|
News -
Hurricanes
|
|
Written by Reed Patrick Timmer
|
|
Monday, 04 August 2008 08:45 |
|
The maximum sustained winds have been lowered to 40 knots in the latest advisory on Tropical Storm Edouard, because Hurricane Hunter aircraft could not find a wind observation to support a 45 knot intensity. The latest discussion mentioned 45 knots at 850 mb on the way back from the storm, and that was the maximum wind observation. Still though, convection has been trying to develop near the center overnight, but still looks relatively weak and disorganized coming into an unfavorable time in the diurnal cycle.
The official NHC forecast calls for Edouard to make landfall near the Houston, TX area on Tuesday as a strong tropical storm or even a weak hurricane. The GFDL model, for example, is showing Edouard becoming a weak hurricane, while a majority of the other models are showing strong tropical storm at landfall. If this storm RAPIDLY intensifies over the next 12 hours, we may consider chasing it.. but right now it looks like Edouard will be weaker than our minimum threshold for deployment..
|