News DetailTornado Watch issued for central OK!
Posted At: October 17, 2007 @ 12:26 PM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Related Categories: Tornadoes
Since we're already on the road, I haven't had time to post any model images, but the new RUC forecast is showing the best low-level shear over central/eastern OK northward into southeast KS by 21-00z. Since the dryline is oriented northwest to southeast across north/northwest OK north of the bulge, the storms will initiate west of the best shear to the north, but within or near the best low-level shear over central/southern OK later this afternoon. However, the storms that initiate in northwest OK will move rapidly northeastward into the good low-level shear. The tracker should be working from here on out. Good luck to all who are chasing!
Wild weather in Perry ! Counted three small barn's over turned . Thinking I am going to head back to southern Oklahoma , look's like it will be pretty good back home.
Good luck every one !
Jason Young
Oklahoma
Good luck with the chasing guys!! ....am I the only one who doesn't see anything on the tracker page?? It just gives me a blank picture :/
Hey guys im back.... this is really shang up well, i just hope it doesn't go anywhere near the city...
Zack needs to watch himself, he seems to be in the thivk of it...
This thing is EXSPLODING!!!! geez I'm in a 35% area tomarrow!
Hey Caleb....you'll know i hope, that storm chase documentary o discovery channel, that is on today isn't it?
I'm not getting a picture on the live tracker either! Looks like I'm going to be in the thick of it as well! I live in extreme southeast Kansas and we are under a Tornado Watch right now. I wish I could see where you guys were going or if you're going to be up near Pittsburg!
300 0-1 km helicity over all of western OK right now according to the RUC analysis...along with 1000-1500 uncapped east of the dryline...we're currently heading west on I-40 to await initiation!
Yeah Tim there is way more heading my way!!! This is just the begining
Reed, not sure if you know, but the tracker doesn't appear to be working properly.
If it does start to get serious keep yaself calm and make sure you know what to do.....but im sure you will be ok, with a group of people like this here you will know exactly what is going on....
Yes tim it dose tonight @ 10:00 pm...... tim the tool man tylor :D sorry could'nt resist
Reed the tracker is not working right
Where are you located at Zack? I think the storms are set to kick off here in the next 15 minutes with things just getting worse as the afternoon and evening go on...they're calling for strong tornadoes with long tracks in my area. I wish I weren't stuck at my desk until 5:00!
Hey NEW severe weather statement!
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...
THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR CARTER...CLEVELAND...
GARVIN...JEFFERSON...JOHNSTON...LINCOLN...LOGAN...LOVE...MARSHALL...
MCCLAIN...MURRAY...OKLAHOMA...PONTOTOC...POTTAWATOMIE AND SEMINOLE
COUNTIES.
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN AN AREA OF STRONG WIND SHEAR
AND INSTABILITY. AT 1 PM... THE STORMS EXTENDED SOUTH FROM OKLAHOMA
CITY... TO BETWEEN WAURIKA AND MARIETTA. THESE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO
PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAIN... WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH... AND SMALL HAIL.
A FEW STORMS MAY INTENSIFY FURTHER AND BECOME SEVERE. THE STORMS
WILL MOVE RAPIDLY TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 50 TO 60 MPH.
PEOPLE IN CARTER...CLEVELAND...GARVIN...JEFFERSON...JOHNSTON...
LINCOLN...LOGAN...LOVE...MARSHALL...MCCLAIN...MURRAY...OKLAHOMA...
PONTOTOC...POTTAWATOMIE AND SEMINOLE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITIES
OF ARDMORE...EDMOND...MIDWEST CITY...NORMAN...OKLAHOMA CITY AND
SHAWNEE...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR
WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS.
Reed, whatever you did fixed it. Just got an update.
Karen... I am located in oklahoma city oklahoma.
Thanks Caleb its just that when i looked at tye guide on my sky box it was a different program, will just turn it on and hopefuly its on lol.... and what a name lmao....look out for my next post Caleb :D ;)
Zack is there anything serious near you or anything, my computer closed gr3 so i haven't seen lol
I said it before, but I'm in Pittsburg, KS...the very SE corner. This is what's in the forecast for our afternoon...
...SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA FROM LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT WITH THE POSSIBILITY FOR STRONG
TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL...
Strike how is it working?
I STILL don't see anything! Ahh! When I'm in corporate world, this is the only way for me to keep up with what's happening. I don't have an office window!
