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Hurricane Ernesto changing course

Posted At: August 27, 2006 @ 12:13 PM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Related Categories: Hurricanes
As expected, Ernesto strengthened into a minimal hurricane overnight, but appears to be weakening slightly during the daylight hours because of the diurnal cycle.  Still though, Hurricane Ernesto could strengthen substantially before slamming into Cuba in about 30 hours.  The 11 am EDT National Hurricane Center forecast shifted the track much further east, predicting a landfall near Tampa, FL overnight Wednesday.  Given minimal wind shear aloft, the only factor limiting Ernesto from becoming a major hurricane is land interaction.  However, a category 3 storm is definitely not out of the question since conditions will be extremely favorable for RAPID strengthening when Ernesto re-emerges over the southeastern Gulf.  A similar track to Hurricane Charlie is likely, with a similar rate of strengthening not out of the question (Charlie made landfall in western FL as a category 4).

Entry Comments

Hurricane Ernesto changing course Comment Posted By Simon | August 28, 2006 @ 12:54 AM #

Can clearly tell Eresto will hit Key Largo or even Miami as a CAT 3

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