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Moderate Risk in LA to AL, blizzard pounding the High Plains! PDF Print E-mail
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Written by Reed Timmer   
Friday, 27 March 2009 11:56
27march2009_outlookThe Storm Prediction Center has issued a moderate risk for parts of the southern U.S., along and south of a warm front extending east from an intense storm system dumping feet of snow on the High Plains!  (Dave Holder and TSR will be streaming the blizzard live).  Sufficient instability and wind shear will exist in the warm sector for supercells, especially in the vicinity of the warm front forecast to reside near the AR/LA Border by late afternoon/evening.  As is typical with these vertically stacked closed lows, the low-level wind shear profile is a little weird, with the main LLJ axis shifting east of the real warm sector.  Still though, the models are forecasting a re-intensification of the low-level jet just east of a strengthening surface low later this afternoon through the overnight, which will result in sufficient wind shear for tornadoes - some 27march2009_watchwarningsstrong.  Based on what I'm seeing in this morning's model runs, the best chance for tornadic supercells will be near and after sunset, when the LLJ has a chance to get going.  There is not a lot of convection out there as of early afternoon, so this will probably not be a messy squall line scenario unless the fast frontal boundary speed overwhelms the storm motions!  The Austin's of warmsector.com are currently streaming from the center of the moderate risk area, and Dave Holder of TVN is streaming the blizzard from his hotel in Liberal, KS.  Dave is a warrior..he went up to the heart of the blizzard solo in a Nissan Altima!  Highly not recommended!  Blizzard warnings are currently in effect from the Texas Panhandle to Central Kansas, and Dave has reported over 6 inches of snow already with extensive drifting.  He'll likely be trapped up there for days!
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Discuss (4 posts)

bullzi
Re:Moderate Risk in LA to AL, blizzard pounding the High Plains!
Mar 27 2009 19:34:52
Reed, will you be out in this mess?
#3311

SkyEyeJo
Re:Moderate Risk in LA to AL, blizzard pounding the High Plains!
Mar 27 2009 19:35:53
Reed,

Hope Dave brought some DVDs and those archaic things called 'books' in case of down-time w/out power.

Glad he's all safely tucked in.

~Jo~
#3312

Riku854
Re:Moderate Risk in LA to AL, blizzard pounding the High Plains!
Mar 27 2009 23:33:45
Hey Reed we are about to get those storms that produced the tornados in northwest FL. our town Lake city must have had probaly the most tornados in all of florida! we have had one every year but this year it all started in 2007 on Christmas and they have been getting worse each time. anyways it would be cool to see one though that is doing no harm!!!!!!
#3356
There are too many comments to list them all here. See the forum for the full discussion.
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Discuss this item on the forums. (4 posts)

Comments  

 
+3 #1 dbseitz 2009-03-27 06:21
FYI- CNN showed Dave Holders feed at 1:02 cst. they called I Map. I think what you guys have created is pretty cool.......
 
 
-2 #2 sooner_in_ks 2009-03-27 06:26
YOU CAN COUNT ON HIM BEING STUCK THERE AWHILE!!
 
 
0 #3 Keskiolut 2009-03-27 06:34
is there gonna be any live stream?
 
 
+2 #4 ez24 2009-03-27 06:50
it is starting to feel NASTY in central oklahoma...no snow or ice yet but i can just sense that something is about to happen...concerning severe weather...i really think there will be a great chance for large tornadoes esp towards sunset like reed said...CAPE is extreme at 4000 j/kg(which is going to be expanding northward)and there is amazing lift at -8 and -9 in some areas...once the winds get their act together it could get real ugly...almost wished i wouldve chased the warm sector event...
 
 
-3 #5 ToledoWeatherSpotter 2009-03-27 06:59
MDT Risk yesterday was SLGT and you see what happended? Good Luck if your chasing! -Brandon
 
 
+2 #6 lisa2009 2009-03-27 07:19
Hey, I'm new here. Is there going to be a live stream? My email said there would be but when I click on the video, it says that Dave Holder is stationary and it has been that way for hours. Is he stuck?
Wild weather, huh?
 
 
+1 #7 SkyEyeJo 2009-03-27 07:39
lisa,
Dave Holder is holding (no pun intended) up in a motel for the duration of the snow storm.
Way too dangerous to drive in.
~Jo~
 
 
+1 #8 cosmicfootprints 2009-03-27 07:44
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL JASPER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF KIRBYVILLE...
CENTRAL NEWTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...CALL...BON WEIR...
WEST CENTRAL BEAUREGARD PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MERRYVILLE...

* UNTIL 315 PM CDT
 
 
+1 #9 Keskiolut 2009-03-27 07:46
ye pretty good cell is form in there
 
 
-1 #10 SkyEyeJo 2009-03-27 07:50
Ahhh yes. Nothing like a greasy slider to get you through driving in a snow storm! Good luck to anyone out there today.
Whooo-ie!
~Jo~
 
 
+1 #11 Keskiolut 2009-03-27 07:52
maybe an hook echo on that cell?
 
 
0 #12 SkyEyeJo 2009-03-27 07:53
Uhoh. I do believe the roads are slippery, TSR vehicle. Careful there. :-)
 
 
+1 #13 cosmicfootprints 2009-03-27 07:57
Yeah that's what I was looking at. Need to figure out how to put pictures up.
 
 
0 #14 SW2602 2009-03-27 08:04
I have some pics from the heart of the blizzard in SW KS. How do I had them to this site? Any help would be nice. Thanks, Dru
 
 
0 #15 Caleb 2009-03-27 08:07
I'll be chaseing tomarrow!! it could be INSAINE with a 30% risk PLENTY of warm temps and moisture
 
 
+3 #16 Heidi 2009-03-27 09:02
Quoting SW2602:
I have some pics from the heart of the blizzard in SW KS. How do I had them to this site? Any help would be nice. Thanks, Dru



You can add them to the blizzard thread on the forum, or add them to your profile http://tornadovideos.net/forum?func=view&catid=14&id=2704#3306

:-)
 
 
0 #17 weatherluvr 2009-03-27 09:08
I dont know about anyone else but it makes me nervous watching the TSR stream.
Be careful everyone!
 
 
+1 #18 MDH 2009-03-27 09:27
Is anyone else in SE TX right now? I'm watching the storm east of Cleveland, TX and it is beginning to develop a VERY strong hook.
 
 
+2 #19 MDH 2009-03-27 09:33
Uhhhm...

http://img22.imageshack.us/img22/3923/clevetxsuper.jpg
 
 
+1 #20 cosmicfootprints 2009-03-27 09:34
We are posting them in the now casting forum too.
 
 
+2 #21 expodis 2009-03-27 09:35
hmm. Looks to be a potentially very large tornado south of Cleveland.
 
 
+1 #22 MDH 2009-03-27 09:43
No kidding. I keep waiting for the lowering to break off in radar updates but this thing is still going strong... Watch out cleveland!!
 
 
+1 #23 ewhobbs 2009-03-27 09:59
Wow, that storm to the northeast of Houston looks like a monster.
 
 
+2 #24 dougNKC 2009-03-27 10:03
Hey all! It would appear that Reed is now streaming, although he is not any storms YET, but Dennis Sherrod is joining in with WarmSector in Louisiana, and they would both appear to have some really good potential.
 
 
0 #25 Keskiolut 2009-03-27 10:03
wow . what a monster , very strong hook echo
 

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