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Moderate risk for tomorrow! PDF Print E-mail
Written by Reed Patrick Timmer   
Sunday, 22 March 2009 11:59
22_day2outlookThe morning model runs look abstolutely amazing for central/eastern KS southward into Oklahoma, with textbook hodographs for strong tornadoes.  The moisture has also been returning more rapidly than forecast by previous models, with around 60F dewpoints now forecast across the entire Southern Plains by tomorrow afternoon.  Based on these insane morning model runs, the SPC has gone with a moderate risk in their recent Day 2 outlook, with a mention of strong tornadoes near the I-35 corridor.  I am not concerned at all with storms remaining discrete tomorrow from South Dakota down to Oklahoma, since storm motions will be near normal to the advancing boundary/Pacific front.  The Live streaming network has been growing rapidly, and will be in full force for tomorrow's outbreak.  Stay tuned for updates!
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Last Updated on Sunday, 22 March 2009 15:02
 

Comments  

 
-6 #1 stormchaser78 2009-03-22 06:59
hey this j peters out of wichita falls Tx we also storm chase and we are wondering if there is going to be anything around west tx moving toward wichita falls monday afternoon call sign KD5RZH SKYWARN WICHITA COUNTY
 
 
0 #2 KiloEcho5 2009-03-22 07:05
@ stormchaser78
maybe a little monday evening. personally, i'm looking at us for friday. KE5ZKE in ft. worth...almost finished w skywarn training!
 
 
+13 #3 JC Surfs 2009-03-22 07:19
Stream 1... continue the domination!!! Should be some good discrete ones for sure. Best to all the live teams for bring TVN viewers the best live tracking system.

Cheers all...
 
 
-3 #4 Tornadofan504 2009-03-22 07:20
If the Dew points are that High we might get some Big ones!!!
 
 
-2 #5 sooner_in_ks 2009-03-22 07:33
I THINK MONDAY WILL BE VERY VERY INETERESTING HERE IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS!!!!!!!
 
 
-11 #6 ToledoWeatherSpotter 2009-03-22 07:41
Its looking great, they might actually issue a High risk area it wouldn't surprise me they usually do when they issue a MDT area the day before, going to be a very nice day. -Brandon
 
 
-2 #7 King Chaos 2009-03-22 07:50
well sounds like 2morrow maybe a wild day. i am still curious as to if there will be a high risk issued. hope every1 has a safe a great chase day
 
 
-1 #8 CAStormChaser 2009-03-22 08:00
Good luck to all who head out tomorrow! Wish I could be there!
 
 
+7 #9 JeffTulsa 2009-03-22 09:06
I live in Tulsa and just joined today. I think tomorrow looks good. I will have to find a room to be safely in if it gets bad. I am going to to college and study architecture and by doing so will build safer and stronger homes. This is such a great team and have enjoyed what you guys have done.
Jeff
 
 
+4 #10 hogwild2 2009-03-22 09:06
Isnt everything really supposed to get interesting around early to mid evening? Especially around the North Central Oklahoma/ South Central Kansas?
 
 
-7 #11 JeffTulsa 2009-03-22 09:08
That is what the local meteorologists said.
 
 
-8 #12 James1 2009-03-22 09:50
What were the dew points for tomorrow supposed to be? i haven't had time to check.
 
 
-2 #13 briancam54 2009-03-22 09:51
I'm hoping for the first big outbreak of the season!
 
 
-1 #14 JeffTulsa 2009-03-22 09:53
James the dew points I think are going to be around the 50s and 60s.
 
 
-12 #15 congaG 2009-03-22 09:54
does anybody know if the car is done yet BACK UPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPP P!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
 
-4 #16 James1 2009-03-22 10:03
Thanks Jeff. Looks like the SPC is getting geared up too. Tomorrow is gonna be very dangerous for people in Oklahoma and Kansas.
 
 
+1 #17 JeffTulsa 2009-03-22 10:07
To bad my volunteering is located in a basement but it will be after 5 when the storms start oh darn. I never can figure out why some houses have basements and others don't one thing I will fix and I have an idea of making or reinforcing houses with concrete. I have no other idea to make a tornado safe home other than building it with concrete.
 
 
-1 #18 B.Borchardt 2009-03-22 10:42
WHY on monday!!?? I'm busy!!! :eek:
 
 
+1 #19 JeffTulsa 2009-03-22 10:51
Last year I had a rotating storm go above my house and we lost power and had some tree limb damage that was in April and when we moved to a new home (not because of the storms) In December we had a rotating storm come over us and the power flickered. Turned out that 3 miles from us was a small EF1 tornado. The funny thing is in May of Last year we looked out the house and a couple of weeks before that was the tornado that hit the storage building in Broken Arrow.
 
 
-2 #20 James1 2009-03-22 11:11
Well hopefully there are no deaths tomorrow. it's far fetched but that would make this event much better. Looks like tomorrow is gonna be very big though. All of tornado alley is under the gun tomorrow.
 
 
+4 #21 JeffTulsa 2009-03-22 11:20
Quoting James1:
All of tornado alley is under the gun tomorrow.

I sure hope there are no deaths and sure hope there are no EF5 or EF4 tornados tomorrow. We can't rule out an EF4. I saw what happened in Lone Grove last month. I saw the footage and I was saddened to hear that 8 people died. I always start preparing for the upcoming severe weather season in February. Now that we have a weather radio we are going to get a safe room hopefully soon. Here is what I always say on a severe weather day"Lets just pray for all those in danger to be safe and that there are no lives lost today".
 
 
-6 #22 James1 2009-03-22 11:29
Yeah the only problem is that we make up most of the people that are observant about this stuff. It wouldn't surprise me if most folks in tornado alley don't know it's even coming. Just hope they're smart when the outbreak flares.
 
 
+1 #23 Greg 2009-03-22 11:31
What's it looking like for the Kearney Nebraska area for Monday? Is anything going to be worth a hoot up in HuskerLand?
 
 
-1 #24 JeffTulsa 2009-03-22 11:34
I hope. It will probably be an after dark tornado outbreak which is a worse case scenario. Lets just hope that everybody is observant and are of what is going on. I always keep it on our local Channel 2 (KJRH NBC TULSA). James1 are you in the path of the impending storm?
 
 
0 #25 James1 2009-03-22 11:34
Uh i think your area is in the 15% area. I wouldn't bet on it. You probably wanna chase further South.
 

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