News DetailTropical Storm Noel pounding Haiti!
Posted At: October 29, 2007 @ 12:57 AM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Related Categories: Hurricanes
Tropical Storm Noel is likely producing catastrophic flooding over mountainous Hispaniola tonight, as explosive convection on the north side of the tropical cyclone continues to pound southern Haiti and Dominican Republic. While little strengthening has occurred over the last 24 hours, intense convection is ongoing on the north side of the circulation. The 11:00 pm EDT NHC advisory from Sunday night still indicated maximum sustained winds of 50 kts. An IR loop of Noel from over the last several hours is displayed below:
The mountains over southeastern Haiti and southwestern Dominican Republic are 8000+ feet in elevation, and are located very near to the coast. Thus, orographic enhancement of the already heavy tropical rainfall must be out of control...Meaning that catastrophic flash floods and mud slides will be inevitable. Here is a picture of the beautiful south-Haiti coastline, showing the proximity of the massive mountains to the sea:
Tropical Storm Noel is forecast to track slowly NNW as an upper-level anticyclone strengthens and drifts to the east. Westerly wind shear and the mountains terrain of Hispaniola and eastern Cuba will likely keep Noel from strengthening much more, but minimal hurricane status is definitely attainable. Fortunately through, Noel will not impact the eastern U.S. Coast, except for slightly higher surf at the beaches. The 5-day track forecast from the 11:00 pm EDT NHC advisory is displayed below:
The mountains over southeastern Haiti and southwestern Dominican Republic are 8000+ feet in elevation, and are located very near to the coast. Thus, orographic enhancement of the already heavy tropical rainfall must be out of control...Meaning that catastrophic flash floods and mud slides will be inevitable. Here is a picture of the beautiful south-Haiti coastline, showing the proximity of the massive mountains to the sea:
Tropical Storm Noel is forecast to track slowly NNW as an upper-level anticyclone strengthens and drifts to the east. Westerly wind shear and the mountains terrain of Hispaniola and eastern Cuba will likely keep Noel from strengthening much more, but minimal hurricane status is definitely attainable. Fortunately through, Noel will not impact the eastern U.S. Coast, except for slightly higher surf at the beaches. The 5-day track forecast from the 11:00 pm EDT NHC advisory is displayed below:
Calendar
Categories
muito lindo o haiti
é uma pena ser tomado por violencia
baln.camboriu-sc-Brasil
quiet night tonight!! How's everyone been??
I'm good Brady and you? I am a huge fanatic when it comes to extreme weather chasing. In paticular, Tornadoes! I have experienced 1 tornado when I was about 15 yrs old, btu it was pitch dark and all I remember was the Tornado alarm souding off, and then feeling winds that can't really be desrcibed by words.
Good morning. These are the first tornado pictures I found of the High Risk day in Greece: http://www.wzforum.de/forum2/read.php?8,1224909,1224921#msg-1224921
It seems to be a mesocyclonic tornado over water and at the end it becomes rain-wrapped.
Geez, this is the last thing Haiti needs, since it's already one of the world's poorest countries (not to mention, the poorest in the Western Hemisphere...). The risk of landslides/mudslides is a lot higher there too, as opposed to the Dominican Republic, since Haiti has had pretty bad record when it comes to deforestation and soil conservation practices over the last ___ number of years.
Hehe!! That's cool Will!! I've still never experienced and actual confirmed tornado yet, but I have seen a few funnel clouds and and stuff like that!! But hopefully next year we can fix that!! hehe!!
Sorry I've been quiet lately!! I've been figuring out this photoshop stuff lil by lil and I'm finally marking my pics!! My hard drive is so disorganized with stuff right now!! It'll take me a while to sort everything out!! I must say I'm proud of myself for all these great pics!! It turned out to be a great year after all!!
I hope your not considering chasing this Tropical Storm Reed!! Maybe if you can get the National Guard to escort you, Your next vid could be "Extreme Third World Chases"!! hehe
Since I started here, my pics have gone from " The Wallcloud That Was Eatin Alive By Lake Superior"
http://s195.photobucket.com/albums/z285/shadetree6981/?action=view¤t=100_2353asSmartObject-1asSmartObjec.jpg
To " The Funnel In Question"
http://s195.photobucket.com/albums/z285/shadetree6981/?action=view¤t=100_2508b.jpg
To " The World's Weakest Tornado"
http://s195.photobucket.com/albums/z285/shadetree6981/?action=view¤t=100_2800asSmartObject-1.jpg
My next one has to be something substantial!!
great choice of music for your video cors. it definetly added more intensity to an already intense video!
