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Tropical Depression Three nearing TS strength! PDF Print E-mail
News - Hurricanes
Written by Reed Patrick Timmer   
Saturday, 19 July 2008 09:31
TD Three is intensifying very slowly just off the SC/NC coast, with winds of 30 knots reported by a ship just southeast of the center. The circulation center is clearly apparent on Wilmington radar, with the last few scans showing convection rotating entirely around. The "donut hole" at the bottom center of the radar image below from just after 1500 UTC is where the approximate center of circulation is located. Most models show very slow intensification if any due to dry air located just north of the system, but the NHC is predicting tropical storm status by the next advisory.


The forecast track show below is right along the warm waters of the Gulf Stream, which favors continued intensification despite the dry air located to the north of the cyclone. Typically re-curving systems encounter increased upper-level shear as they encounter the westerlies of Mid-latitudes, so TD3 will likely not attain hurricane status. Stay tuned for updates! My sister is currently located in New Bern, NC so I may have some pictures to post later today.


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