Tim It seems that the storms have quickly moved of to the east! More storms are expected to develop in the next hour and those will be the ones we have all been waiting for.....
I have some pictures of the hail from earlier, but I need to figure out how to upload them.
Well guys, I'm off for now becuase I have a doctors appointement at 2:30p.m. hope i don't run in to any trouble.. Wish me luck! See Ya!
this 1 will have the DFW meto Area in it if they issuse it.
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2094
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0120 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OK
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 708...709...
VALID 171820Z - 171945Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 708...709...CONTINUES.
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHEAST TEXAS. AN ADDITIONAL WW WILL
BE NEEDED TO INCLUDE PARTS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
IT IS UNCERTAIN AT THE MOMENT WHETHER THIS WILL INCLUDE REPLACEMENT
OF WW 708/709.
MID-LEVEL TROUGH AXIS IS IN THE PROCESS OF TAKING ON AN INCREASINGLY
NEGATIVE TILT AND PIVOTING NORTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS...TOWARD THE OZARK PLATEAU. AS FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL
MOTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE SPREADS EAST OF THE INTERSTATE
35 CORRIDOR OF OKLAHOMA/NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...REMAINING INHIBITION WILL WEAKEN.
SQUALL LINE NOW FORMING ALONG THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR WILL LIKELY
INTENSIFY NEXT FEW HOURS AS IT SHIFTS EASTWARD IN STRONGLY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT WITH MIXED LAYER CAPE ON THE ORDER OF 1000 J/KG.
ADDITIONALLY...MORE DISCRETE STORMS MAY BEGIN TO FORM IN ADVANCE OF
THE LINE DURING THE 19-21Z TIME FRAME. LARGE CLOCKWISE CURVED
LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS AND A BUOYANT BOUNDARY LAYER WITH HIGH
RELATIVELY HUMIDITIES ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHEAST TEXAS WILL
BE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT IN STRONGEST STORMS. ISOLATED
STRONG TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.
..KERR.. 10/17/2007
ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...
35509705 36249677 36909566 36609470 34739463 33839470
33339530 32869692 33389703
Click "Start auto update" and wait for a minute or two. It's working for me right now.
A new Mesoscale discussion over centeral KS also.
How come i have a feeling Reed and Joel are driving the wrong way...then again i may be completely wrong.
see ya Zack good luck lol
just updated myblog on this..... its looking really good on gr3 lol i hope nothing bad happens over a populated area.
Thanks! It's working now. It's about to get busy here...the sky looks EVIL!! Evil I say!!
OK, now I'm starting to get VERY concerned here in Illinois! TWC has a scrolling crawl at the bottom laying out exactly how things are going to unfold here tomorrow, with very strong wording regarding large hail, strong winds, large, destructive tornados. I HAVE NEVER SEEN THIS BEFORE 24 HOURS IN ADVANCE OF THE EVENT!!
I know everyone is busy in OK and KS today, but it looks pretty d@mned serious here tomorrow.
I've already contacted my son's school this morning and the reaction was "Uhhh, so?". Now I think I will be driving to get him from this camp - this is crazy!!
Ben, You took the thought right outta my head.
West?
But to be honest... I've only been on one chase and that automatically makes me wrong I think.
I was thinking the same thing on the location...but then again, they've seen so many tornadoes that I'd trust their judgment on where they think the action is going to go down.
Anyone watching that brand new cell west of Taloga?
Guess that's why they're going west.
I know, it looks like they might be driving the wrong way. But they are not, the dryline is much further west. Here is a link from NWS (Norman OK) that might better explain their thinking.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/enhanced.php
Guys... I'm on for the moment.... My mom should be here to pick me up at any moment.... looking at recent models and SPC md's It still looks good for this evening!
See ya!
I knew they knew what they were doing. The storms so far seem to be a little bit north of where I'm at, but it looks like more are moving in. I'm in for an exciting afternoon!
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHEAST TEXAS. AN ADDITIONAL WW WILL
BE NEEDED TO INCLUDE PARTS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS/SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
IT IS UNCERTAIN AT THE MOMENT WHETHER THIS WILL INCLUDE REPLACEMENT
OF WW 708/709.
