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Major severe weather outbreak possible tomorrow! PDF Print E-mail
News - Tornadoes
Written by Heidi Farrar   
Tuesday, 12 May 2009 13:52
Widespread severe weather is expected tomorrow from the Great Lakes region into the middle Mississippi Valley as a potent upper level trough digs into the northern Plains; a trailing cold front will sweep across the southern Plains tomorrow evening, sparking additional severe thunderstorms in Kansas and Oklahoma. Moderate to strong instability will be in place across most of Oklahoma and a large part of Missouri and central Illinois, with CAPE >1,000 J/kg stretching all the way into southern Wisconsin. Combined with strong shear, this will set the stage for what may become a large-scale severe weather outbreak.  The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Day-2 Moderate Risk for portions of Illinois and Missouri, where strong tornadoes, very large hail and widespread damaging wind will be possible. This is a developing situation and those in the "hatched" area should monitor the conditions, as a dangerous weather situation may be unfolding this time tomorrow. 
Last Updated on Monday, 01 June 2009 14:45
 
Discuss (5 posts)
Major severe weather outbreak possible tomorrow!
May 13 2009 00:02:37
Will hopefully get to do some chasing here in eastern, Iowa/Western, Illinois. Don't have anymore vacation days until I get 2 weeks on the 17th, so I can't travel too far. Work 3rd shift at 11pm.
#9383
Major severe weather outbreak possible tomorrow!
May 13 2009 03:49:33
Sitting tight in Springfield, MO and ready for tomorrow's chase!
#9402
Re:Major severe weather outbreak possible tomorrow!
May 13 2009 13:37:10
I wonder how accurate the predictions will be. I live in the southern burbs of Chicago (South Holland...AKA the GHETTO) and I want to see some good storms. I would prefer to see tornadoes but I would like to see everyone safe. Maybe in a field..if im lucky.
#9429
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+18 #1 JC Surfs 2009-05-12 08:22
Good call on this post..

Everyone.. Its great to subscribe to TVN updates.. The system works..

A good base initiation for this chase is a little SW of Springfield, MO.. I expect some strong ones out of the discrete cells starting to fire in that location.. The ingredients are looking INSANE !! Would really like to be chasing this one.. best to all who are... Cheers
 
 
+2 #2 bholcomb 2009-05-12 08:26
I will be out and streaming in Illinois tomorrow. Target still to be determined, but I will be setting up shop tonight somewhere south of Chicago (Bloomington, IL is a potential target tonight for a Hotel Room)
 
 
0 #3 wishdog14 2009-05-12 08:29
its nice to not have to leave the state to chase for once... i stay in my home county.
 
 
+2 #4 MIDSCAR1 2009-05-12 08:44
This event is occurring right in my backyard for once! I live in Champaign/Urbana so I'm on the eastern edge of this threat. I'm thinking as of right now, my target area is Springfield, IL. Anyone else agree with me?
 
 
-6 #5 James1 2009-05-12 08:55
I'm guessing that they might have to raise this to a High Risk. This is gonna be h**l on earth in the midwest.
 
 
+3 #6 chrisbray 2009-05-12 09:13
According to the charts posted, it looks like all the CAPE will be in oklahoma while most of the helicity will be in Illinois. Do you not need both for tornados?
 
 
+2 #7 chrisbray 2009-05-12 09:14
Quoting bholcomb:
I will be out and streaming in Illinois tomorrow. Target still to be determined, but I will be setting up shop tonight somewhere south of Chicago (Bloomington, IL is a potential target tonight for a Hotel Room)


That's where I am from. My friend and I will be chasing as well. it would be awesome if we had your # so we could follow an expert :)
 
 
+2 #8 txvegas8ball 2009-05-12 09:20
It looks like I'm going to Oklahoma tomorrow!! It's great to finally have something to get excited about, although I did enjoy to moustache pics :lol:. I would so love to go further, but have chemo early in the am. Hopefully, I will see some action. That said, everyone be safe out there, and I pray that damage will be at a minimum if at all. Have a great chase! Tammy
 
 
+2 #9 stormin_nz 2009-05-12 09:21
seems to be firing in Northern and Southern hemispheres!

We just had a humdinger of a few days of storms culminating in this in one city:

http://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/content/huge-hail-storm-hits-bay-plenty

Luckily the storm centered itself and the impressive water spout about 3/4 of a mile off shore..otherwise a f2/f3 tornado would have cut through a heavily populated area.

