News DetailStrong tornadoes possible tonight over AR/LA
Posted At: November 14, 2006 @ 11:23 AM
Posted By: Reed Timmer
Related Categories: Tornadoes
A strong low-level jet is expected to develop tonight over the northwest Gulf Coast region into southern Arkansas, transporting deep moisture rapidly northward. Dewpoints are expected to be near 70 deg F as far north as southern AR by late evening, resulting in an unstable and weakly capped environment through the night. Given insanely strong low-level shear, strong tornadoes will be possible with any surfaced-based supercells over northern LA and southern AR tonight. Realizing these forecast parameters, the SPC issued a moderate risk with a 15%/hatched area for tornadoes tonight (See below). The strong upper system and 50 knot low-level jet by 06z tonight can be seen in the WRF forecast 500 and 850 mb maps below. Stay tuned for continuous updates on this potentially dangerous situation.
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