Thanks for the pictures Volker!
Definitely looks like a supercell tornado to me as well. It has a nice clear slot and it looks like it's pulling in low condensation on the north side from the rain core.
AMAZING
Thanks for sharing Volker.
I've never seen any tornadic stuff from Greece before, or any storm related stuff actually.
Nice lil spout there.
Man is it ever quiet here.
Ok im going to make this prediction. Im going to get snow on November 12th. Its 2 weeks out but thats my prediction
@Matt...
Hmm, that means we should be getting snow Nov 11th, since we're north of you. :-)
Ya north by like 5 minutes
Thats cool Brady. at least you have some cool pictures, and yeah, I hope to get lucky next season too! I am going to try to find people around my area that want to go track down a few severe storms and see what happens!
I know alot of you say it can get pricy to go chasing. So i figured it would be cool to find a few people that could basically EXTREME STORM CHASE CAR POOL LOL If that makes sense. That way we could combine resources and be able to cover more territory. I live in COLORADO near CO Springs. anyone that is close fee free to contact me.
Did any of you read my idea on a Xtreme STORM CHASERS VIDEO GAME? I think it would be AWESOME If it was done right.
That way the people that really can't afford all the high tech equiptment, and money to do the real thing, could still be able to do DETAILED LOGS, CHASES, DIFFERENT MISSIONS, TASKS. Just sounds cool to me.!
I think you could get the price down on chasing with the right equipment.
For instance, if you really want to be able to punch those cores, go cross-country and fear no storm, then your next chase vehicle is right here:
http://www.strategypage.com/military_photos/200612923.aspx
Just add a couple of light bars and a doppler dish, and you're in business!
I bought that same idea up about 3 weeks ago. I think a storm chasing game would be great because for amateurs like me it would be helpful game to play.
Hey guys, whats going on??
Will and Matt, that would be so cool if a game like that did come out, i would buy it straight away!
Ok, here^^ is me in my new chase vehicle, chasing the Manitoba tornado even while Reed zips right past me!
You think he would've at least stopped to say hello, especially after he caught me in this photograph.
Hey guys! Whats up?
lol nice vehicle Tom!
Hey Zack, hows it going?
Thanks, tim. :-)
I didn't bother saying "a photoshop chop" because (a) I used "gimp" instead, and (b) it was such a bad job it would be obvious.
Tom that is great. And Tim im doing alright playing so poker right now online how bout u?
Lol Tom, nah ya did a good job there lol.....
Ace Matt, i dont understand poker myself lol, is it a good game?
Im going to try upload the pics and vid from yesterday soon, will let you know when they a done.
Hey Tim! Ah not much just bucket loads of homework. You?
It depends if there is real money on the table its kinda sucks but online its play money so its fun.
You guys should really check out my site! it's a lot more organized than last time and I have been posting new blogs every day so it's very up to date! ^^
Hmmm... not very manny people on tonight?
Hey Matt!
Hey Zack, havent spoken to you a lot recently lol, ah shame man but its all worth the effort :), not a lot just watching somt tv and uploading some pretty rubbish pictures i have to say.....
Yeh Matt, id hate to be playing for real money!
Heyy zack wats up???
Yeah Tim, I have been VERY busy lately!
Not a lot Matt you??
Not a lot just playing some poker
I suck at that game!
Last year in a 6000 person tourny online i finished 180th.
Guys I know I've just been on here for a few minutes but I have to run some earings. So I'm out for the night. But don't worry I'll be back on tomorrow.
see ya Zack! lol i just got back myself lol had to run to the shops lol
Wow Matt thats ace, you did well there then...
Ya it was alright i played smart. I made one big mistake that cost me big time.
Im thinking about playing a big tourny tomorrow after work.
Ah cool, an online tourny?
Im playing right now in a small 9 person tournament
Anyway guys i thinam out for the night, i kinda need my sleep now that i am back at school.... have a good one see ya!
Reed, great talking to you today, I really enjoyed it. Hope all is well.....Lanny
Here's a semi-update on TS Noel.
http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/?from=wxcenter_news
I say "semi-update" since this hasn't been updated since about noon today.
WOW 2 svr T'storm warnings in CA how often is this?
000
WUUS56 KHNX 292328
SVRHNX
CAC019-300015-
/O.NEW.KHNX.SV.W.0011.071029T2328Z-071030T0015Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
428 PM PDT MON OCT 29 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HANFORD CA HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
WEST CENTRAL FRESNO COUNTY IN CENTRAL CALIFORNIA...
