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Strong tornadoes possible in the Southern Plains on Thursday! PDF Print E-mail
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Written by Reed Timmer   
Tuesday, 07 April 2009 16:22
07april2009_ehiA compact but potent shortwave trough is forecast to swing through the Southern Plains on Thursday, pumping 60+ dewpoints as far north as eastern Kansas ahead of a potent bulging dryline.  The NAM has been trending upward with the moisture, and has been consistently underdoing the moisture and initation forecasts since last year, so I would not be surprised if even higher dewpoints verify by Thursday afternoon.  As seen here, 0-1 km EHIs are forecast to exceed 4 over parts of eastern OK just east of the dryline by 00z, with 200+ 0-1 km helicities over most of the warm sector.  If the recent NAM models runs verify, I would not be surprised if a tornado outbreak ensued Thursday afternoon and evening over Eastern Oklahoma and Kansas into the Ozark Mountain Region.  We will be taking the Dominator on this chase, so be prepared for some extreme video!  We will also have several live streaming teams covering this event!  Stay tuned for updates.

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Last Updated on Tuesday, 07 April 2009 16:55
 
Discuss (8 posts)
Re:Strong tornadoes possible in the Southern Plains on Thursday!
Apr 09 2009 08:57:52
Reed are you going to use Ka-band (35 GHz) on your chase vehicle, also are you part of the Vortex2 project this year.
#4776
Re:Strong tornadoes possible in the Southern Plains on Thursday!
Apr 09 2009 11:43:58
Well Thursday is here (well it is properly for us here in the UK lol), I'll be watching and waiting when I get home from work!
#4783
Re:Strong tornadoes possible in the Southern Plains on Thursday!
Apr 09 2009 12:33:30
Well looks like the NAM has yet again underestimated Dp',moisture return into the central lower plains as the SPC have now upgraded the severe event to moderate around Eastern Oklahoma into Arkansas.

www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
#4787
There are too many comments to list them all here. See the forum for the full discussion.
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