MID-LEVEL TROUGH AXIS IS IN THE PROCESS OF TAKING ON AN INCREASINGLY
NEGATIVE TILT AND PIVOTING NORTHEAST OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS...TOWARD THE OZARK PLATEAU. AS FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL
MOTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE SPREADS EAST OF THE INTERSTATE
35 CORRIDOR OF OKLAHOMA/NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...REMAINING INHIBITION WILL WEAKEN.
SQUALL LINE NOW FORMING ALONG THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR WILL LIKELY
INTENSIFY NEXT FEW HOURS AS IT SHIFTS EASTWARD IN STRONGLY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT WITH MIXED LAYER CAPE ON THE ORDER OF 1000 J/KG.
ADDITIONALLY...MORE DISCRETE STORMS MAY BEGIN TO FORM IN ADVANCE OF
THE LINE DURING THE 19-21Z TIME FRAME. LARGE CLOCKWISE CURVED
LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS AND A BUOYANT BOUNDARY LAYER WITH HIGH
RELATIVELY HUMIDITIES ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHEAST TEXAS WILL
BE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADIC DEVELOPMENT IN STRONGEST STORMS. ISOLATED
STRONG TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/enhanced.php?map=2
Here is another link
Thanks Travis. Very helpful.
Well change of plans for me. Storm are starting to fire in western Oklahoma . So I am going to the west ! Reed if you a maroon car with a thousand antanna's, say hello lol. see ya'll under the storm
Jason Young
Sorry If you SEE . lol. have fun ya'll
Jason
They're heading west because that's the favorable environment for discrete supercells. After that first blob of stuff got out of there, the air is still very unstable, but the front hasn't passed yet. As it approaches, it will (most likely) cause explosive thunderstorm development in the form of discrete cells.
It's raining here now ... boring, yes, but our dewpoint is right at 70 degrees ... and a little later, when this stuff clears out, there will be some surface heating ... looks like a rough night here! I'm thinking this is an HP supercell day for Arkansas! 8-O
Oh, and I spelled vacuum wrong in the last thread. Typing too fast. :P
Just checked the tracker..... thay've been sitting there for about 20 minuts!
Hey Strike thanks for the info on the tracker. If you wait then it works. Sure hope a new line builds for some more storms late this afternoon. I am hoping to do some chasing in SW KS late this afternoon and early evening if something develops.
The tracker is working for me now but the radar part isn't showing up. Just fyi.
Hi Caleb AAAAAAAAAA!!!
they must be right in the middlof it all from what it shows on the tracker!
Looks like there is some new storms starting up just SW of where Reed is so he may soon get some good shots.
A red Dodge just went cruising up my road! IT'S A SIGN!!!!!!!!!
Reed & Joel must like the looks of this cell:
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
211 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
DEWEY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
NORTHWESTERN CUSTER COUNTY IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA...
* UNTIL 300 PM CDT
* AT 211 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF LEEDEY...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 50 MPH. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND WINDS OF 60 MPH ARE
LIKELY. ANOTHER INTENSIFYING THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MOOREWOOD
AND WAS ALSO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE CAMARGO...CESTOS...LEEDEY...
MOOREWOOD...SEILING AND TALOGA.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH NO ADVANCE WARNING.
MOVE IMMEDIATELY TO A STORM SHELTER... BASEMENT OR STURDY BUILDING IF
A TORNADO IS SIGHTED.
Cause that's where they're headed
It does appear there are some better more orginzed storms starting up straight west of where Reed is also.
Tracker working 100% here.
If they are where the tracker says, they have set up in an excellent spot.
Serious stuff brewing there.
Stay safe folks!
Hey guys that have grlevel3, is the $80 price a one-time thing or is it $80 a year? My trial period of course ended yesterday right before things get interesting...
How fast are these cells moving??
50+ mph??
If so, that is frightening.
Hey all the chasers out there. I am in Pueblo, CO and would really really like to be able to get some action around where I am at.
Anyone close to me that is into the same thing, please feel free to hit me up. Take care Tornadovideos.net team. Looking forward to the updates, and I will stay posted. Take care... Will
TORNADO WARNING
LAC015-119-172000-
/O.NEW.KSHV.TO.W.0022.071017T1910Z-071017T2000Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
210 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
BOSSIER PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF RED CHUTE...
WEBSTER PARISH IN NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...
* UNTIL 300 PM CDT
* AT 204 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR RED
CHUTE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
COTTON VALLEY BY 240 PM CDT...
