News DetailSnowstorm will hammer OK this weekend!
Posted At: January 19, 2007 @ 2:20 AM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Related Categories: Snow
Winter storm warnings have been issued over 3/4 of the state of Oklahoma, exlcuding the far southeast part of the state. 8 inches or more are possible over parts of southwest, central, north-central, and northeast Oklahoma by Sunday. The precipitation shield has already developed in southwest Texas.
Calendar
Categories
I think I saw some of your photos on CNN.
Very depressing here in Norman...nothing but a cold rain as Dean predicted.
Joel is in Elk City in western OK, and said it's been all snow out there with 7 inches of accumulation as of early afternoon...with heavy snow still occurring.
Who else predicted this? Thanks.
I'll be posting a special page with the NWS graphicasts in series just to rub it in since I'm just as disappointed. Even though I expected the NWS to be wrong on this one, its disappointing that they maintained WinterStormWarning and 3-5 inch accumulations in central OK to the last second. NOT good for public minds. I can just hear all the ignorant tards in okie right now... "there u go! Weather man wrong again! As always! go figure! haha! Will they ever get it right?! they never learn! psshhhhh!!! those weathermen! I can probably do a better job! What are they smoking in there?!"
Very depressing meteorological day
Meteorologist Jene Young, expert winter precipitation type forecaster, also saw this coming 3 days ago.
This whole event reminds me of high school when I attempted to forecast whether school would be cancelled or not. The forecasters around Boston - who are good at winter precip - also screw themselves - but these things are tough to pin down. NWS out here is definitely inexperienced with snow, and I never expected them to nail this one. Dean's got a good point... people will be saying that tomorrow at work.
Looking at the 00z sounding that evening, however, I'm not so sure this was an obvious cold rain event for Norman. I thought that sounding was still favoring a heavy wet snow event, with a small, mostly dry layer above freezing...and nearly isothermal from the surface to about 800 mb around freezing..and mostly below. I expected evaporational and dynamical cooling to outweigh minimal warm advection, and the narrow warm layer would be insufficient to melt the snow flakes...especially during heavy precip. In the end, warm advection must have been quite a lot stronger...and rain prevailed. I still am convinced this was a "flip of the coin" even after analyzing the 00z sounding that evening.