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Written by Reed Timmer
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Thursday, 21 January 2010 13:04 |
A classic low instability/high wind shear severe weather case will likely transpire this afternoon from the Missouri Bootheel region into northwest Alabama, including western Tennessee and Kentucky, as a vertically stacked storm system moves through the area. 0-1 km helicity values of 200+ m2/s2 (see 18z RUC analysis at left), with much higher values along a WNW-ESE oriented warm front from the Bootheal across western Tennessee, coupled with extremely cold temperatures aloft (< -20 degrees C at 500 mb) will create ideal conditions for low-topped tornadic supercells from now until 00z or so. Storms will likely explode in an arc just ahead of the upper-level vort max over the next hour or so, and track rapidly northeastward with an enhanced tornado threat as they cross the backed low-level flow along the warm front. A tornado watch has just been issued for this area by the Storm Prediction Center, with a moderate threat of tornadoes (see left). Stay tuned for updates!
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Comments
excellent Reed, we will follow it from here
Edit: Here are links to one my dad took on one side of the storm/town, one I took as it came over the mountain towards my house, and a cap from a video a neighbor caught.
http://img402.imageshack.us/img402/2568/andrewkepnertornado0121.png
http://img192.imageshack.us/img192/726/andreakepnertornado0121.png
http://img522.imageshack.us/img522/4439/rudysandersonvideoa.png
http://www.alabamawx.com/?p=26221#comments
Great shot! Interesting to see it shot from the NSSTC building as I see it almost every day.
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