News Detail00z Models Look Incredible for Tornadoes Late Friday!
Posted At: February 23, 2007 @ 1:04 AM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Related Categories: Tornadoes
The 00z 4km (low-resolution) WRF simulated composite radar reflectivity (shown above) looks VERY interesting tomorrow for an outbreak of tornadic supercells over the eastern TX Panhandle, western OK, and southwest KS. Watch how convective intiation is forecast in the northeast TX Panhandle by 23z, with an explosion of supercells along a line from southern KS to northern KS overnight!
The operational WRF forecast CAPE and 0-1 km helicity for 00z Friday night are displayed below. Note the 2000+ J/kg CAPES and 150-200 helicity values in the same region as the simulated supercells in the left panel above. This all indicates the potential for STRONG tornadoes over this region late Friday and overnight.
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Hi Reed - your tracker is working and I can see where you are. Good luck - and drive carefully!!! Keep us updated!
We chased all three supercells and saw a funnel/remnants of the tornado just west of Quail, TX. We're now focusing on lightning shots for the rest of the night...unless things go insane.
Hi Reed - this is just the beginning of the season - at least you will get some lightning photos with your new camera. Good luck.
Hi Reed - any conclusions yet as to your focus area for tomorrow?
hi! We're thinking either southeast AR or the "cold-core" set-up in eastern KS. I'm leaning towards the latter since storm motions will be about 80 mph in AR! I think the good CAPE will have trouble getting up to Franklin though.