SAREPTA BY 245 PM CDT...
9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CULLEN BY 250 PM CDT...
DO NOT USE YOUR CAR TO TRY TO OUTRUN A TORNADO. CARS ARE EASILY
TOSSED AROUND BY TORNADO WINDS. IF YOU ARE CAUGHT IN THE PATH OF A
TORNADO...LEAVE THE CAR AND GO TO A STRONG BUILDING. IF NO SAFE
STRUCTURE IS NEARBY...SEEK SHELTER IN A DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER
YOUR HEAD.
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT
TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.
LAT...LON 3300 9346 3277 9326 3251 9362 3265 9375
TIME...MOT...LOC 1910Z 224DEG 28KT 3264 9361
this sounds promising, cant wait to see what the chasers film!
is this moving NW?
Looks like lots of chasers are out for this event on the spotter network map. I see Kory Hartman of SevereStudios.com is already chasing and has the live chasecam playing through his website. Nice picture. Wish I could chase today.
Thanks Heidi! what did you give me though? haha
its a registeration ky.
Oh I gotcha. Thanks! I really appreciate it.
key*
Well well, there are 2 Andrews on here lol.
From now on I am AndrewMN ha ha. :)
Hey andrew do u know how to put the canadina cites on GR3???
Wow.. I cannot believe you just did that Heidi.
I think you just cost the author a lot of money.
I'm a bit shocked, actually.
that cell just north of shrevport lokslike it starting to hook a little bit or is it just me.
PB, Its the internet.... Could have spent 5 minutes looking and found the same thing.
I am going to be honest - There is some controversy as to whether or not someone should be making money off of radar that is funded by tax dollars. I got the # from someone else. If someone wants to delete that post, that's fine - they should do that.
Hey guys im back....
Heidi theres aornado warning in AR im sure you already know though lol
Looks like they have alot to choose from.
hey Heidi do you know how to put canadian cities on GR3. Just asking.
I think I need a crash course on the GR3. I've downloaded the trial version since it appears as though I am in the "belly of the beast" tomorrow. I've read enough on this site over the course of the year that I have an inkling of what I'm doing, but pointers would be appreciated if someone has the time.
Just for fun, I've put the link to the special weather bulletin issued for northern Illinois for tomorrow. Based on what I've picked up from this site and following the SPC site for a few years, I can infer the following:
1) This is the most serious statement I've ever seen - it is like issuing a tornado warning 24 hours in advance of the tornado!!
2) See #1
Click on my name to read the statement.
tomorow is gonna be crazy
i got a special weather statement for my county DuPage
right next to Cook county where chicago's at
my dad is gonna probably pick me up from school early
here's the statement thingy
Special Weather Statement
WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE ILLINOIS- OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE- DUPAGE-COOK-LA SALLE-KENDALL-GRUNDY-WILL-KANKAKEE- LIVINGSTON- IROQUOIS-FORD-LAKE INDIANA- PORTER-NEWTON-JASPER-BENTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCKFORD...WOODSTOCK... WAUKEGAN... OREGON...DIXON...DEKALB... AURORA...CHICAGO...OTTAWA...OSWEGO... MORRIS...JOLIET...KANKAKEE...PONTIAC... WATSEKA...PAXTON...GARY... VALPARAISO...MOROCCO...RENSSELAER... FOWLER 1121 AM CDT WED OCT 17 2007 /1221 PM EDT WED OCT 17 2007/
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
AN INTENSIFYING STORM SYSTEM CURRENTLY IN THE PLAINS WILL SURGE NORTHEAST INTO THE MID AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THURSDAY. STRENGTHENING WINDS WILL DRAW MOISTURE FROM THE GULF AND HELP DESTABILIZE THE AREA TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD START DEVELOPING TONIGHT AS THE FIRST WAVE ROTATES THROUGH THE AREA AS A WARM FRONT. THESE FIRST STORMS ARE NOT LIKELY TO BE SEVERE CONSIDERING THE TIME OF DAY AND WEAKER AVAILABLE ENERGY.
