Dolly achieved tropical storm status today and is still slowly brewing in the Caribbean. The National Hurricane Center has Dolly slowly strengthening to a category 1 hurricane and making landfall somewhere near Brownsville Tx. mid day on Wednesday.

After keeping a close eye on this system and watching it's environment, I think that this storm has a really good chance at a rapid explosion from T.S. to a Cat. 2 once it clears land due to the extremely warm waters (23 c) and favorable upperlevel conditions. Also, there is a weak low-pressure system sweeping across Northern U.S. This will break down the mid level ridge and allow Dolly to track further north of the current forecast, possibly placing the storm to make landfall between Houston and Corpus Christi TX. This more northern track is also backed by climatology of July storms (look below).

TVN Stream 1 is keeping a close eye on this system to see how it evolves. We are hoping to start our Hurricane Hunting early this year!!!

If this happens, buy fuel before it makes landfall!!!