than this, so Reed & Co....keep doin what ya do!!
P.S. Reed....if your chases ever bring you to Black Hawk County/near it....would kill meet you guys! Hell....I'll even drive to you!! I ain't scared! LOL
You crack me up Reed! You've just had an insane outbreak of tornado activity and supercells and ya get a couple of weeks lull and it's boring?!!!!! Man, you should live here for 6 months of the year - we get nothing but dry sunny days of 32C!!!!!
send me some convection!
Mike/Darwin