* UNTIL 515 PM PDT
* AT 422 PM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MENDOTA...OR ABOUT 32 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
MADERA...AND MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
MENDOTA BY 510 PM PDT...
THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
LAT...LON 3687 12053 3677 12032 3655 12045 3662 12066
TIME...MOT...LOC 2328Z 201DEG 10KT 3667 12051
$$
DUDLEY
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
000
WUUS56 KMTR 292310
SVRMTR
CAC069-292345-
/O.NEW.KMTR.SV.W.0001.071029T2310Z-071029T2345Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO CA
410 PM PDT MON OCT 29 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL SAN BENITO COUNTY IN WESTERN CALIFORNIA...
* UNTIL 445 PM PDT
* AT 409 PM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL. THIS
STORM WAS LOCATED OVER CENTRAL SAN BENITO COUNTY...OR ABOUT 17
MILES SOUTHEAST OF HOLLISTER...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
RURAL CENTRAL SAN BENITO COUNTY AT 420 PM PDT
RURAL NORTHERN SAN BENITO COUNTY AT 430 PM PDT
THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH PREPARE IMMEDIATELY
FOR DESTRUCTIVE WINDS...HAIL...AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE
OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY A STRONG BUILDING AND
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
LAT...LON 3693 12121 3686 12110 3683 12108 3683 12106
3682 12104 3658 12112 3666 12132
TIME...MOT...LOC 2310Z 207DEG 19KT 3670 12116
Nice find, Caleb. I'm not sure anyone is really paying attention to severe weather possibilities right now, so nice reminder that it's still happening! :)
Hey guys! What's up? I just got back from my concert..It's raining a bit here and if it continues, I could see snow!!!
By RAMON ALMANZAR, Associated Press Writer
41 minutes ago
SANTO DOMINGO, Dominican Republic - Tropical Storm Noel lashed the Dominican Republic with heavy rains on Monday, causing flooding and mudslides that killed at least 20 people and left another 20 missing, officials said
Noel was expected to dump up to 20 inches of rain on the Dominican Republic and Haiti, which share the island of Hispaniola, as it heads northwest toward the Bahamas.
The storm was expected to veer away from the United States, but forecasters said a tropical storm watch, which means that tropical storm conditions are possible within 36 hours, may be issued for southeast Florida later Monday.
The spinning tropical storm had been forecast to hit Haiti hardest but veered toward the Dominican Republic, apparently catching residents offguard.
"We didn't know that it was going to be like this, it took us by surprise," said Guarionex Rosado as he left his home in La Cienaga, one of Santo Domingo's most affected neighborhoods.
Noel temporarily knocked out the Dominican Republic's entire power system early Monday, plunging 9.4 million people into the dark for about two hours, said Radhames Segura, vice president of the state-owned electric company.
Some buildings tumbled down hillsides near the Dominican capital and a cell phone tower slammed to the ground in the southwestern province of Barahona. At least 10 people went missing when the Maimon River overflowed its banks and a sent a torrent of muddy water rushing through the town of Piedra Blanca.
Manuel Antonio Luna Paulino, president of the Dominican Republic's National Emergency Commission, said at least 20 people had died and another 20 were reported missing.
Three of those killed died when they were swept up by a fast-moving river in San Jose de Ocoa, southwest of the capital. Three more — a couple and their child — were killed in a mudslide in the port city of Haina, officials said.
International aid workers believe the death toll is certain to rise as reports come in from remote areas of the Dominican Republic and Haiti.
"I think this has taken some officials by surprise. The storm was predicted to go more toward Haiti," said Holly Inuretta, a regional adviser for U.S.-based Catholic Relief Services.
Haitian Prime Minister Jacques Edouard Alexis said there were no immediate reports of casualties in his country, but he urged people to seek shelter.
"It's very serious now," Alexis said at a news conference in the presidential palace. "It's moving very slowly and dropping a lot of rain."
Haiti is prone to deadly flooding because of its steep mountains and hills deforested by people who cut down the trees to make charcoal. Floods earlier this month killed at least 37 and sent more than 4,000 people to shelters.
At 8 p.m. EDT, Noel's center was about 205 miles south-southeast of Great Exuma Island in the central Bahamas, forecasters said. It was heading northwest at roughly 14 mph.
A tropical storm warning remained in effect for the northern peninsula of Haiti, central and southeastern islands in the Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands, and a portion of central and southeastern Cuba, according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center.
The storm's center was expected to move between the northern coast of Cuba and the central Bahamas late Monday and Tuesday.
____
Associated Press writer Jonathan M. Katz in Port-au-Prince, Haiti contributed to this r