Have a looksee above while you're waiting for those storms to fire ..

good luck out there
 
 
+2 #10 supercell24 2009-05-12 09:26
I live in Macomb, Il and decided I will place my self just south of bloomington in Mclean, Il. This will put me right in the bullseye, and this town will give me access to many roads once the weather starts to get going.
 
 
0 #11 Caleb 2009-05-12 09:26
it's going to be insaine tomarrow!! It will be interesting to see what the VORTEX2 team gets!
 
 
-5 #12 sooner_in_ks 2009-05-12 09:32
I gotta see it to believe it!!!
 
 
+3 #13 MNthunder 2009-05-12 09:37
what luck...a major outbreak possible... and im busy with a meterology final exam... good luck fellas
 
 
+2 #14 bholcomb 2009-05-12 10:18
My # isn't a secret, and can be found pretty easily online, however, I don't consider myself an expert. I'm just a crazy guy that isn't scared to get out and drive around a lot, and gets lucky once in awhile. Plus I stream on TVN. ha
 
 
+2 #15 ToledoWeatherSpotter 2009-05-12 10:59
Quoting bholcomb:
My # isn't a secret, and can be found pretty easily online, however, I don't consider myself an expert. I'm just a crazy guy that isn't scared to get out and drive around a lot, and gets lucky once in awhile. Plus I stream on TVN. ha

lol we'll probably see you out chasing in the Great Lakes when we chase, Ben! lol -Brandon
 
 
+2 #16 jbyrns1993 2009-05-12 12:03
I'm in the northwest suburbs of Chicago, specifically Hoffman Estates. The storms of last year were pretty intense here, when the Cubs game got interrupted by tornado sirens. That was in August, though. This is shaping up to top anything I've seen before. I will definitely have my digital camera with me all day tomorrow. I would be so excited to see a shelf cloud tomorrow at school. Can't wait!!!
 
 
0 #17 CMH Bill 2009-05-12 12:42
Heidi,
How often does the team of chasers perform maintenance on their cars/trucks? It would not be good to get stranded near a approaching tornado. I believe I would adopt the " Never Turn Off Motor " during a chase.

Just Curious,
Bill - Columbus, Ohio
 
 
+1 #18 Caleb 2009-05-12 13:00
The cell in Thomas county has already produced a tornado!

AT 627 PM MDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO NEAR
HIGHWAY 97 CROSSING THE DISMAL RIVER...OR 15 MILES SOUTH OF
MULLEN...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH
 
 
+3 #19 bholcomb 2009-05-12 13:17
Once I am on a chase, I never turn off my engine. Filling up, filling my face, emptying my bladder, etc.... engine stays on.

I've just done what I can to make sure my truck is well maintained. I keep the fluids changed out, and perform regular maintenance and spot checks. Not to say it won't eventually die on me in the field, but I've taken the most steps I can think of to ensure it does not.
 
 
+3 #20 CMH Bill 2009-05-12 13:25
Quoting bholcomb:
Once I am on a chase, I never turn off my engine. Filling up, filling my face, emptying my bladder, etc.... engine stays on.

I've just done what I can to make sure my truck is well maintained. I keep the fluids changed out, and perform regular maintenance and spot checks. Not to say it won't eventually die on me in the field, but I've taken the most steps I can think of to ensure it does not.


Thanks for your input, Is this Ben?
If so, great job recently with your chase with David Drummond. You got some awesome video.
 
 
+1 #21 Mid1085 2009-05-12 13:48
Anyone starting their chase from the far southside of Chicago tomorrow morning?
 
 
+4 #22 JC Surfs 2009-05-12 14:05
@ jbyrns1993.. If you know the Weinerts. Reply back.. Hoffman estates is a pretty familier place to me.. "Winston Place"..

I have been so busy and need to get a hold of my mates there.. When I did my first chase in 2002.. I did all of my research at his home... I am sure not many people know of the suburb.. but I know where you are talking about.. Willow Creek. Whoa! my friends the Hybels.. Hopefuly this resonates... reply back mate !!! cheers all..

Tomorrow is going to be insane!

I will be in my new vacay/chase home in e Co next week.. If any of you want to connect? Hit up my profile on TVN community.. Lates.. ahhh!
 
 
0 #23 throwaway 2009-05-12 14:18
We are in Poplar Grove, Illinois. Any of you chasers coming our way tonight/tomorrow.
 
 
+1 #24 Timotay 2009-05-12 14:47
Getting my Rick Roll soundtrack ready for the trip tomorrow might have to wait till evening here in OKC but at least ill have good music! Good luck
 
 
0 #25 Zack_OKC 2009-05-12 15:31
Things are looking incredible in OK tomorrow.
 

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