News DetailSevere SE, Snow Great Lakes
Posted At: December 28, 2007 @ 1:26 AM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Related Categories: Snow
Another strong storm system has ejected into the Central Plains and will likely produce severe weather along the Central Gulf Coast, and blizzard like conditions with a synoptic scale Lake Effect snow event in Michigan.
I (JY) will talk about the south side of the midlatitude cyclone, and Reed will have another update later today with the north side, as well as updates with any big developments.
The SPC included most of Alabama, and South Mississippi under slight risk for severe weather Friday:
Forecast CAPE is relatively low with about 1000 j/kg near the immediate coast, but, the 850 mb winds are very impressive with possibly 50 Kts well inland!
The current dewpoint in Mobile is 49, thanks to a disturbance that moved through yesterday. But you cannot underestimate the quickness of the moisture rebound thanks to the Gulf waters (~70 offshore).
Here is a look at the surface features: Note the heavy snow symbol near Grand Rapids by Friday night.
The front stalls along the Coast during the weekend which is great news for the drought plagued southeast states! Another chance for thunderstorms will be possible late Saturday and into Sunday, then a big cool down after the first of the year. Check out the longwave trough along the East Coast!
Reed will have more updates through the day, with cool loops! He will also be documented the snow side Friday night in Grand Rapids. I will be in Mobile watching the development. One thing about severe weather along the Coast is if we get a good southerly flow with thunderstorms moving in from the Gulf waters, spin ups, like the Pensacola tornado in October can happen insanely fast. It's very tricky!
I (JY) will talk about the south side of the midlatitude cyclone, and Reed will have another update later today with the north side, as well as updates with any big developments.
The SPC included most of Alabama, and South Mississippi under slight risk for severe weather Friday:
The current dewpoint in Mobile is 49, thanks to a disturbance that moved through yesterday. But you cannot underestimate the quickness of the moisture rebound thanks to the Gulf waters (~70 offshore).
The front stalls along the Coast during the weekend which is great news for the drought plagued southeast states! Another chance for thunderstorms will be possible late Saturday and into Sunday, then a big cool down after the first of the year. Check out the longwave trough along the East Coast!
Reed will have more updates through the day, with cool loops! He will also be documented the snow side Friday night in Grand Rapids. I will be in Mobile watching the development. One thing about severe weather along the Coast is if we get a good southerly flow with thunderstorms moving in from the Gulf waters, spin ups, like the Pensacola tornado in October can happen insanely fast. It's very tricky!
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Grate Now I MIGHT get some storms were I'me headed.
Well we ended up with about 5 inches of new snow. I guess a white xmas and a white new years isn't all that bad :)
Looks like some activity is already starting up early today;
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
935 AM CST FRI DEC 28 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN IBERIA PARISH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...NEW IBERIA...AVERY ISLAND...
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL VERMILION PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
* UNTIL 1000 AM CST
* AT 931 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES SOUTH OF
ERATH...OR ABOUT 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ABBEVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 45 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
DELCAMBRE AND AVERY ISLAND BY 940 AM CST...
NEW IBERIA BY 950 AM CST...
Doesn't look like too much is gonna happen here!! Maybe an inch today!! Maybe a lil more on Monday!! It looks like a cool off for the New Year!! Highs only around 7 to 10f!! Nice to see one last Slight risk for the year!! It'll be cool to recap 2007 here in a few days!! What a great year for weather!! Coulda been a lil more severe here but...
AJ and Caleb. you guys have fun safe trips this weekend as well as everyone who's traveling!!
It's happening! =-O
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1027 AM CST FRI DEC 28 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EXTREME WEST CENTRAL ESCAMBIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...
NORTH CENTRAL BALDWIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
* UNTIL 1100 AM CST
* AT 1025 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 10 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF REDTOWN...OR ABOUT 13 MILES NORTH OF BAY MINETTE...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
REDTOWN BY 1045 AM CST...
BOONEVILLE BY 1055 AM CST...
hey guys how is everyone....??
looks like ive shown up at the right time then lol
time for some fun loading up the radars - getting some coffee downthis is going to be a long day
haha! Sounds like fun Donny. I guess Tim, you and I showed up with perfect timing ;) Monte, I only have about 4" out here. I guess I was right; the further east it traveled, the more snow it dumped. And you're right, having white holidays isn't so bad.
Yeah, today's my last day at home before my trip to South Carolina to see family. Thanks Brady!
i will have fun aj- and you be carefull on your trip to south carolina
Just got off the phone with my Bro who is a school teacher in Bama and is obviously on vacation this week. He said they had a small storm just east of B-Ham that was moving quick and dropped about .31in of rain with some thunder and lighning not much else. After that he said it got muggy, he has 68 with a dew point of 65 at 1115 cdt. Looks like more could be on its way with the front just entering NW Bama.
Ohio is cloudy with rain not too far off.
I am headed into work to cover the weather. I was out on a story when within 30 min I have several warnings on my phone. I am watching the storms just to my west moving onshore. It will be fun!