BEHIND THIS FIRST WAVE...STORMS SHOULD SUBSIDE TO SHOWERS IN THE MORNING HOURS TOMORROW. THE SECOND WAVE HOWEVER WILL ARRIVE WITH THE COLD FRONT DRIVING EAST ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER SEVERAL HOURS AFTER SUNUP. IF SKIES BREAK OPEN IN THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS...SOLAR HEATING WILL ADD ENERGY TO AN ALREADY VIGOROUS LOOKING SYSTEM. THESE STORMS WILL ARRIVE IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON INTO NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND FINALLY CLEAR NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA IN THE EARLY TO MID EVENING.
STRONG DOWNBURSTS TO 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LARGE DAMAGING HAIL ARE ALSO PROBABLE. IF NOT THREATENING ENOUGH...A FEW TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
RESIDENTS AND BUSINESSES IN NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA SHOULD BEGIN PREPARING NOW FOR THIS SIGNIFICANT BOUT OF SEVERE WEATHER. GATHER VALUABLES AND YOUR WEATHER RADIO AND KEEP TUNED TO TV AND RADIO TO KEEP ABREAST OF THIS DEVELOPING SEVERE STORM THREAT.
Well the WRF sure got it right last night. The supercells that it depicted in the precip forecast for Oklahoma are showing up on radar nicely now. Almost exactly the same spot as the graphic last night.
Here we go...
* AT 318 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF POCASSET...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. ANOTHER SEVERE STORM WAS 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
EL RENO... ALSO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF
QUARTERS AND WINDS OF 60 MPH ARE LIKELY.
40mph! Thats scary. Almost 70km/h.
The key has been removed. Heidi made a mistake and posted it - she asked me to remove it. Please do not post ANY registration keys for ANY software on this site. There are plenty of places to obtain software keys on the Internet - for those that do not want to go the proper route and purchase software other have spent time to develop.
Thanks,
Jason
Heidi any chance of me getting that code? thanks
thats not a lot of time to get warned if its moving that fast..... there are so many svr warnings out at the moment and 1 tornado warning...
Tim whats up guy????
Hey Guys what time are things going to start heatng up if they already havent
Hey Matt....Not much, just waiting to see if that storm chaser thing is on Discovery tonight thats bout it...... how bout you??
sorry to go off topic, but does anyone know what kind of chance I have out here in west middle TN on Thursday for some good storms?
Here's your code ^^^
I am surprised there aren't any tornado warnings with the line in OK yet. That stuff looks a little too close together, like it's teasing us into thinking it's gonna go linear.
WUUS54 KOUN 172035
SVROUN
OKC003-172115-
/O.NEW.KOUN.SV.W.0632.071017T2035Z-071017T2115Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
335 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
ALFALFA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...
* UNTIL 415 PM CDT
* AT 335 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALINE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND WINDS OF
60 MPH ARE LIKELY.
* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ALINE...AMORITA...BYRON...
CARMEN...CHEROKEE...DRIFTWOOD...GOLTRY...GREAT SALT PLAINS LAKE...
HELENA...INGERSOLL...JET AND LAMBERT.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH NO ADVANCE WARNING.
MOVE IMMEDIATELY TO A STORM SHELTER... BASEMENT OR STURDY BUILDING IF
A TORNADO IS SIGHTED.
LAT...LON 3692 9810 3648 9812 3647 9825 3647 9831
3646 9832 3645 9838 3646 9852 3655 9853
3701 9831
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 219DEG 43KT 3643 9848
NEW WARNINS JUST POPPED UP
I just spoke to Reed. He is on the cell southwest of Oklahoma City. He says there is a NICE lowering and wall cloud, and looks like formation is immenient!!!
Doppler radar is public, the NWS has a great site for radar that is free and loops, gives distances, and velocity, base reflectivity, etc.................. This is what we all pay for.
Thanks JY....glad to see they are getting somewhere out there....looks as if that drought could be a thing of the past ( touch wood )
Heidi hey must beon that line that you just talked about.
there is a tornado warning that just popped on a storm that doent to inpressive but who knows
That warned storm now has a wicked hook.
lol Matt not very impressive lol :P
Nevermind just switched radar sites and i take that back it looks good.
Thanks for the update JY!
Was just about to say.. that cell sw of OK city looks like the best of the bunch, but nobody on spotternetwork is on it and Reed doesn't show on there for some reason.
A few look to be heading for it, but can they catch it? It's really moving. A lot of speeding out there today I'm guessing.
Look out Woodlawn Park/Bethany!
Matt dont you have GR3??
www.koco.com - Live Coverage
The cell next to OK City is the main topic there (at the moment).
ya i do but i couldnt see it from the OK site.
