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Tornadoes possible for Arkansas & southwest Missouri
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Written by Heidi Farrar   
Saturday, 27 March 2010 12:12
day1otlk_1630 ruc_255_2010032717_f08_dptf_2_m_above_groundSevere thunderstorms are in the outlook for parts of Arkansas, southwest Missouri and extreme eastern Oklahoma late this afternoon into tonight as another robust storm system ejects out of the southern Plains. Plenty of wind shear will be in place for rotating storms, the the timing of the arrival of adequate moisture will play a large part in determining the outcome of today's event. Dewpoints are currently in the mid to low 40s across much of Arkansas, and while model guidance suggests that 50 degree dewpoints could be attainable as far north as Fayetteville late today, the question still remains as to whether that moisture will arrive in time for the best mid/upper level support. This system is similar to the one that produced multiple tornadoes and extremely large hail in Arkansas on March 10, so based on that recent history lesson, if 50-degree dewpoints can make it on time, storms with rotating updrafts should be easy to come by from Springfield to Little Rock. Brian Emfinger and others will likely be out later this afternoon, so be sure to check the Live page for updates!
 
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0 #1 EMB 2010-03-27 08:07
well maybe this season will get a little action- as we all know weve been looking at incredibly low reports so far this year. Need a few weeks of heating the atmosphere in the usual areas to get these storms popping! Good luck and get any action posted as qucikly as possible- its been a dull year!
 
 
0 #2 Caleb 2010-03-27 11:00
The air is really dry aloft! This sets up for very large hail due to radiational cooling when the water droplets fall they hit the dry air and evaporate. Once they evaporate they cool and freeze. Some of these cells have hooks! Im not worried about a huge tornado threat because tornadoes need moisture aloft to. there may be some though
 
 
0 #3 Smudge 2010-03-27 12:10
Check out the hook just north of Brian's position. Possible hook starting to form just southof him as well. Hopefully one of the cells will produce..
 
 
0 #4 smalltexan 2010-03-28 05:16
GOOD LUCK!
 
 
0 #5 WX4EMT 2010-03-28 09:19
Smudge, I got the one to the south it produced a small funnel the pic is on my facebook.
http://www.facebook.com/?ref=home#!/album.php?aid=10851&id=100000348694970
 
 
0 #6 EMB 2010-03-28 09:19
ofcourse i forgot to mention the moisture aspect and the abundance of dry air! Looks like that won out so far!
 
 
0 #7 Smudge 2010-03-28 14:19
Thanks KG, nice funnel indeed. Watching the live feed of Brian I kept thinking I saw the beginnings of funnels (and plenty of lightning), but nothing as defined as that. Looks like a picturesque corner of the globe as well :)
 

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