Hey guys, Last night we got some heavy wet snow here in south OKC. I must say, I have never seen flakes so big! They were at one point roughly the size of golfballs. We got a quick half inch to an inch accumulation. Hmmm. Severe weather today near the gulf? I like it! ;)
It'll only be fun for me when I know people are out there mobilized keeping an eye out. I sorta wonder if the public there is all aware of what can potentially happen with this.
Remember it was an unaware Florida, not Greensburg, that caused the most loss earlier this year ... hope everyone in Bama is going to be OK.
Wow!! I hope you guys can get some ugly non damaging storms!! I think our next Slight risk will be quite some time from now!! Good Luck!!
AJ, Too bad Minny aint on the way to SC!! You should try to convince your Dad to take a 15hr Detour up I-35 on the way back!! JK
Zack: heavy and wet? Doesn't sound like what we got further north... ours is fine, dry powder. I guess that's my luck huh? haha Now for the fun part: removing it from the driveway again... oh well...
haha. Ahh, I could try to convince him Brady, but he has a pention for heading some place warm for the winter... hehe jk. That'd wouldn't go over very well, I guarantee it... maybe during storm season, who knows? ;)
yes AJ, it was a very heavy wet snow lol. It lasted for a few hours and accumulated very quickly! Yeah only here is the thing, the snow didn't accumulate on the roads or driveways. So HA too bad for you! LOL;)
Ahh, you lucky duck... hahaha. Oh well, I won't have to deal with snow for the rest of the week, so I'm happy. Warmer temps and mild chances of rain, here we come! lol
Zack, our snow "flakes" the other day were like that too ... the biggest I'd ever seen! I say "flakes" thought because I think it was really more like clumps than single flakes.
Oh yeah, and:
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 745
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1045 AM CST FRI DEC 28 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ALABAMA
THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1045 AM UNTIL 600
PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH OF ANNISTON
ALABAMA TO 30 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF BOOTHVILLE LOUISIANA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...A BROKEN BAND OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY ALONG
THE COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON FROM SE LA INTO SE MS AND CENTRAL AL.
FARTHER SE...PRE-FRONTAL STORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS SRN
AL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S AND
SURFACE HEATING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY FOR SEVERE
STORMS...AND VERTICAL SHEAR SHOULD REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A FEW TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL
BE THE MAIN SEVERE STORM THREATS.
Looks like JY is gonna have a long day. This stuff coming on-shore is pretty heavy! (Awesome blog entry, by the way!)
Hey guys and gals I was checking out the Outlaw Chasers blog and they said they were chasing in Mississippi today! That's quite the haul from Kansas!! :o
Dang! That is pretty far for KS chasers... I wish I would've left for South Carolina today, I might've seen some awesome weather! haha. Good luck to the Outlaws!
Michael O., if you're like me, you're bored at home, so you've gone to watch old re-runs from past chases. haha
Thanks Heidi! The severe weather threat ended an hour or so ago for me. No damage to report along the Central Gulf Coast. There may be some redevelopment later... but with the atmosphere worked out, I doubt the storms would be as strong.
REED. MSU vs BC in half an hour. Your phone is off. I think I'm going to eastown to watch it since we don't have ESPN. We're getting a nice coat on the ground, hopefully I'll be able to do some donuts on the way.
Hey guys, how is everyone??
rain is coming down hard here and it has been blowing a gale all day.... there has also been big drop in pressure, im still yet to see it hit stormy on my barometer lol...
Hey guys, sorry I left like suddenly..... Had to get rid of a trojan on my PC. Anyway, yeah Hiedi I agree, they looked more like clumps than flakes, so yeah. The snow hasn't even melted where I am, we have been sitting at or below freezing ALL day! Currently 29 degrees. Well looks like the snow train will finaly come to an end after this last teeny storm between saturday and Sunday. Then it's back to the typical mild Oklahoma winter for awhile:(
Hey Tim, how are ya! Finally some action for ya eh?
Anyway guys, I'm leaving to go see the Chipmunk movie(completely off the subject I know.. lol) Bye!
haha. I wanted it to warm up more here, so my shoveling would be easier, but it never cracked 35. I guess that's what I get for relying on the sun to do my chores for me ;)
Well, hope everyone has fun on New Year's. This might be my last comment post until 2008! Tonite, I'm off to see I Am Legend (also off subject, but oh well). See you guys later!
YEA!!! It snowed! beautiful, big, flakes! We got around 5 inches-all while at work. It is so pretty outside! Roads weren't that bad on the way home!
Happy trails AJ! Hope it is nice and warm where your heading!
I bet that made you happy Susan...lol. Anyway, the Chipmunk movie was very good, although the ending was a little dumb. Hope they make a second one! Looks like the quiet weather is finally here with the snow train comming to an end:( Oh well, it was fun while it lasted.
I'm off to bed, goodnight everyone.
I'm wrong again: THIS comment will be my last post on here for 2007. I'm off to the Coast, in search of warmer weather for a week. I'll see you guys in 2008!
PS: I Am Legend is amazing! (If you like sci-fi drama. ;)