Ah rite ok....anyway guys im out for a bit, should be back in about an hour or 10 min if this storm chaser documentary isnt on lol.... have a good one see ya!
Tornado warning in johnson county missouri, i live in sedalia, 30 miles east.
That cell now appears to have a hook on it.
Tornado on the ground near warnsburg missouri johnson missouri. they say its shoudrd in rain and not visible.
Johnson county sorry
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
405 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
WESTERN BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
* UNTIL 445 PM CDT
* AT 403 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR WEST SILOAM
SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...GENTRY...
SPRINGTOWN...DECATUR...GRAVETTE...HIWASSE AND BELLA VISTA.
What the Reed what are you doing your not chaceing anymore!
AT 406 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A CONFIRMED TORNADO ABOUT 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WARRENSBURG.
DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THIS TORNADO MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
Severestudios is on that line in OK.
Looks as if i got back just in time..... looks as if there are severeal TVS at the moment....
Where are you guys getting the info where it shows when a tornado is on the ground?
Watching tv and looking at various web sites tracking the storm. Not sure if its still on the ground.
Can someone tell me what a ETVS is.
I am seeing a TVS close to Warrensburg MO but there is also a ETVS east of Independence Mo.
and now its gone what was that?
I have storms building to my SW! WOOHOO!!
Back from school finally! Hey everyone, what's going on?
If your looking at the map with the spoters on it im about 30 miles directly west of warnsburg in sedalia missouri. So far were not getting anything here. Cant chase with the new car. dont want to hurt it haha
Hey AJ whats going on?
Where do u live again,
not west, east. Sorry getting a little exited haha
NOAA radar is down now...
Western Kansas. The town of Garden City, Matt. I might be in line for some strong storms later on tonite.
All the craziness on the radar right now, holy crap! lol. Last nite I was woken up by dime-size hail hitting the wondows! Maybe things will get interesting a little further west.... ;)
nvm its back
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2096
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0429 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SRN MO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 172129Z - 172200Z
TORNADO WATCH MAY BE NEEDED SOON FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SRN MO.
OBJECTIVE ANALYSES SHOWED A MOIST AIR MASS CONTINUING TO SPREAD NWD
ACROSS MO THIS AFTERNOON AS A WARM FRONT RETREATED TO THE N AND NOW
EXTENDED FROM AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY INTERSECTION NEAR KANSAS CITY MO
AND EWD ACROSS NRN MO INTO SRN IL. SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS S OF
THE WARM FRONT COMBINED WITH STEEPER MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES SPREADING
ENEWD ACROSS THIS REGION WILL AID IN FURTHER DESTABILIZATION WITH
SBCAPE VALUES CURRENTLY AROUND 1000 J/KG. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR IS
STRONG AND SUFFICIENT FOR ROTATING UPDRAFTS WITH SUPERCELLS BECOMING
MORE LIKELY. IN ADDITION...LOW LEVEL SHEAR IS SUPPORTIVE FOR
TORNADOES...WITH THIS POTENTIAL EXPECTED TO INCREASE AS SLY LLJ
STRENGTHENS INTO THE EVENING.
..PETERS.. 10/17/2007
Hey guys I was wondering if you have any ideas why the live tracker wont show anything when your on the move. I downloaded the latest java, and accept all cookies, but I dont see anything. The only time I can see the google map is when a chase is not going on.
O yeah where can i get a key to the gr2analysis because my trial has been up for a long time I really like it. can I reset the trial somehow?
Hey Guys I'm back from the doctor.... I hope this isn't going to be a bust cause nothing seems to be developing over my area at the time bieng...
Tornado watch extended untill 10pm CDT!!
There's a sign of rotation holding my interest, just south across the KS/OK border, near the town of Anthony, KS. Maybe it'll stay as strong as it is, and produce a funnel....??
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 713
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
430 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF ARKANSAS
NORTHERN LOUISIANA
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NORTHEAST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FROM 430 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF HARRISON
ARKANSAS TO 25 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NATCHITOCHES LOUISIANA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 709...WW 710...WW
711...WW 712...
DISCUSSION...SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
CONTINUING ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN OK/TX AND SOUTHERN AR/NORTHERN
LA. THIS ACTIVITY WILL PERSIST AND POSSIBLY STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE
EVENING AS UPPER TROUGH AND STRONGEST MID LEVEL WINDS APPROACH.
WIDESPREAD SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND FAVORABLE VERTICAL SHEAR
PROFILES SUGGEST THE THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND HAIL WILL STORMS THROUGHOUT THE REGION.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
435 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN PHILLIPS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF PHILLIPSBURG.
* UNTIL 515 PM CDT
* AT 432 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR
PHILLIPSBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PHILLIPS COUNTY THROUGH 515 PM CDT
BOOYAH!! Awesome. I could never make it in time though, gosh dangit!
Hey Heidi, looks pretty interesting for your area now! :D
Is Reed still out there??
AJ, I am trying to message you on MySpace but you have it set to "away"
Yeah, and I need a nap BIG TIME - looks like a rough night (I already said that, but oh well)
Reed is on this tail-ender north of OKC, last anyone knew
Sorry Heidi, I'll fix it in a jiff ;)
My name shows the GR3 scan for that tor-warned storm in NC Kansas. It's pretty defenite; there has to be something on the ground.
man there are alot of chasers out there right now. Anyways i gotta switch computers which sucks becaue i cant use gr3 upstairs. Be back soo.
Hey Zack and AJ......
i think my parents didnt notice me being up still lol
What is it, like about 1AM there, Tim?!
Another area of rotation near Phillipsburg now... things could get dicey if they pan out...
Still lots of rotation near Anthony, KS. It might become warned soon...
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN HARPER
AND WESTERN SUMNER COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...
AT 426 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
TRACK A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING UP TO
QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ANTHONY TO BLUFF CITY TO 8
MILES SOUTHEAST OF BLUFF CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE...
5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HARPER BY 435 PM CDT.
NEAR ARGONIA BY 445 PM CDT.
THE TOWNS OF FREEPORT...DANVILLE...RUNNYMEDE...MILAN...MAYFIELD AND
RIVERDALE ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.
arkansas is really getting it, check out that wind field near hampton.
Man!!!!!!!!!! The severe weather risk is quickly ending for my area as the dry line is moving through!! Looks like Eastern oklahoma and arkansas are in for it though!
I am Poed!!! Got all excited today for nothing!!!!!!!1
lol Heidi..... it is about 11 o'clock here but i will probably be up for a lot longer yet :P
Man what are the odds of anything coming into Ontario tomorrow. And i just looked at the 3 day outlook and i like it.
I wanna CRY!!!!!!!!!!!!!! That was probably my LAST chance for the year!!*Eyes are becoming watery*
hey Tim are you having any trouble logging in to your freewebs account because mines not working right now.
no mines fine Matt sorry, ive just updated the chase logs and signed out and everything seemed ok
Ah wouldn't worry Zack, you can now look forward to fall lol :P
NOT HELPING TIM!!!!!!! I hate you stupid SPC!!!!!
thats wierd because i cant log into any of my 4 accounts. Whatever ill keep trying.
Hmmm.... there are currently 8 tornado warnings across the US. Which one should I choose to sit and watch... hmm... ;)
The cell east of kansas city isnt showing much for rotation to me anymore, so I wouldnt worry about that one AJ
This one will work ;)
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN PHILLIPS COUNTY...
AT 504 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH STRONG ROTATION. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED
12 MILES NORTHEAST OF PHILLIPSBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF THE
INDICATED COUNTY. COUNTY OFFICIALS HAD REPORTED SOME ROTATION IN THE
VICINITY OF AGRA JUST BEFORE 5 PM.
sorry Zack....i thou you liked fall though?? lol...... well think of it this way, at least your not in any danger anymore like you were earlier.....
haha. That's too far away for me to even dream of catching Tom ;)
Is it me, or does it look like a bow echo is forming near Wichita? Any thoughts....
http://i23.tinypic.com/2a62wx0.png
The TV.net team appears to be pulled over on US177 just south of Perkins, OK. There are a number of other chasers around the tail end of that cell they've been on for a while now.
I'd sure like to see what they're seeing!
No more tor-warnings in KS, but there's 2 overlapping each other in extreme SE Oklahoma.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN MCCURTAIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
* UNTIL 600 PM CDT
* AT 511 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 6 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF RUFE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RUFE BY 525 PM CDT...
7 MILES NORTHWEST OF WRIGHT CITY BY 530 PM CDT...
RINGOLD BY 535 PM CDT...
IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
PUSHMATAHA AND NORTHEASTERN CHOCTAW COUNTIES...
AT 515 PM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR SWINK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
THE WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF THE INDICATED
COUNTIES.
Well after researching my best chance of seeing anything is in tillsonburg. Which is a 2.5 hour drive but ill wait for the morning to see if i can get any action in a closer range. But im probably going to say home tomorrow and film anything that comes to my area. Supossed to be some heavy rain.
There are TVS all over west MO, but only the one has a warning associated with it
haha. There's still a little bit of rotation hanging in there south of Hutchinson KS. It just won't die out. lol
10 tor-warnings across the US now! alkjdhfshfklsdhf
Must peel myself away from the computer for tonite! Gotta go, catch ya'll later!
Go Reed go...
AT 515 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL
AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF
PAWNEE AND NEAR PAWNEE...AND WERE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
Moving 55 MPH!
nutso
teirdness is kicking in now, but ivgot next week of so i can manage lol than next week i will be on for so long lol :P
Hey tim cant get on my site.... it says this^^
Yeh i need sleep lol...theres still 9 tornado warnings out, im gunna miss out on it all again lol....one day, one day lol....
anyway have a good one see ya!!
Last post.....
Caleb and Matt, i dont know what has gone wrong, its really wierd cause i can gt in mine but i guess its cause i payed for the site so it takes me off freewebs, im not sure.... anyway speak to you later!!
Im rather concerened at the moment,
The "Junk" over OK has died down now to a linear mode it appers, but more discreate cells may be firing, as the dryline looks like its stallig out.
However, Near the 4 point area, Vaules, Espucally over SE KS are INCREADBLE. AND I MEAN INCREADABLE
Effective Sheer is 85 Knots, BRN sheer 330 KNOTS, And it looks like all this may head there and that is where the outberak could take the Dangerous Large section of this.
I just caught a TVS with 166 knots just east of a town called Rockville MO.
With my math that's 190 MPH!
Tornado on the ground in SW Missouri north of Aurora and slightly east of Mount Vernon.
Tyler, that storm is getting a nice hook now.
Make that a massive hook!
Heidi, we need an update!!
Looks like things are getting hairy in your neck of the woods.
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2097
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0515 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN LA...WRN MS...ERN AR AND FAR SWRN TN
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 172215Z - 180015Z
STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST AND REDEVELOP THROUGH THE EVENING
WITH A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE. A TORNADO WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED.
SURFACE MAP SHOWS DEWPOINTS INTO THE LOWER 70S HAVE SPREAD AS FAR N
AS SWRN TN...WITH MID 70S ACROSS SRN LA. DEEP MOIST PROFILES ARE IN
PLACE...WITH 20Z LZK SOUNDING SHOWING LITTLE CONVECTIVE INHIBITION
DESPITE COOL TEMPERATURES ONLY IN THE LOWER 70S F. AREA VAD WIND
PROFILES INDICATE WIND SHEAR IS INCREASING AS UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPS
EWD...WITH EFFECTIVE SRH VALUES NOW OVER 200 M2/S2 INTO WRN MS.
A PERSISTENT SWLY LOW LEVEL JET OF 40-50 KT ALONG WITH FAVORABLE
VERTICAL MOTION FIELDS AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A
FEW SEVERE STORMS WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES THE MAIN THREAT.
..JEWELL.. 10/17/2007
We're in a bit of a clearing area right now. I am starting to think that things are not going to be too tremendously rough now, but it will depend on how the stuff in western AR & sw OK starts to shape up. Still kind of drizzly and juicy out there, but no storms anywhere close to me.
There might be a tornado near Hallet. but i'me not sure that is a hookecho tho.... going to bed seya
Heidi do get the latest warning? THE WEATHER SERVICE AT HEIDI'S HOUS HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WARNING FOR HER BED ROOM. WE ISUED THIS WARNING SHE NEEDS TO CLEAN HER ROOM. THIS TORNADO MIGHT BE RAIN WRAPPED. that was my job for the update ;)
Hey folks!! What am I missing?? I see tornado warnings everywhere!! hehe
The cell by Springfield Missouri has long track tornado written all over it. There is nothing near it, it's all by itself.
Holy S%#t 8 tornado warnings!! Wow!!